Introduction ResultsLiterature and Data Cited In recent years the House of Representatives and the Senate have been gridlocked. Recent examples such as.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Elections, Campaigns and Voting Behavior
Advertisements

Quiz Nader vs. Political Science “ On five key votes, the top five recipients of banking money received over $190,000 in contributions and voted against.
 Interest Groups. Introduction  What is an interest group?  People who share common goals and organize to influence government  Interest groups focus.
Individual Campaign Contributions and Candidate Ideology ARTICLE BY MICHAEL J. ENSLEY PRESENTATION BY WILLIAM JERGINS.
Political Parties Chapter 12.
POLITICAL PARTIES 1.
Parties II: American political parties. Are American political parties strong or weak? Depends on how you look at party PIG PIE PAO Parties in government.
Party decline and renewal Key viewpoint – BROADER – ‘The Party’s over’ 1970s He claimed that both main parties had lost their ability to influence people.
Congress: Balancing National Goals and Local Interests
2000 Congressional Elections. House of Representatives All 435 seats in the House are at stake Current line-up Republicans222 Democrats211 Independents.
Interest Groups Chapter 11. The Role and Reputation of Interest Groups Defining Interest Groups – An organization of people with shared interests; they.
Congress Chapter 12. The Representatives and Senators The Job – Salary of $145,100 with retirement benefits – Office space in D.C. and at home and staff.
Political Parties Objective: Demonstrate understanding of types of political parties, functions of political parties, and trends affecting political parties.
Begin $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 PrimariesInterestGroupsConstitutionalClauses Political Beliefs RandomImportantCourtCases.
AG 1 Unit 2 & 3 EOC REVIEW. 1. ___ is the process of determining the # of representatives each state has every 10 years & ___ is the process of redrawing.
Which INTEREST GROUPS do you (or might you someday) belong to? Interest group: A collection of people who share certain views on public matters and work.
Unit III: Campaigns, Elections & the Media
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Longman.
Congress Chapter 12. The Representatives and Senators  The Job  Salary of $174,000 with retirement benefits.  Office space in D.C. and at home and.
POLITICAL PARTIES Chapter 8 The Meaning of Party  Political Party:  A team of men and women seeking to control government by gaining offices through.
Decline in Party Power in Recent Years. The adoption of the Direct Primary The nomination process to select candidates for office use to be accomplished.
Chapter 26 Political Parties, Interest Groups, Elections and Campaigns in Texas Pearson Education, Inc. © 2008 American Government 9th Edition to accompany.
Congressional Fly-In. Less Counts for More on Capitol Hill Congressional fly-ins have become increasingly popular for the association community. A fly-in.
The American Two-Party System
Chapter 11. Congress as a Career: Election to Congress Using incumbency to stay in Congress The service strategy: taking care of constituents Campaign.
Using the 2010 Midterm Elections to Teach Across the Curriculum Presenter Gary Copeland University of Oklahoma Presenter Gary Copeland University of Oklahoma.
Special Interest Groups;
The Composition of the US Congress There are 100 senators and 435 representatives. There are 2 senators from each state. The number of representatives.
Methods used by Pressure Groups Lobbying Campaigning/ raising awareness Direct Action Electioneering & Endorsement.
Chapter 26 The Elections and Political Campaigns in Texas Pearson Education, Inc. © 2006 American Government 2006 Edition (to accompany Comprehensive,
This well known political scientist developed the disturbance theory, hypothesizing that interest groups form to counteract the activities of other groups.
Practice Review - 3 The Bureaucracy Political Parties Interest Groups.
Chapter 10 Page 252. Vocabulary political party is a group of citizens with similar views on public issues that work together. nominate means to select.
Political Parties Chapter 12. In this chapter we will learn about What political parties are and the role they play in a democracy What parties in America.
US Government October 26, Daily Warm-up:  Would your family support one another in a crisis? Might they disagree on some family matters?
Congressional Make up and Voting. Parliament Candidates selected by the national party Voters choose between national parties, not multiple candidates.
Chapter 8: Political Parties, Candidates and Campaigns.
Interest Groups A Linkage Institution in American Politics.
Making Legislative Choices Member of Congress cast 1,000+ votes per year How do they decide?
Political Parties Chapter 12. In this chapter we will learn about What political parties are and the role they play in a democracy What parties in America.
Money and Campaigning American Government. FEC  In 1974 Congress passed the Federal Election Campaign Act  This act was passed in response to illegal.
Political Parties Objective: Demonstrate understanding of types of political parties, functions of political parties, and trends affecting political parties.
Date: January 21, 2016 Topic: Linkage Institutions and Participation Aim: How are citizens linked to government? Do Now: Take a packet.
Forms of Political Participation Lobbying is the strategy by which organized interests seek to influence the passage of legislation by exerting direct.
Congress Chapter 12. The Representatives and Senators The Job – Salary of $174,000 with retirement benefits. – Office space in D.C. and at home and staff.
Copyright © 2011 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Longman The Nomination Game Nomination The official endorsement of a candidate for office by a political.
Begin $100 $200 $300 $400 $500 CourtsLinkageInstitutionElections media CongressTerms.
Chapter 5 Political Parties: Texas in Blue and Red
Political Parties Chapter 8.
Interest Groups in Politics:
Adam Bonica, Nolan McCarty, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal
Political Party History
Chapter 8 Congress: Members and Elections
Political Parties Chapter 12.
The Legislative Branch: Legislative Process
Congress: Balancing National Goals and Local Interests
Congress: Balancing National Goals and Local Interests
What is “Trumpism”? What is it and how is it different than Republicanism or Democratic party values?
