INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Mar 2011 MIPIM 2011 Cannes Gaëtan Siew UIA Imm P President GLOBALTRENDS GLOBAL TRENDS “It is not a matter of predicting the future, but of being prepared for it” Pericles ( BC) Greek politician and commander
Key Points 1.The World World of Contrasts Urban World Mobile world Refuge Blocks Global players Global issues /Crisis Global Imbalances 2.Global Trends Mobility Digital Era Identity –Culture 3.Lessons ? Innovate. Integrate.Inspire Global Trends INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
A World of Contrasts INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Sao Paulo, Brazil North – Old and Rich South – Young and Poor South 90% < 25 years old Jodhpur, India Rich/poor Knowledge Digital fracture Brain drain/Mobility Competing Cities Digital fracture 6,5 billions population 5,2 billions mobiles 4,5 billions radios 3,5 billions tv 1,6 billion computers 0,5 b Facebook
An Urban World INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS The World 2007 : > 50% urban population Monster or sustainable cities ? + 3 b people in South Cities by slum dwellers /month Sao Paulo, Brazil An Urban World Population m Tokyo 35.2 Jakarta 22,0 Bombay 21,2 Delhi 21,0 Manila 20,8 New York 20,6 Sao Paulo 20,2 Seoul 19,9 Mexico 18,7 Shanghai 18.4 Cairo 17,3 GUP b € Tokyo New York Los Angeles 639 Paris 460 Chicago 460 Londres 452 Osaka-Kobe 341 Mexico 315 Philadelphia 312 Washington 299
A World of mobility INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS 6 % The world Population – : 15% of EU population from Africa Delocalisation v/s immigration Climate refugees Mass tourism Retired living 2 summers Expats for Creative cities Nomades, Mali A Mobile World People – Ideas - Goods Hanoi, Vietnam
A World of refuge blocks INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Diversity Regionalisation By Region By Culture By Trade By Geopolitics
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Emerging nations BRICS + CIVETS 2008 : FDI billions US$ Networks Power Multinationals World Finance Civil Society NGOs A World of Global Players Global Entreprises Exxon – BP – Toyota - Nokia Vectors of norms New kind of economy based on networks New principlesNew principles New ways of creating valuesNew ways of creating values
A World of Global Issues and Crisis INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Climate Change Cultural Diversity Economic Crisis Food crisis Land ownership CO2 Emissions tons/person Qatar48.3 Bahrein27.0 Emirates25.9 Koweit25.7 Luxembourg23.6 Climate refugees Bangladesh Abandoned city Texas, USA
Global Trends Technological progress Global imbalances Health and Pandemias Increasing Mobility Environment Decline Identity v/s Globalisatio Identity v/s Globalisation INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS
Specific Trends for the Trade Asymmetrical Market Sustainability Opportunities Retired population market Mass Tourism Cultural projects INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Louvre Abu Dhabi
MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Global Trends : MOBILITY - PIG : People – Ideas - Goods Mobility Air Travel Intermodal container Cyberspace Global hubs INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Choking cities Jakarta – Up to 10h/day India - $6b/year Bogota TransMilenio 400km by 2012 Curitiba – 1100 km : 2m pax 2015: 600 m living 2 summers 2020: 1,6 b tourists2010: $ 460 b remittance m people HNI : with nomad tools Urban mobility Management models MIT + Singapore
Digital Era Death of distance? Mobility accelerator New organisation of space INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Increased productivity/efficiency Online database Health identifier Distance learning Exchange accelerator Mobile meteo for farmers in Africa Internet / Facebook revolution Wikileaks : Big brother II DIGITAL ERA Global Trends : DIGITAL ERA
Identity - Culture INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS March 2011 Rio carnival Rio carnival Francophony day Francophony day Haiku – World Poetry Day Haiku – World Poetry Day IDENTITY - CULTURE Global Trends : IDENTITY - CULTURE Bilbao Singapore –National Art Gallery Hybrid/Fusion = Innovation
Lessons ? INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Think outside the box New Model Connecting mobilities, affinities, identities, languages Understanding a globalized, integrated, collaborative world Sharing new mobility (knowledge/resources) Designing necessity into beauty
Shi Shei Gratias Obrigado Merci Spasiba Thank you Shoukran INTERNATIONAL UNION OF ARCHITECTS Gaëtan Siew Imm P President