Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. Presented by Ben Hier & Brandon Lee February 26, 2008.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
William Kelly Lesya Kuzmyk Ceida Plasencia Rodrigo Polezel Alex Santos
Advertisements

IPAA 2004 Oil & Gas Investment Symposium April 19, 2004 Robert L. Parker Jr.James W. Whalen President and CEO Senior Vice President - CFO.
Accenture Plc (ACN) Analysts: Chris Landqvist, Justin Pippitt, Kelli Coldiron & Wei Pi.
Green & Gold Fund Recommendation: Buy D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI)
Black-Scholes Energy, Inc. Eunice Chin, Cecilia Shi, Namgu Kim, Sebastian Sotelo FINC Fall 2013: Derivatives & Financial Markets Final Project.
Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (HLX) NYSE Recommendation: BUY Price (10/3/14): $21.55.
Exxon Mobil. - Petroleum Industry structure: - 5 sectors of operations (Upstream, downstream, marine, pipeline, and service/supply) - Extremely high barriers.
National Presto Industries, Inc. Recommendation: Accumulate PRESENTED BY JOE NIEHAUS.
October 8, 2007 Hunter Rock Mike Ohrnberger October 8, 2007 Hunter Rock Mike Ohrnberger.
2 Current Stock Facts (NUE) Stock Price Market Capitalization 8.7B Beta1.64 EPS 7.02 DPS 0.6 P/E 6.3% Dividend Yield 1.1% Dividend Payout Ratio.
Valuation Chapter 17: 6,9,11,13,15. Myths about valuation Since valuation models are quantitative, valuation is objective A well-researched and well-done.
Materials Sector Analysis Paul Lewis Steve Meredith Summer 2013.
Real Client Managed Portfolio April 4, 2013 Dan Ballantine Heziyou Xu Lingtao Zhou.
Unit Corporation 40 years serving the energy industry.
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. November 12, 2009 Antoine Berger Gagan Ashok Bhatia Somil Kadakia Victor Murthi Kuralay Seitalina Prashant Tiwari.
1 Energy Company Valuations “It’s all in there!” Georgia State Economic Forecasting Conference May 25, 2005 Richard T. O’Brien Executive Vice President.
Canadian National Railway (CNI). Background Founded in 1918 by the Canadian gov’t Deregulation of 1980 Headquartered in Montreal, Quebec Largest railway.
S&P 500 Energy Sector Luke DiTomas Alex Foisel Ian McLeod March 3, 2009.
Energy Company Presentation Dan Geisler Olga Boder(Firdman) Fall 2009.
Martina Gutik Colleen Hurley Ben Jekeli Ben Smalley.
2Q | 2011 Guide to the Markets As of March 31, 2011.
Financial Analysis Macrovision Corporation An Overview of Financial Performance Presented November 30, 2006 by Radityo Ardi Nugraha and Chenchen (Carl)
Luiz Pinto, Matthias Sigrist, Daniel Packard.  Decrease SIM portfolio by 43 basis points to come in line with S&P 500  Reallocate funds within the Telecommunication.
Janelle R. Courtright John C. Williams July 17, 2007.
Sunrise Senior Living Caitlin Bizzotto Ben Hier Patricia Shongedza
St. Jude Medical Edmundo Lozano June 21, Stock Information Ticker: STJ Price (June 18, 2010): $ week range: $ $42.87.
METHANEX: Valuation and Strategic Review MICHAEL COOK ERIN ROBINSON PHIL WALLACE RUSHAB HARIA RAJANVIR AHUJA Recommendation: BUY 1-year Price Target: C$36.15.
Recommendation: BUY United Parcel Service (UPS); Sell NG, JOYG, BHP.
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. Han Yang Xuhao Yang Ryo Seob Kim Jionghan Dai Tyler Haida October 27, 2011 Analysts:
Energy Sector Stock Recommendation March 2, 2010 Eric DeWees Honglei Gong Charles Hathaway Danqing Zhou.
CEO (NYSE) Energy Sector Evan Farber/Brendan McMenamin Brian Boyd Jacek Kornas Adam Sheetz Gautam Shringapure China National Offshore Oil Company.
Grey Wolf Inc. (GW) Wednesday, November 15 th, 2006.
Consumer Staples Company Presentation Des Dudaney Erica Elsasser Neil Hertenstein Mun Yi Se Tho May 18 th, 2010.
Halliburton: HAL Partial Sell Recommendation. We should hold 300 shares of HAL to build upon the 10% gain achieved over the past 11 months and take advantage.
Seadrill Partners LLC (SDLP) Ari Lazar, Jessica Kan, Sai Poddutur, Gongsheng Wang New Company Presentation 3/17/15 1.
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Ilham Bachtiar, Kyle Castner, Michael Haberkorn, Yichen Sun Presented March 31, 2015.
1) Natural Gas and Oil derivation 2) Aluminum Extraction and Production Finance & Investment Club Materials Sector Summer 2012 Stafani Wan INDUSTRY DEFINITIONS.
First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR) RCMP Presentation Kristoffer Inton.
Recommendation Buy 150 shares Telecommunication sector – Team 5.
MEMC Electronic Materials Inc. (WFR) Brandon Lee and David Light March 11, 2008.
MBA Student Managed Fund Class of 2005 University of Connecticut School of Business.
ILLINOIS TOOL WORKS INC. APRIL 23, 2013 Kaushik Andra, Dan Ballantine, & Keaton J. Cervantes.
Information Technology Finance 724/824 SIM Class Christopher Moran Suresh Ramasubramanian Sean Ramsey.
Diamond Offshore Drilling, Inc. April 21, 2009 Alan Lagunov, Pragnesh Podar, Gana Raman, Bilal Rathore.
The Outlook for Energy Markets.  World oil markets have become increasingly tight since  Global demand growth, fed by worldwide economic growth,
Buy Drew Craighead. Stock Overview NYSE Ticker: COO PEG ratio: 1.70 Industry Average: 1.20 Return on Equity: 11.9 Beta:.1 Semi-Annual Dividend:.03 Growth.
Real Client Managed Portfolio Diamond Offshore (DO) October 25, 2012 Presented By: Eric Hoffman Patrick O’Donnell Xiaohua (Leah) Xu.
By: Brendan Chong David Ferguson Tanner Champagne Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE:CAT)
RCMP Spring 2006 – Gaurav Ghoge SUNRISE SENIOR LIVING, Inc. April 27, 2006.
ZARA ALI, CORY CARLSON, DANIELLA COMITO & EMMA HEBBLETHWAITE Valuation.
The Most Profitable Oil Company in the World. Or is it????
Research and Evaluation 4.1 INVESTMENT PRINCIPLES.
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. April 15, 2010 Gagan Bhatia Charlie Gambino Catherine Lien Phil Nguyen Jingyuan Xia.
Zachary (Zoujia) Chen Justin Craigwell-Graham Charles Gambino Vignesh Murali Jacob Rapp November 12, 2009
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign Real Client Managed Portfolio – Pranay Damania, Chia-Chia Hu, Juan Espinosa,
John Goik John Glankler Christian Töpfner von Schütz John Goik John Glankler Christian Töpfner von Schütz Energy Sector Stock Recommendation.
1 What Drives Corporate Value? Michael Massey, CFA, CPA/ABV January 21, 2014.
Cy Barton Jac Charles. Industrial Goods Sector  In general products are sold to other businesses or government agencies  Lagging but high sensitivity.
Richard Hall Scott Honig. A category of stocks that relate to producing or supplying energy The sector we focused our analysis includes companies involved.
Real Client Managed Portfolio Air Lease Corporation October 20, 2016 Presented by Jiaze Li and Di Liu.
Jack Henry & Associates, Inc
Applied Portfolio Management
ENERGY SECTOR Mike Essig Chris Gagnon Brian Geiser.
Analysts: Matthew Coyne and Jennifer Downing
Michael Korn Mario Knezevic Sashi Kommineni
Hornbeck Offshore Services
Transocean LTD (NYSE:RIG) Buy Pitch
Enbridge Inc (USA): ENB Buy Pitch
Financial Industry Group 4/20/2011
Utilities Stock Presentation
Presentation transcript:

Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. Presented by Ben Hier & Brandon Lee February 26, 2008

2 Agenda  Company Overview  Industry Outlook  Competitors  Portfolio Fit & Valuation  Recommendation

3 Company Overview  Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc. is a leading global offshore oil & gas drilling contractor  Headquartered in Houston, Texas  Fleet of 46 offshore rigs  Strategy: “Economically Upgrade Fleet”  51% Owned by Lowes Corp (NYSE: LTR)  NYSE Listed: DO Ocean Endeavor

4 Company History  (1953) First submersible offshore rig developed Ocean Drilling & Exploration Co. formed (ODECO)  (1992) Diamond M Corp. purchased all of ODECO for $372M  (1993) Officially renamed Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc.  (1995) Lowes Corp. (LTR) sold 30% of Diamond Offshore in an IPO Diamond Offshore listed on the NYSE: (DO)  (1996) Diamond acquired Arethusa (Offshore) Ltd. Transaction reduced LTR’s ownership to 54% Land division sold to DI Industries Inc.  (2008) Diamond is the world’s third largest offshore drilling contractor

5 Managerial Team  James S. Tisch – CEO (1998-Present) Mr. Tisch has served as CEO of Loews, a diversified holding company and Diamond’s controlling stockholder, since January  Lawrence R. Dickerson - President, COO, & Director (1998-Present) Mr. Dickerson served on the United States Commission on Ocean Policy from 2001 to  Gary T. Krenek - Senior Vice President & CFO (2006-Present) Mr. Krenek previously served as Vice President and CFO since March 1998.

