Quality and Leadership for Romanian Higher Education Project Mutual Learning Workshop 2: Scenario Building: Methods, Approaches and Applications in Higher Education Prof. Adrian Curaj General Director Executive Agency for Higher Education and Research Funding

Who we are: The Executive Agency for Higher Education and Research Funding + The National University Research Council + The National Council for Funding Higher Education - Intermediary funding body for research; - Funding Body for Higher Education; - Coordinator of the First Romanian Foresight Exercise in S&T, ; 2007; - Department for projects and international cooperation

Cluster of Five Strategic Projects: The Future of Romanian Higher Education “Charting the Future of our Society” Projects’ Coordinator Executive Agency for Higher Education and Research Funding Funds All the projects are financed by EU Cohesion Funds /Structural Funds, Human Resources Development Operational Programme Implementation Period

Quality and Leadership for Higher Education Doctorate in Universities of Excellence Doctorate in Universities of Excellence Doctoral Education Doctoral Education Improving the University Management Improving the University Management Electronic Students Enrollment System Electronic Students Enrollment System

Five Strategic Projects

Quality and Leadership for Romanian Higher Education Objectives 1. Vision “Romanian Higher Education in 2025” 2. Bucharest Dialogues & “Mutual Learning Workshops” Web 2.0 platform about foresight – FORwiki 3. Support for leadership in universities - Foresight training - Blueprint for university foresight - Higher Education Observatory - International conference “Future of Higher Education” (2011) 4. Methodology for differentiating Romanian universities

Vision 2025 “Romanian Higher education” Quality and Leadership for Higher Education Bucharest dialogues & FORwiki MLW 2 – Scenarios Oct Blueprint “Foresight in universities” MLW 1 – Systemic thinking Sept “Understanding Romanian HE system” Scenario WS MLWs – Foresight in universities MLW – University Foresight Sept. 2010

Bucharest dialogues Ten Mutual Learning Workshops on Foresight Two Mutual Learning Workshops on Intellectual capital For nurturing the community of:  Foresight researchers  Foresight practitioners  Persons interested in foresight Sustainable dialogue beyond the project? FORwiki – Wiki Platform on Foresight - Clarifications - Practices - Narratives - Bios

Quality and Leadership for Romanian Higher Education VISION BUILDING PROCESS Radu Gheorghiu

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ “for which we believe in …” Values and institutional framework

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ “for which we believe in …” Values and institutional framework Action lines “and accordingly we act for…”

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ “for which we believe in …” Values and institutional framework Policies Diagnosis Drivers of change “and accordingly we act for…” Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Panel 2 Panel 3 Panel 4 Panel 5 Diagnosis Drivers of change Diagnosis Drivers of change Diagnosis Drivers of change Diagnosis Drivers of change Panel 1

. Panels’ domains of interest Universities and… … HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT (P1) … KNOWLEDGE (P2)... BUSINESS SECTOR (P3) … VALUES (P4) THEIR INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS (P5)

. Panels’ domains of interest Universities and … Universities and … … HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT (P1)  Correlation with the labor market  Life long learning  Certification of professional skills  Creativity, skills for life and entrepreneurship  Inter-disciplinarity and flexibility of human capital … HUMAN CAPITAL DEVELOPMENT (P1)  Correlation with the labor market  Life long learning  Certification of professional skills  Creativity, skills for life and entrepreneurship  Inter-disciplinarity and flexibility of human capital … KNOWLEDGE GENERATION (P2) Correlation of pedagogical and research activities Research universities Particularities of basic, engineering and social research... BUSINESS (P3) Universities and innovation clusters Public-private partnership for innovation IPR in university-business collaboration Innovation infrastructures in universities... BUSINESS (P3) Universities and innovation clusters Public-private partnership for innovation IPR in university-business collaboration Innovation infrastructures in universities … SOCIAL VALUES (P4) University as promoter of social values Accessibility of studies Universities and local development Universities and information society … SOCIAL VALUES (P4) University as promoter of social values Accessibility of studies Universities and local development Universities and information society THEIR INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS (P5) Internationalization of higher education Positioning on the global market of education Positioning on the global knowledge market European integration and national brand THEIR INTERNATIONAL COMPETITIVENESS (P5) Internationalization of higher education Positioning on the global market of education Positioning on the global knowledge market European integration and national brand

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Action lines “and accordingly we act for…” Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 What’s next …in January 2010 Success scenario 2025 Panel 1 Panel 2 Panel 3 Panel 4 Panel 5 Panel 10 Panel 6 Panel 9 Panel 7 Panel 8 Ten new panels on policy issues Panel 6 - System view

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Policies “and accordingly we act for…” Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 What’s next …in January- March 2010 Success scenario 2025 Panel 1 Panel 2 Panel 3 Panel 4 Panel 5 Panel 10 Panel 6 Panel 9 Panel 7 Panel 8 Each of the 10 panels elaborates 3 policy/action reccomendations Panel 6 - System view

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Policies “and accordingly we act for…” Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 Success scenario 2025 What’s next …in January- March 2009 Success scenario 2025 Panel 1 Panel 2 Panel 3 Panel 4 Panel 5 Panel 10 Panel 6 Panel 9 Panel 7 Panel 8 Online Delphi (web 2.0) Online Delphi (web 2.0)

Logic of the Delphi questionnaire Policy measures Expected impact -Intensity -Reason/Description Expected impact -Intensity -Reason/Description V1V2V3V4V5 Key variables of the success scenarios

. Delphi questionnaire - Simulation Policy measureImpact by 2025 for: University- industry men- power planning ISI publications University – industry R&D projects Attractiveness of Romanian universities for foreign students Transparency in the higher education system Introduction of basic financing for university research Details Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason The qualitative criteria in per student financing exceeds 40% Details Impact Reason Impact Justificare Impact Justificare Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason Impact Reason X Integration of research into PhD programs (41) Increased attractiveness of research carrier (23) __ Concentration of resources in large universities (1) __Isolation of university from real life (1) _…………………………………………………. X Integration of research into PhD programs (41) Increased attractiveness of research carrier (23) __ Concentration of resources in large universities (1) __Isolation of university from real life (1) _………………………………………………… = = -

. Delphi rounds Panel (15 persons) 200 persons 500 persons 1000 persons Reformulation of statements Clustering and analysis Consultation rounds

Vision „Higher education in Romania 2025“ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ Desirable and realistic image of HE in 2025 „A world of... “ “for which we believe in …” Values and institutional framework Policies “and accordingly we act for…” What’s next …in November 2010

P1 P2 P3 P4 P5 R. situation Drivers actors desirable image Values and institutional setting Desirable image comprising the 5 DOIs „ A world of... “ Vision HE System 2025 Values and institutional setting „ For which we believe in... “ International Competition Forming of Social Values Innovation Capabilitry Knowledge production Human Capital Development Action lines„ and accordingly we act “ Scenario WorkshopStakeholder Debate Delphi Survey Panels R. situation Drivers actors R. situation Drivers actors R. situation Drivers actors R. situation Drivers actors Evaluation Criteria Outline Vision Building Process By Philine Warnke

P1 Human Capital Anticipatory Correlation Life Long Learning Certification Creativity Inter-disciplinarity Desirable image 2025 Desirable image& Transformation Challenge Desirable image& Transformation Challenge Desirable image& Transformation Challenge Values and institutional setting Success scenario Human Capital Challenges Subscenarios Scenario development process for one panel Scenario workshop 9-11 Dec 2009 Meeting the stakeholders Jan. 2010

Thank you!