Presentation to Portfolio Committee on Minerals and Energy The South African Diamond Producer’s recommendations on Amendments to the Diamonds Act 56 of 1986 by Matie Lotter (Chairperson: SADPO) – 12 October 2005, Cape Town
2 ISSUES FOR DISCUSSION Key Questions On The Effect Of The Proposed Amendments To The Act SADPO’s credentials Why RSA’s alluvial diamonds are so unique Key trends and status of RSA’s ADI Why the decline? SADPO’s vision and recommendations (ADI = Alluvial diamond industry)
3 Key Questions On The Effect Of The Proposed Amendments To The Act (1) SADPO fully supports the beneficiation of diamonds in RSA Diamonds have a global price. How will the exclusion of foreign buyers influence local prices at trading houses? What effect will the extra 15% export duty have on the sustainability of the ADI? Dispute traders claims that they cannot get diamonds on local market –They do not want to pay international market-related prices to diggers –They export anything they buy anyway –They do not participate in the socio-economic development of rural RSA
4 Key Questions On The Effect Of The Proposed Amendments To The Act (2) Marketing of diamonds Diamonds have a global price in $/c, just like gold, oil, etc Before Open market From Open tender Increase in the price of diamonds of 30% Reason – Local buyers and cutters were under paying and exporting at great profits Tenders brought foreigners, international prices and trade to rural South Africa
5 SADPO’s credentials (1) Represent the alluvial diamond diggers in the: –Northern Cape Province –North West Province Vision: –Promoting the sustainability of RSA’s alluvial diamond industry –Negotiating on behalf of diggers with all stakeholders –Build image of ADI –Play an active role in the socio-economic development of the Northern Cape & North West
6 SADPO’s credentials (2) Key activities to date: –Obtained broad based consensus on digger’s problems and vision for the ADI in South Africa –Commissioned an independent mining-economic assessment of ADI – 1 st of its kind in 130 years! –Established working relationships with: COM, DME, SMA and other stakeholders
7 Why RSA’s alluvial diamonds are so unique RSA’s ADI is: –A niche player in global terms –It produces high value gem quality diamonds, sought after by cutters & polishers, jewelry designers & manufacturers and retail outlets around the world –BUT characterised by: Low average grades, and a negative industry average profit margin High risk – high uncertainty Littered by spectacular failures, and very, very few success stories Driven by small family businesses –Contributes significantly to rural socio-economic stability
8 ADI in the diamond occurrence chain
9 Diamond value chain Exploration & Mining Public Retail outlets Jewelry design & Manufacturing Cutting & Polishing Buying & selling Traders Tenders
World Diamond Production (m cpa)
Diamond Production in RSA (m cpa)
12 Diamond grade comparison (c/100 ton)
Sales price (US$/c)
14 Sales value per 100 ton mined (grade cpht * sales $/c)
15 Key trends and status of ADI (1) Business economic factors est R/$86.5 ADI’s average diamond price$450/c (R3600/c) $500/c (R3250/c) Diamond production c (10% of RSA’s) c (4% of RSA’s) Waiting time for permits3 months18 months
16 Key trends and status of ADI (2) Employment est Number of diggers actively working (not number of files at DME’s office!) Number of employees by ADI (direct & indirect in rural RSA) (de Beers ~ ) Dependents in rural RSA a dependency ration of 7: Origin of employeesNorthern Cape & North West
17 Key trends and status of ADI (3) Impact on rural Northern Cape & North West est Buy capital equipment purchases from SME’s R1,0 b paR0,0 b pa Buy consumer goods from SSME’s R7,7 b paR2,6 b pa Average industry grade0,5 cpht0,8 cpht Sustainability of resourcehighlow
Impact of ADI’s Virtuous Cycle Rural development Social upliftment Develop S&M Mining Sector Buying power Provide critical mass for Infrastructure Pay tax & royalties Provide employment Use local labor only Provide market for: Engineering services Professional services Support large Mines: Feed project pipeline Twilight mining Dumps Provide market for sustainable development of S&M for BEE Facilitate culture of entrepreneurship Nepad – pioneering into Africa Increase human development index: Education Health care Afford basics of life Robustness Sustainability Ripple effect Government Objectives ADI’s Contribution Outcome
19 Impact of 8% Royalties & 15% Sales Levy ADI cut-off grade to break-even Waiting time for permits (months) cpht Opex provision 0.9 Royalty provision Sales Levy provision Grade for sustainable development
20 Impact of 8% Royalties & 15% Sales Levy ADI’s Breakeven R/$ exchange rates grade = 0.8 cpht & SR = 1) Waiting time for permits (months) Breakeven R/$ Royalty provision Opex provision Sales Levy provision 6.5 Current R/$ exchange rate
21 Comparison between 2002 & 2005 Impact of 8% Royalties & 15% Sales Levy ADI cut-off grade to break-even Waiting time for permits (months) cpht Royalty provision Opex provision Sales Levy provision
22 Key trends and status of ADI (4) Monthly operating cost structure per 16’ pan est Variable cost Fixed cost Provision for waiting time between relocations of sites Total monthly operating cost
Alluvial vs Kimberlite Mining Value Curve (must make provision for unplanned cashflow disruptions, cannot make long term commitments) Value 50 years
24 Fundamental negative trends Commercial: –Increasing cost of capital, rural inflation –Land rent + time taken to negotiate & legal recourse Institutional: –Royalties, Proposed export duties, Administrative process, time & cost of permit applications
25 Comments On The Proposed Amendments Don’t exclude foreigners at trading houses – rather monitor those trading houses in terms of the Kimberley process, if not allow time for the cutting industry to develop Take the value of our product in consideration within the total production value chain ADI cannot afford any export duties Local buyers must pay international prices
26 Thank you