Your guide to a world of Opportunities #globalopportunity

1.What it is 2.Why we make it – and who ”we” are 3.How we make it – and why this is important 4.How to use the report 5.5 Risks – 15 Opportunities 6.Main findings – Introducing the opportunity manager Global Opportunity Report

What it is

Criteria for risks: -Of global importance -Actionable -Timely -Uncertainty is low – real challenge An investigation of five of the most important risks facing societies today What it is

Criteria for opportunities: -Addresses the risk -Opportunities for society first -Sustainable By uncovering the opportunities they also present What it is

Insights: -How optimistic are different regions/age groups/sectors about our ability to seize the opportunities -Which opportunities represent the preferred strategy choice for addressing the risks in regions/sectors etc. -From both a society and a business perspective What it is …and testing these against the people we need to engage in a transition to a safe and sustainable future – private businesses

What it is BUT, it is also: a demonstration of the Opportunity Mindset – a collaborative process designed to provide insights that facilitate action

Why we make it

Who “we” are – Three principal partners

“In human decision-making, losses loom larger than gains.” — Kahneman & Tversky

If, faced with risk, we are hesitant to take the first step – what then, can make us take a big leap?

Why we make it

1.A positive mindset and narrative 2.A collaborative process engaging stakeholders and experts  To motivate and inspire collaborative action on some of the greatest challenges ahead – by offering: Why we make it

How we make it

5 Risks

8 Panels 5 Risks8 Panels

5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities

5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions

6,160 private and public sector leaders 5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders

5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders Global Opportunity Report

5 Risks8 Panels15 Opportunities120 Solutions 6,160 private and public sector leaders Global Opportunity Report Collaborative Innovation Platform

How we make it Circular Process

How to use the report

Introduction

How to use the report Introduction

How to use the report Introduction

How to use the report Survey Results – Global

How to use the report Survey Results – Regional

How to use the report Demographic cross sections

How to use the report Business Sector results

How to use the report Manufacturing Sector results

How to use the report Presenting Risks

How to use the report and the Opportunities

How to use the report and Survey Data for each Opportunity

5 risks – 15 Opportunities

Risk 1 Extreme Weather Human society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events.

The number of people affected by extreme weather will more than double from 1970 to 2030 From 1992 to 2012, 64% of the world population was impacted by extreme weather Risk 1 Extreme Weather Human society is becoming increasingly vulnerable to extreme weather events. Since 1972 floods have caused losses of 720bn USD

Cost-Effective Adaptation #14 Investments in Resilience #15 Early Warning & Forecasting Services #9 ‣ Most attractive in North America ‣ An Opportunity for the Future ‣ Best in high-risk areas Opportunities: Risk 1 Extreme Weather

Early Warning & Forecasting Services Risk 1 Extreme Weather Best Opportunity: #9 In the top three for finance sector Most attractive in North America

Early Warning & Forecasting Services Risk 1 Extreme Weather Runner-ups: #14 ‣ Strong backing in lower-middle income economies ‣ An Opportunity for the future Investments in Resilience #15 ‣ Best in high-risk areas ‣ Least preferred for business

Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Lack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security.

Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Lack of fresh water threatens health and social cohesion and poses risks to food and energy security. The demand for fresh water is expected to overshoot supply by 40% in 20 years Manufacturing and power generation are the sectors driving most of the increased demand Almost 800mio. People do not have access to a proper source of water

Fresh Water Production #3 Smart Water Regulation #5 Water-Efficient Agriculture #1 ‣ Average opportunity for business ‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America ‣ No. 1 in South America Opportunities: Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water

Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water Water-Efficient Agriculture Best Opportunity: #1 Average opportunity for business Least favored by young generation

Fresh Water Production Runner-ups: #3 ‣ Rated highly in Europe and North America ‣ Asia is sceptical Smart Water Regulation #5 ‣ No. 1 in South America ‣ A favourite among women Risk 2 Lack of Fresh Water

Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Cost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.

Each year cities globally grow by 70mio. People – one new Chicago pr. two weeks Many cities are polluted, congested and vulnerable to natural disasters Global warming exacerbates many of the cities’ problems in coming decades Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Cost of congestion, pollution, and the detrimental health effects of rapidly growing cities threaten future prosperity.

Rural Growth Initiatives #12 Smart Cities #10 ‣ A favorite in China and India ‣ Good for finance but No New Biz Opportunities: Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation Compact, Green and Connected Cities #13 ‣ Favourite among the young

Risk 3 Smart Cities Best Opportunity: #10 Top choice in China Favourite among the young Unsustainable Urbanisation

Rural Growth Initiatives Runner-ups: #12 ‣ Good for finance but No New Biz ‣ Not for Europe and North America Compact, Green and Connected Cities #13 ‣ A favorite in China and India ‣ Not for those aged 50 and above Risk 3 Unsustainable Urbanisation

Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases NCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.

6 out of 10 greatest causes of death are NCDs (including heart disease, cancers and diabetes) In 2030 NCDs are projected to cause three times as many “healthy life-years” as communicable diseases 80% of NCD deaths – 29 mio/year – occur in middle and low-income countries Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases NCDs pose a significant threat to lives, livelihoods and economic development globally.

Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation #7 Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies #11 Everyday Health Enablers #2 ‣ Most favorable for business ‣ Preferred in the Americas ‣ India expects rapid deployment Opportunities: Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

Everyday Health Enablers Best Opportunity: #2 Most favorable for business Consistently high score Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation Runner-ups: #7 ‣ Preferred in the Americas ‣ Not picked up by finance sector Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies #11 ‣ Lack of investment interest ‣ India expects rapid deployment Risk 4 Non-Communicable Diseases

Risk 5 Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

Investment in fossil fuels is 4X greater than investments in renewables In the past 20 years fossil fuels’ share in the global energy supply has been stable around 86% In 2012, the 200 largest oil and gas companies spent 674bn dollars on developing new reserves Risk 5 Large investments in fossil fuels create a lock-in inhibiting reductions in GHG Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

Regulated Energy Transition #6 Energy Autonomy #8 Green Consumer Choices #4 ‣ Governments likely to invest ‣ Top opportunity for under 30s ‣ Strong business impact Opportunities: Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

Green Consumer Choices Best Opportunity: #4 Splits business Governments likely to invest Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

Regulated Energy Transition Runner-ups: #6 ‣ Top opportunity for under 30s ‣ Less popular with Business Energy Autonomy #8 ‣ Strong business impact ‣ Income divide Risk 5 Lock-in to Fossil Fuels

Main findings

Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman

Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young

Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America

Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector

Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector She embraces regulation

She is a woman She is young She lives in China, India or South America She works in the manufacturing or finance sector She embraces regulation She has confidence in our ability to transform our energy systems Main findings Profile of the Opportunity Manager

#globalopportunity Your guide to a world of Opportunities

Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Water Efficient Agriculture Green Consumer Choices Everyday Health Enablers Smart Water Regulation MENA favorite Above 50s favorite Fresh Water Production Europe favorite Governmental sector favorite South East Asia & Australia favorite Other Asia favorite Manufacturing sector favorite South America favorite #2#4#3#1#5

Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Regulated Energy Transition Early Warning and Forecasting Services Innovative Finance for a Healthy Generation Smart Cities Sub-Saharan Africa favorite Energy Autonomy North America favorite “Other businesses” sector favorite #7 #9 #8 #6 #10

Opportunity ranking Opportunities ranked by potential positive impact on society Combat NCDs with Mobile Technologies Cost-Effective Adaptation Rural Growth Initiatives Investments in Resilience Compact, Green and Connected Cities India favorite #12 #14 #13#11#15