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THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.

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Presentation transcript:

THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment returns and principal value will fluctuate, so that investors' shares, when sold, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Investing in any financial instruments does not guarantee that an investor will make money, avoid losing capital, or indicate that the investment is risk-free. There are no absolute guarantees in investing. HAWKTRADE and its members do not bear any responsibility for losses or gains made by members trading on their personal accounts based on analysis from HAWKTRADE meetings.

Data PieceExpectedResult Existing Home Sales 5.15 million4.88 million Worse New Home Sales 290 thousand250 thousand Worse Jobless Claims 385,000382,000 Better GDP (Q4 2010) 3.0%3.1% Better

There are two types of global economies right now Domestic Economies: Slow and Steady Growth Emerging Economies: High and Volatile Growth

Potential Risks Domestic Economies: more susceptible to deflation and recessions Emerging Economies: more susceptible to inflation and asset bubbles

Turkey & Indonesia are another two economies on the rise

Founder of the term “BRICs” Chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management (GSAM) *Used to own Manchester United Soccer team

Goldman Sachs: “The last decade saw the BRICs make their mark on the global economic landscape. Over the past 10 years they have contributed over a third of world GDP growth and grown from one-sixth of the world economy to almost a quarter. Looking forward to the coming decade, we expect this trend to continue and become even more pronounced”

Goldman Sachs, “Is this the ‘BRICs Decade’?” May 20, 2010.

 Gerdau: (GGB)  Vale: (VALE)  Petrobras: (PBR)  Banco Bradesco: (BBD)  Banco Sandtander: (BSBR) Commodity Producing Country (Worlds 8 th largest economy)

Commodity Producing Country (worlds 10 th largest economy)  Gazprom: (OGZPY)  Mechel: (MTL)  Mobile TeleSystems: (MBT)  Vimple Communications: (VIP)

Consumer Country (Worlds 11 th largest economy)  Warren Buffet announced last week that he plans on increasing BRK’s exposure to India

Consumer Country (Worlds 11 th largest economy)  Tata Group: motors, steel, communications  ETFs:  iPath MSCI India: (INP)  WisdomTree India Earnings Fund: (EPI)  Power shares (PIN)

Emerging to Growth Markets Air time: Tues. Nov | 2:10 AM ET

Consumer & Exporting Country (worlds 2 nd largest economy)  China has been manipulating their currency do make keep it cheaper so they will have better exports  China is an export dependent economy right now

Prediction  China will slowly transition from an export led economy to a more domestic/consumption economy  This will cause a the currency is get stronger, giving the consumer a higher purchasing power.  This transition may cause some political unrest

Macau  Las Vegas Sands: (LVS)  Wynn Resorts: (WYNN) PetroChina: (PTR) Aluminum Corp of China: (ACH) Baidu: (BIDU)

Turkish and Chile Banks Airtime: Tues. Mar | 9:27 AM ET

 (BSBR) Banco Santander  (ITUB) Banco Itau  (CIB) Bancolombia  (HDB) HDFC Bank  (TKGBY) Turkiye Garanti  (IBN) ICICI Bank

 Look at last year  Markets rallied late March/ April before and during earnings  Towards the end of earnings, expect more news about:  The end of QE2.  The Fed tightening, Raising rates.  Taking profits in late April/ early May before QE2 ends may be a smart play

Bullish on the BRIC Nations Airtime: Thurs. Oct | 5:40 AM ET