Screening the Data Tedious but essential!

Missing Data Missing Not at Random (MNAR) Missing at Random (MAR) Missing Completely at Random (MCAR)

Missing Not at Random (MNAR) Are missing cases on Y Missingness is related to the value of Y Faculty salaries – those with high salaries may be reluctant to reveal them Estimates of mean Y will be biased if use just the available data

Missing at Random (MAR) Missingness on Y not related to value of Y Or is related but through other variables on which we have data. Faculty salary related to rank. Higher rank = higher salary If missingness is random within each rank, within-rank estimates will be unbiased. Overall mean = weighted sum of within-rank estimates

Missing Completely at Random (MCAR) There is no variable, observed or not, that is related to missingness of Y. Ideal, not likely ever absolutely true.

Finding Patterns of Missingness There is specialized software. You do not have it. Can use SAS. Can use SPSS with home license code. Create missingness dummy variable 0 = not missing, 1 = missing Relate missingness to other variables.

Dealing with MCAR Data Delete Cases: Will create no bias, but will lower power and precision. Mean Substitution: For each missing value, substitute the group mean on that value. No bias for means, but will reduce standard deviations.

Dealing with MCAR Data Regression: For each missing score, develop a multiple regression to predict score from other variables. Impute that predicted score. Regression towards mean will reduce variability.

Dealing with MAR Data Deletion of Variables: If another variable can serve as a proxy. Multiple Imputation – specialized software, may eliminate bias Involves resampling techniques to generate several sets of predictions of missing scores Analyze each set and then average the results across sets.

Dealing with MNAR Data Sophisticated methods may reduce, but not eliminate, bias. Pairwise Correlation Matrix – use as input to multivariate procedures. Different correlations will be based on different subsets of the data. Can produce very strange results, not recommended.

Missing Item Data Within Unidimensional Scale Assume each item measures the same construct. For each subject, compute the means on the items which do have data. Set to missing the scale scores for subjects who have answered fewer than a threshold number of items.

Identifying Outliers Univariate: Box and whiskers plots Multivariate: Compute Mahalanobis Distance or Leverage. Investigate cases with high values. Use outlier dummy variable to compare outliers with inliers. Regression Diagnostics: Leverage: Cases with unusual values on the predictor variables

Outliers Standardized Residuals: Cases whose actual Y is far from predicted Y. Cook’s D: Cases with values that make them have great influence on the regression solution.

Dealing with Outliers Investigate: May be bad data. May be able to correct the data, may not. May represent cases not properly considered part of the population of interest. Out-of-Range Values: Even if not outliers, these are bad data that need correction.

Dealing with Outliers Set to Missing: If all else fails. Delete the Case: For example, if convinced the respondent was not even reading the questions. “I frequently visit planets outside of our solar system.” “I make all of my own clothes.” Delete the Variable: Last resort when it has many cases with missing data.

Dealing with Outliers Transform the Variable: If outliers are valid but contributing to skewness. Change the Score: For example, reduce very high score to value a small bit higher than the remaining highest score. See Howell’s discussion of “Winsorizing.”

Assumptions of the Analysis Check Outliers First: Dealing with outliers may resolve the problems below. Normality: Look at plots and measures of skewness and kurtosis. Ignore tests of significance, like Kolgomorov-Smirnov. May need to use different analysis. Homogeneity of Variance: Does the variance differ considerably across groups? May need to transform or use different analysis.

Assumptions of the Analysis Homoscedasticity: Carefully inspect the residuals. May need to transform data or use a different analysis. Homogeneity of Variance/Covariance Matrices (across groups): Box’s M. Sphericity: For univariate-approach related samples ANOVA. Check with Mauchley’s Test. Correct the df or use a multivariate approach instead.

Assumptions of the Analysis Homogeneity of Regression: In ANCOV, we assume the relationship between Y and the predictors is constant across groups. Test the Groups x Predictor(s) interactions. Linear Relationships: Look at plots. If necessary, transform variables or use curvilinear techniques.

Multicollinearity One predictor is nearly perfectly correlated with the other predictors. Makes the regression coefficients unstable across random samples from the same population. Makes complicated the interpretation of unique effects.

