Ma’ariv Conference Joel Maryles Citigroup / Salomon Smith Barney
2 Fundraising by Public and Private Israeli Companies Private Israeli Company Fundraising Source: IVC High Tech Survey Sep 2001 Public Israeli Company Fundraising
3 How does this compare to the US experience? 2000 Financing by US Technology Companies$272.3 Billion 2001 YTD Financing by US Technology Companies$84.7 Billion Percentage decline in % 2000 Financing by Israeli Companies on NASDAQ$4.0 Billion 2001 YTD Financing by Israeli Companies on NASDAQ$1.7 Billion Comparable percentage decline in %
Its always darkest before the dawn…….
Stock markets generally anticipate events six months in advance. We predict an economic rebound in the second half of 2002.
6 Global Economic Downturn Y/Y Percent Change Percent Change from Preceding Quarter (SAAR) HistoryForecastHistoryForecast Source: Salomon Smith Barney Economic & Market Analysis
7 Dow Jones and S&P 500 Declines 1)12/13/196106/26/1962(27.11)%134 2)02/09/196610/07/1966(25.21)%167 3)12/03/196805/26/1970(35.93)%367 4)01/11/197312/06/1974(45.07)%481 5)09/21/197602/28/1978(26.87)%363 6)04/27/198108/12/1982(24.13)%333 7)10/02/198710/19/1987(34.16)%12 8)07/16/199010/11/1990(21.16)%62 9)07/17/199808/31/1998(19.26)%32 10)01/14/200009/21/2001(29.75)%422 Average (excluding current period) (28.77)%217 PeakTrough % Decline # of Trading Days Significant Dow Jones Industrial Average DeclinesSignificant S&P 500 Industrial Average Declines 1)12/13/196106/26/1962(27.97)%135 2)02/09/196610/07/1966(22.18)%167 3)11/29/196805/26/1970(36.06)%369 4)01/11/197310/03/1974(48.20)%436 5)09/21/197603/06/1978(19.41)%366 6)11/28/198008/12/1982(27.11)%430 7)08/25/198712/04/1987(33.51)%71 8)07/16/199010/11/1990(19.92)%62 9)07/17/199808/31/1998(19.34)%32 10)03/24/200009/21/2001(36.77)%373 Average (excluding current period)(28.19)%230 PeakTrough % Decline # of Trading Days Source: Salomon Smith Barney
8 How have Israeli stocks held up?
Don’t Worry, Be Prepared Because……….
10 What Initially Attracted Foreign Investors to Israel? Israel’s natural resource is brainpower Foundation for Israel’s intellectual capital is the country’s military & academic institutions and the wave of immigration in the 90s that brought it to Israel an influx of scientists and engineers Israeli entrepreneurial spirit Israeli companies are consistently on the leading edge of technological innovation NONE OF THIS HAS CHANGED……..
Companies should focus on:
12 Upcoming Opportunities The need for technology Is not going away Productivity in global economy driven by adoption of new technologies Although the weaker are disappearing, the leaders are also getting weaker Inevitable consolidation will create gaps which will present opportunities BE PREPARED! Make sure you are ready when the market rebounds Use the current downturn to add depth to your management team
13 Alternatives to Capital Market Fundraising Various kinds of foreign investment - increasing trend towards Mergers & Acquisitions (corporate-to-corporate) Cash-rich corporations are taking advantage of lower valuations Industry Consolidation –Israeli companies acquiring international companies in order to increase market share and distribution channels –International companies acquiring Israeli technology as a source of revenue-generating solutions Examples of Israeli M&A activity in Israel in 2001: Marvell’s acquisition of Galileo Technology BreezeCom / Floware - Merger-of-Equals Amdocs announces acquisition of Clarify Hewlett Packard announces acquisition of Indigo NV