6 Business Model  Contracts obtained through competitive bidding  Receive a drilling “dayrate” for leasing fleet of offshore oil rigs regardless of results  Diamond pays the operating expenses  Some contracts have a performance bonus

7 Investment Thesis  Drillers have high barriers to entry with large capital investments Cost to build a new floater ($440M, up over 400% since 1980)  Major E&P companies are facing declining reserves & must drill deep offshore for growth Tupi oil & gas discovery 5-8 billion barrels of offshore reserves  Diamond has one of the largest supplies of midwater floaters, which are in short supply  International exposure buffers against more cyclical GOM drilling 50% of revenues generated in ’07 came from international operations  Contract Drilling backlog provides cash flow & earnings visibility $10.84B in contract drilling backlog  Well managed with a shareholder friendly dividend policy Expected to payout 60-80% of net income in special dividends

8 Investment Risks  Volatility of energy prices  Reduced E&P expenditures  Oversupply of rigs  Decline in dayrates  Geopolitical risks  Early termination of contracts  Shortage of skilled labor  Weather

9 The Fleet – Focused on Deepwater TypeNominal Water Depth (Feet)*Average Dayrate** High-Specification Floaters Semisubmersibles (11) 3,500-10,000$317,000 (+25% YOY) Intermediate Semisubmersibles (19) 1,1000-4,000$218,000 (+41% YOY) Drillship (1)7,500$180,000 Jack-ups (15) $115,000 (+2% YOY) * K ** K Semisubmersible Jack-up Drillship Deepwater!

10 Backlog Rig Days Committed High-Specification Floaters99%73%51%14% Intermediate Semi’s94%83%53%19% Jack-ups48%17%2%-- Total backlog as of February 7, 2008: $10.84B

11 Agenda  Company Overview  Industry Outlook  Competitors  Portfolio Fit & Valuation  Recommendation

12 Oil Demand by Country

13 Short Term Energy Outlook  Over the next two years, an easing of prices is expected  $80 oil will support large offshore expenditures  Spot price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil: Averaged $72 per barrel in 2007 Averaged $93 per barrel in January 2008 Expected to average $87 in February 2008 Expected to average $86 per barrel in 2008 Expected to average $82 per barrel in 2009  World oil consumption is expected to grow by 1.4 million bbl/d in 2008  Non-OPEC supply in 2008 is projected to be slightly higher based on output growth from Brazil.  OPEC production will depend on the pace of consumption growth, inventory trends, and oil prices.  U.S. Production is projected to remained unchanged in Source: Department of Energy

14 Crude Oil Prices

15 Deep & Semi Day Rate Index Source: Deepwater markets continue to exhibit high utilization & tight supply Bullish for Diamond Offshore

16 Jack-up Day Rate Index Diamond has (7 out of their 13 active) Jack-up rigs in the GOM Management is actively bidding 3-4 of the 7 internationally GOM Jack-ups account for less than 10% of revenue GOM dayrates are stabilizing Source:

17 Worldwide Contract Status & Expected Demand Source: Company Presentation 9/4/07

18 Global Offshore Expenditures Offshore Expenditures $193B (2006) to $248B (2010E) Offshore drilling has more upside than traditional land drilling

19 Agenda  Company Overview  Industry Outlook  Competitors  Portfolio Fit & Valuation  Recommendation

20 Competitors  Highly competitive industry  “Numerous industry participants, none of which…has a dominant market share”  Transocean (NYSE: RIG) operates 139 of the 1,202 offshore rigs worldwide #1 Market Share  Diamond operates 46 offshore rigs

21 DO vs. NE vs. RIG vs. ATW (1YR)

22 DO vs. NE vs. RIG vs. ATW (5YR)

23 DO vs. S&P 500 (1YR)

24 The Fleet vs. Competitors TypeDiamond Offshore (DO)Transocean (RIG)Noble (NE) Semisubmersibles Jack-ups Other143

25 Comparable Valuation DORIGNEATW Market Cap$16.59B$41.05B$13.39B$3.05B Employees5,40020,0006, Offshore Rigs Operating Margin47.65%50.67%49.77%47.78% Profit Margin36.42%49.14%40.26%34.71% EBITDA$1.44B$2.95B$1.78B$211M P/E (ttm) P/E (Forward) Current Ratio Debt/Equity (mrq) Payout Ratio94%N/A3%N/A RIG-Transocean, NE-Noble, ATW-Atwood Oceanics

26 Agenda  Company Overview  Industry Outlook  Competitors  Portfolio Fit & Valuation  Recommendation

27 Correlation to RCMP Holdings Low Correlation To Holdings!

28 DCF Assumptions  Beta: 1.22  DCF WACC: 11.12%  Bloomberg WACC: 10.98%  Terminal Growth: 5%

29 DCF Valuation  Current Price: $  DCF Value: $135  Intrinsic Value: $122-$149  Estimated Special Dividend Yield: 5.6%  Estimated Total Return: 18%

30 Sensitivity Analysis

31 Multiple Valuation & Conclusion DORIGNEATW EV/EBITDA PEG Ratio E P/E RIG-Transocean, NE-Noble, ATW-Atwood Oceanics  Multiple valuation supports DCF analysis  DO provides portfolio diversification into energy & basic materials  Stock is 20% below its 52-week high (December 26, 2007)  Diamond Offshore is undervalued & should be bought

32 Agenda  Company Overview  Industry Outlook  Competitors  Portfolio Fit & Valuation  Recommendation

33 Recommendation  Purchase 100 shares of (DO) at the market  Approximate investment: $11,949  Diamond Offshore is the energy company to own!