Detecting Multicollinearity For each predictor, compute the R2 between it and the other predictors. If very high (.9 or more), there is a problem. SAS will compute tolerance = (1 – that R2 ). If very low, there is a problem. If R2 = 1, the correlation matrix is singulair, cannot be inverted, the analysis crashes Predictors = Verbal SAT, Math SAT, Total SAT.

Variance Inflation Factor VIF = 1/tolerance. If high, there is a problem. How High? Some say 10, some say 5, a few say 2.5. If R2 = .9, tolerance = .1, VIF = 10.

Dealing with Multicollinearity Drop a Predictor – may resolve the problem. Combine Predictors – into a composite variable Principle Components Analysis – conduct the analysis on the resulting weighed linear combinations of the variables. Can then transform the results back to the original variables.

SAS 1 Look at the command lines in the SAS program. Always give every case a unique ID number, so you can locate it later. Label variables if their SAS name is not informative. input ID 1-3 @5 (Q1-Q138) (1.); label Q1='Sex' Q3 = 'Age';

SAS 2 Recode values that represent missing data. On several variables, such as “number of biological brothers,” response 5 was “do not know.” if Q15 = 5 then Q15 = . ; if Q16 = 5 then q16 = . ;

SAS 3 & 4 Transform variable to reduce positive skewness age_sr = sqrt(Q3); age_log = log10(Q3); age_inv = -1/(Q3); Dichotomize variable – transformation of last resort. if q3 = 1 then age_di = 1; else if q3 > 1 then age_di = 2;

SAS 5 & 6 Create composite variable SIBS = Q15 + Q16; Transform to reduce positive skewness sibs_sr = sqrt(sibs); sibs_log = log10(sibs); sibs_in = -1/sibs;

SAS 7 Create mental variable and associated missingness variable. MENTAL = Q62 + Q65 + Q67; MentalMiss = 0; If Mental=.then MentalMiss = 1;

SAS 8 Transform to reduce negative skewness Mental2 = Mental*Mental; Mental3 = Mental**3; Ment_exp = EXP(Mental); R_Ment = 13 - Mental; R_Ment_sr = sqrt(R_Ment); R_Ment_log = log10(R_Ment);

SAS 9 Dichotomize Mental if 0 LE Mental LE 9 then Ment_di=1; else if Mental > 9 then Ment_di=2; Be careful – SAS codes missing data with an extreme negative number.

SAS 10 Check for missing data and out-of-range values. proc means min max n nmiss; var q1-q10 q50-q70; run;

SAS 11 Check for skewness & kurtosis proc means min max n nmiss skewness kurtosis; var Q3 age_sr -- Mental Mental2 -- R_Ment_log; run;

SAS 12 Check distributions of variables with few values proc freq; tables q3 age_di sibs mental ment_di; run;

SAS 13 Locate cases with bad data data duh; set delmel; if q9 > 3; proc print; var q9; id id; run; Case 159 has out-of-range on item Q9.

SAS 14 Check correlates of missingness. proc corr nosimple data=delmel; var MentalMiss; with Q1 Q3 Q5 Q6 sibs; run; MentalMiss negatively correlated with sibs. Duh, some subjects have missing data on number of brothers or number of sisters. Instead of Mental = Q62+Q65+Q67, use Mental = Mean(of Q62 Q65 Q67);

Multidimensional Outliers investigate observations with leverage greater than 2p/n, “where n is the number of observations used to fit the model, and p is the number of parameters in the model.” 4 variables: Q1 Q3 Q6 mental + intercept 193 observations 2*5/193 = .052

SAS 15 Identify multivariate outliers proc reg data=delmel; model id = Q1 Q3 Q6 mental; output out=hat H=Leverage; run; data outliers; set hat; if leverage > .052;

SAS 15 Identify multivariate outliers proc print; var id Q1 Q3 Q6 mental leverage; run; proc means mean; var Q1 Q3 Q6 mental; run; As a group, the outliers are older than the overall sample. All three students aged 25 or older are included among the outliers.

Survey Scoundrels These sloths do not even read the questions, they just answer randomly to get whatever incentive is available for completing the survey. My daughter’s shock upon discovering this. Monitor how long it takes respondents to complete the survey.

Items to Help Detect Scoundrels Repeat same item, compare responsese “I frequently visit with aliens from other planets.” “I make all of my own clothes.”