The world’s libraries. Connected. Big, social, and media-rich OLAC October 2012 Eric Childress Consulting Project Manager OCLC Research

The world’s libraries. Connected. Big patterns Media patterns 50 years ago Talk Map

The world’s libraries. Connected. Big Patterns

The world’s libraries. Connected. New companies blend: retail/advertising devices/OS content social Players & positions shift…

The world’s libraries. Connected. Passing… The exclusive reign of: a professional creator corps, publishing houses as gatekeepers, and, TV network & cinema studio executives as primary selectors of mass culture Big corporate funding & control Publisher owns copyright Packaged media Rising… The “everyman” creative class Low cost means of composing, editing and publishing Mobile devices as capture and creation platforms It’s all content Content is becoming social Crowdfunding of creators Many copyright strategies Digital The creative ecology

The world’s libraries. Connected. GoodReads 11M members (390M books on their shelves) LibraryThing 1.6M members (76M books cataloged) Mendeley - 1.6M researchers (200M research documents) Academic.edu - 1M users (1.6M papers) Resources are social

The world’s libraries. Connected. Media Patterns

The world’s libraries. Connected. Gaming Physical media US, UK, Japan, & Australian sales falling Console games dying? Game stores under pressure Digital format content Sales rising Many forms, channels New business model: Crowdfunding Patterns - Gaming Project Eternity crowdfunded role-playing game

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit (Gaming) Game consoles can serve as platforms for more than games…

The world’s libraries. Connected. Compact discs 30 yrs ago: Oct.1982: 1 st commercial release: Billy Joel's 52nd Street 1 st CD to beat its LP sales: Dire Straits' Brothers in Arms (1985) LPs 2011: LP sales (3.9M) - up 39% over 2010 Patterns – Audio (Music)

The world’s libraries. Connected. Digital music: 2011: digital track sales exceed CD sales Most popular track in 2012 (thru July): “Somebody That I Used To Know” / Gotye Internet radio Pandora (150M users) % of all radio listening in the U.S Other trends: Streaming/cloud iTunes Match Amazon Cloud Player New business models: Crowdfunding Records: Lots of sites New: tour-funding… 360 deals Labels and artists share tour, recording, etc. revenue Patterns – Audio (Music) (2)

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit (Music) – 1-bit symphony

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit (Music) – Algae music

The world’s libraries. Connected. DVR / devices / on-demand Delayed viewing (DVR) 7-14 days later: Significant viewership for some shows “TV Everywhere” initiative – watch shows on any device Also: apps from ABC, HBO, etc. 10% of U.S. tablet owners watch videos daily Netflix = 33% of all peak-hour downstream Internet traffic in North America YouTube = 4B hours watched/month Network TV Brand: Viewers know show, but may not know network Older viewers - steady Younger viewers - down Patterns – TV & On-demand

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit (Netflix) Netflix will caption 100% of videos by 2014

The world’s libraries. Connected. Industry worries: Rise of low-cost movie rental & subscription services Streaming revenue up Threat of Internet piracy Declines in DVD sales Blu-ray rising significantly Overall DVD sales declining Theatrical releases: Movie tickets sales 1.57B (2002) – 1.28B (2011) Revenue up (due to significant price increases) Studios like selling live “experience” (e.g., 3D) – no threat of piracy Patterns - Films

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbits – What films sell well? Source: the Numbersthe Numbers

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit – How hit films are born Source: the Numbersthe Numbers

The world’s libraries. Connected. Tidbit – Harry Potter franchise

The world’s libraries. Connected. Fifty years ago…

The world’s libraries. Connected. On 5 October 1962, Dr. No released – 1 st Bond film starring Sean Connery ; worldwide premiere was in London

The world’s libraries. Connected. 50 years ago… Love Me Do On 5 October 1962 “Love Me Do” was released as a single (B- side: “P.S. I Love You”) in the U.K. The song is an early Lennon–McCartney composition, principally written by Paul McCartney in 1958– 1959 while playing truant from school at age 16. Source: Wikipedia.Wikipedia

The world’s libraries. Connected. Thank you