The World’s Economic ‘Center of Gravity’ is Shifting… …and so are Property Markets! By Michael Gerrity, CEO World Property Channel Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
In The Beginning… Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global Population Shifts… ● World population now 7B, growing to over 9.5B+ by 2050 (UN) ● That’s 1.4m ‘new souls’ added to the planet - WEEKLY! ● More people will be born in 21 st century than all prior centuries combined Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global Population Shifts… By 2050… ● 1B people added to Southeast Asia ● 600M to India ● 400M to Africa ● 300M to Latin America ● 100M to North America Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
The Global Property Market… ● The “Size” of the global real estate market (2013) - $6.7 Trillion in ‘property’ transactions (IMF) - $10.7 Trillion in ‘debt’ transactions (DTZ) Million active property ‘listings’ monthly Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global People Concentration… ● “Urbanization” of the world is happening now! - 5% of the world’s 1.5B pop. lived in cities (1900) - 50% of world’s 7B pop. live in urban cities (2010) - 70% of world’s 9.5B living in urban cities by (2050) Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
The Middle-Class… ● The world’s coming “Middle-class explosion” - Next 15 years, world’s middle-class grows 300% (Ernest & Young) - Over 95% of that 300% middle-class growth occurs OUTSIDE the USA! Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Exploding Billionaire Population… Globally: 2009 = = 2, = 3,873 Source: WealthX Singapore Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global Deal Flow… ● “Cross-Border” Transactions Real Estate regional ‘money flow’ up 35% (JLL) - Cross-border property deals to double from $130B in 2012 to over $275B in 2022 (Ernest & Young) - Global Investment up 7% in 2013, value of $443B (DTZ) Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global Market Drivers… ● Key “Drivers” of Global Real Estate Transactions - Exchange Rates- Safe Harbor - Inflation/Deflation- Interest Rates - Flight of Capital- Opportunistic - Govt. Policy- Tax Rates - Citizenship (EB-5 Visa)- Lifestyle - End User Demand- Health Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Investor Mindset Change… ● Real Estate has become a form of global “Currency” Dubai <<< Iran / Pakistan / India Hong Kong <<< Mainland China Miami <<< Latin America Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Real Estate Issues of 2014… ● Most important US property market ‘Issues’ of 2014 (PWC) - Job growth - Interest rates - Income/ wage growth - Inflation - Tax policies - Government gridlock - Stability of global economy Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
Global Technology Shifts… ● Social & Mobile ● “Big-Data”…a transformative new technology! - Processing power explodes as data storage drops - New “No-SQL” databases (non-relational) - N1H1 Virus & Preemie Babies - Historic vs. Real-time vs. Future Behavior - Real-time ‘Geo-spatial’ analytics (mobile devices) Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute
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Questions… Michael Gerrity WORLD PROPERTY CHANNEL 1221 Brickell Ave, Ste 900 Miami, Fl (P) (E) Confidential Material, Do Not Copy or Distribute