Success Rate of Top 10 Draft Picks in the NFL: By Position Players Selected in the Top 10 Between 1994-2004.

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Presentation transcript:

Success Rate of Top 10 Draft Picks in the NFL: By Position Players Selected in the Top 10 Between

Odds of Drafting a Consistent Starter By Position DT: OL: WR: 86% DE: 77% CB:76% RB: 67% QB: 46% ***No defensive tackle or offensive lineman drafted between has busted. Defensive tackles and offensive lineman that are drafted in the top ten are the most likely (at minimum) to become starters. Odds of Drafting a Pro-Bowler by Position RB: 56% OL: 54% DT: 50% WR: 39% CB: 38 % QB: 33% DE: 33% EXCELLENT (BEST ODDS)***

Cornerbacks Selected in First Round, Picks Pro Bowlers DeAngelo Hall Champ Bailey Chris McAlister Shawn Springs Charles Woodson Starters Dunta Robinson Terence Newman Quentin Jammer Duane Starks Bryant Westbrook Busts Tommy Knight Michael Booker Alex Molden 76 percent of cornerbacks drafted became (at minimum) consistent starters 38 percent of cornerbacks selected became all-pro caliber players 24 percent of cornerbacks selected became busts Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent games over career or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived).

Wide Receivers Selected in First Round, Picks Pro Bowlers Larry Fitzgerald Andre Johnson Koren Robinson Torry Holt Roy Williams Reggie Williams Peter Warrick Plaxico Burress Charles Rogers David Terrell J.J. Stokes Travis Taylor Ike Hilliard Michael Westbrook Joey Galloway David Boston Keyshawn Johnson Terry Glenn 86 percent of receivers became (at minimum) consistent starters 39 percent of receivers became all-pro caliber players 14 percent of receivers became busts Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent of career games or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived). Starters Busts

Quarterbacks Selected in First Round, Picks Carson Palmer Michael Vick Donovan McNabb Trent Dilfer Kerry Collins Joey Harrington Tim Couch David Carr Akili Smith Ryan Leaf Heath Shuler Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Quarterback must make at least one Pro Bowl and have a career quarterback rating of 75. If a quarterback makes multiple Pro-Bowls the minimum quarterback rating requirement is waived. Starter: Must have a minimum of 60 games started and a minimum career quarterback rating of 75. If a quarterback reaches 100 starts, a minimum quarterback rating of 70 is necessary. Bust: Must have a minimum of 55 games started and have a quarterback rating under 75. If a player no longer in the NFL, the minimum games started requirement is waived. Not Gradable: Players have not started the 55 game minimum requirement and are still active in the NFL Peyton Manning Steve McNair 46 percent of quarterbacks became (at minimum) consistent starters 33 percent of quarterbacks drafted became all-pro caliber players 41 percent of quarterbacks became busts *************************************************************** +/- of 13 percent exists due to quarterbacks who could not be graded Pro BowlersStartersBusts

Running Backs Selected in First Round, Picks LaDainian Tomlinson Jamal Lewis Edgerrin James Ricky Williams Marshall Faulk Fred Taylor Curtis Enis Lawrence Phillips Ki-Jana Carter 67 percent of running backs became (at minimum) consistent starters 56 percent of running backs became all-pro caliber players 33 percent of running backs became busts Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent of games over career or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived). Pro BowlersStarters Busts

Defensive Tackles Selected in First Round, Picks Sam Adams Bryant Young Kevin Williams Bryant Young Johnathan Sullivan Dewayne Robertson Ryan Sims Gerard Warren Dan Wilkinson NONE John Henderson Corey Simon Darrell Russell 100 percent of defensive tackles drafted became (at minimum) consistent starters 50 percent of defensive tackles drafted became all-pro caliber players Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent of career games or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived). Pro BowlersStartersBusts

Offensive Lineman Selected in First Round, Picks Orlando Pace Walter Jones Jonathan Ogden Willie Anderson Robert Gallery Jordan Gross Mike Williams Bryant McKinnie NONE Tony Boselli Chris Samuels Kyle Turley Levi Jones Leonard Davis Chris Naeole 100 percent of offensive lineman drafted became (at minimum) consistent starters in the NFL 54 percent of offensive lineman drafted became all-pro caliber players Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent career games or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived). Pro Bowlers Starters Busts

Defensive Ends Selected in First Round, Picks Julius Peppers Richard Seymour Simeon Rice Courtney Brown Greg Ellis Grant Wistrom Mike Mamula Jamal Reynolds Andre Wadsworth 77 percent of defensive ends drafted became (at minimum) consistent starters 33 percent of defensive ends became all-pro caliber players 23 percent of defensive ends became busts Criteria All-Pro Caliber: Player must make one Pro Bowl Starter: Player must start at least 75 percent of career games or have more than 80 career starts Bust: Players start less than 75 percent of games over course of career (Player must have been in the NFL for at least three calendar years or have played in at least 48 games to qualify. If a player is no longer in the NFL, this requirement is waived).