Political Parties Chapter 12.
[ 11.4 ] Money and Elections.
[ 11.4 ] Money and Elections.
AP U.S. GOVERNMENT & POLITICS – Linkages
Political Parties Chapter 5.
Gerrymandering.
POLITICAL PARTIES Chapter 12.
Unit 2: Interactions Among Branches of Government
Political Parties and Interest Groups
Political Parties, Candidates, and Campaigns: Defining the Voter’s Choice Chapter 8.
Article Assignment Outline the article’s argument Main Idea
Adam Bonica, Nolan McCarty, Keith T. Poole, and Howard Rosenthal
Presentation transcript:

Introduction ResultsLiterature and Data Cited In recent years the House of Representatives and the Senate have been gridlocked. Recent examples such as the government shutdown or the open letter to the leaders of Iran are case studies into the ideological polarization of political parties, and the policy gridlock that results. In short, the “political center” has collapsed leaving little “space” for compromise between liberals and conservatives. One potential explanation for this is the proliferation of liberal and conservative interest groups in Washington, DC. Many interest groups “score” legislators according to whether they voted in favor or against the group on specific roll call votes. By announcing their vote preferences, Interest groups hope to influence the votes of Congress. In turn, legislators seek to maximize their score by voting with favorite groups to improve their liberal or conservative “credentials.” Recently, there has been a “fracturing” of the Republican party with extremist conservatives gaining a larger share of seats in the House of Representatives. This has caused an ideological polarization within the political party. Using Poole and Rosenthal’s party unity data that examines member Representative’s support for party votes, along with campaign contributions data from the Federal Elections Commission, my findings show that there is a correlation between the Republican members House of Representatives party unity scores and the average campaign contributions received from interest groups. This suggests that interest groups have also become more polarized over time. The polarization of interest groups is accompanied by the increasing polarization of members of Congress in the same policy space. While this does not establish a causal relationship, it is consistent with anecdotal evidence suggesting that interest groups have become centers of gravity pulling members of Congress to the ideological extremes. Conclusions Campaign contributions matter. Analysis of the data shows that there is a positive relationship between the average campaign contribution that interest groups donated had an impact on the unity of the Republican party from the 109 th through the 112 th Congress. The correlation of party unity with campaign contributions does not show causality of the polarization in the Republican party. Other political trends were occurring during the time such as the election of President Barack Obama – which provided fuel to the ideological polarization of the Republican party through case studies such as the Tea Party led “Birther Movement.” From the end of the Bush-era politics of the 109 th Congress – which was plagued by the Hurricane Katrina scandal and the start of the descent for the Republican party, the number of campaign contributions received by members of the House of Representatives declined – and so did party unity. It is interesting to note the major spike in campaign contributions during the 112 th Congress correlating with a major spike in party unity. This was likely fueled by ongoing debates over the introduction and passage of the Affordable Care Act during the 112 th Congress. Christopher Hare, Keith Poole (2013), The Polarization of Contemporary American Politics. University of Georgia. URL: Federal Election Commission (2012), Metadata : Committee’s Master List, Candidate’s Master List, Contributions to Candidates, Contributions by Individuals, Operating Expenditures. URL: Keith Poole, Jeffrey Lewis, James Lo, Royce Carroll (2011). Scaling Roll Call Votes with wnominate in R. Journal of Statistical Software, 42(14), URL Keith Poole (2008), The Roots of the Polarization of Modern U. S. Politics. University of California San Diego. URL: Keith Poole (2015), Party Unity Scores for Democrat and Republican Members of Congresses ( ). URL: Acknowledgements I would like to thank Drs. Sean Q. Kelly and Geoff Buhl for allowing me the opportunity to work with their research linking interest groups and political polarization. I would also like to thank the Student Research Steering Council for the opportunity to be a member of the Interdisciplinary Research Learning Community of CSU Channel Islands. This has been an invaluable experience in understanding and performing research first hand. I look forward to digging deeper and discovering more. In addition, I want to thank the Western Political Science Association for allowing me the opportunity to present this research. Further Research I would like to continue future research into mapping the interest group universe that has a positive correlation with the unity of the Republican party, and the increasing ideological polarization being noticed. It would be interesting to examine if there is any link between business being done in a Congressional member’s district by a contributor to an interest group, and the increasing polarization of the Republican party. Further analysis could determine the underlying linkages between members of Congress and the financiers of the major contributing political interests groups. It would also be interesting to map if there is any correlation between the party polarization and the rising major contributing interest groups to see if “grassroots” lobbying is opening the door for more extreme conservatives. Politics to the Extreme: Polarizing Interest Groups Cordell Tarrant Dr. Sean Kelly California State University Channel Islands Methodology Data was compiled from various authors of datasets. The Federal Elections Commission provided data on interest group contributions to individual candidates during the 109 th, 110 th, 11 th, and 112 th Congressional election years which included data on candidate identification, candidate primary PAC, contributions from individuals to PACs, contributions from PACs to candidate primary PAC. The Library of Congress provided data on Congressional members including party, state, and district. Poole and Rosenthal’s DW-Nominate algorithm provided the mean voting ideology for Republican House members from 1945 through 2012; Poole and Rosenthal’s data also provided the number of supporting party votes and total party votes cast for House of Representative members since This data was compiled through Microsoft Excel, SPSS, and R Statistical Software. Using regression analysis, I compared the effect of Campaign Contributions (independent variable) to the member Party Unity score(dependent variable) to determine the statistical significance of the impact Campaign Contributions received from interest groups have on a representative members choice to vote along party lines.