Eastern Snake Plain Comprehensive Aquifer Management Plan A Positive Path Forward Hal N. Anderson June 11, 2009

Regionally Averaged Cool Season Anomalies (Source-U.W. Climate Impacts Group)

Eastern Snake Plain Aquifer Model Water Budget

Background ESPA Framework Plan Process Initiated 2006, by SCR 136. ESPA Framework Plan Developed and Adopted in 2007, HCR 28. Advisory Committee Convened (2007) ESPA Advisory Committee Recommendations Developed (2008) Board Adoption of the ESPA Plan, January 29, Legislature approved HB 264 approving ESPA Plan, Governor signed into law April 23.

Framework Plan Recognized that water supply and demand were out of balance in the aquifer and the Snake River, making more deliberate and coordinated management of surface and ground water on the ESPA a necessity.

Objectives for ESPA Management Increase predictability for water users by managing for reliable supply. Create alternatives to administrative curtailment. Manage overall demand for water within the Eastern Snake Plain. Increase recharge to the aquifer. Reduce withdrawals from the aquifer.

Management Options ComponentsEstimated Average Supply (best information) Estimated Cost (best information) Hydrologic ImpactsTimeline for implementation Weather Modification (Idaho only) 60, ,000 AF/yr (increase yield by %) $250k -$700k/yrPotential supply increase in headwater snowpack. Increased natural flow, and increased reservoir storage. 1-to-2 years Aquifer Recharge (no construction option – use excess natural flow for supply) 70,000 AF/yr (50 KAF from Snake and 20KAF from Wood) $8/AF wheeling fee ($560,000/yr) No capital cost Above American Falls – improved natural flow later in season. Some improvement to reaches above and below Milner with current facilities at NSCC and Wood River system 1 year Salmon flow exchange 102,000 AF/yr (varies from 0-to-205KAF based on water supplies) $185M up-front cost (need to acquire 205KAF+20%, assume $750/AF) Increase in storage availability for conversion or recharge projects. Reduces releases past Milner. 5 years due to water right purchases Costs are preliminary estimates for budget purposes only

Management Options ComponentsEstimated Average Supply (best information) Estimated Cost (best information)Hydrologic ImpactsTimeline for implementation Minidoka Enlargement50,000 AF/yr$250M capital cost Annual O&M at 1% of capital cost ($2.5M/yr) Reliable Storage supply for conversion, recharge or other projects 10 years New Storage above American Falls 100,000 AF/yr$500M capital cost Annual O&M at 1% of capital cost ($5M/yr) Reliable Storage supply for conversion, recharge or other projects 30 years Aquifer Recharge - Infrastructure required - using excess natural flow 400,000 AF/yr$75M Annual O&M at 1% of capital cost ($750K/yr) Annual wheeling costs of $8/AF ($3.2M/yr) The majority of the capital cost would have to be spent below American Falls Recharge spread over broader area, longer term improvement to reach gains/aquifer levels above and below Milner 20 years due to construction A&B Conversionrequires Minidoka enlargement and Salmon Flow Exchange to provide water supply Partial conversion of District may be an option $350M capital cost Annual O&M at 1% of capital cost ($2.5M) Also see costs under Minidoka Enlargement and Salmon Flow Exchange Cost of partial conversion would be proportional. Reduces pumping stress in a key location; long term improvement to reach gains/aquifer levels evenly distributed above and below American Falls 10 years Costs are preliminary estimates for budget purposes only

Management Options ComponentsEstimated Average Supply (best information) Estimated Cost (best information) Hydrologic ImpactsTimeline for implementation Other Hard Conversions (Hazelton Butte) 20 KAF (10,000 acres+/) Requires Salmon flow exchange and/or Minidoka for water supply $20M capital cost Annual O&M at 1% of capital cost ($200K) Also see costs under Minidoka Enlargement and Salmon Flow Exchange Improvements in reach gains below Milner, however results could be intermittent depending on surface supply 10 years Soft Conversionsrequires Salmon flow exchange and/or Minidoka for water supply – Full implementation requires salmon flow exchange $23M capital cost Assume annual O&M cost is borne by landowners Long term improvements in reach gains above Milner, however results are not immediate and could be intermittent depending on surface supply 5 years Demand Reduction - dry year lease - fallowing - buy outs - crop mix changes 160 KAF (have already achieved 40 KAF thru CREP) $1,250/AF for acquisition of ground water rights Other options should be less Buy-outs would have a permanent impact to water budget through reduced depletions – other options depend on configuration of programs 2-10 years depending on options and amounts Costs are preliminary estimates for budget purposes only

Weather Modification is a stand- alone option to be considered independently of packages OptionEstimated Average Supply (best information) Estimated Cost (best information) Timeline for implementation Weather Modification 60, ,000 AF/yr$250k-$700k/yr1-to-2 years Costs are preliminary estimates for budget purposes only

Weather Modification Feasibility Study Estimated Streamflow Increases

Management Alternative Packages Packages Developed include: –Small (300 KAF); least expensive and quickest to implement –Medium (600 KAF); more expensive and takes more time to fully implement –Large (900 KAF); most expensive and will take decades to fully implement –Demand Reduction and Recharge Emphasis

Hydrologic Goal – 600 kaf Change –600 kaf Water Budget Change Robust mix of conversions, aquifer recharge, demand reduction and conservation strategies –Implementation Timeline – 20 years –Cost – $600 million not including O&M

Phase I Actions Phase I (1 – 10 years) Hydrologic target of 200kaf – 300kaf Initiate actions that increase aquifer levels, and spring and river flows Geographically distributed across the ESPA Build institutional confidence with long- term plan implementation

Phase I Actions –Groundwater to Surface Water Conversions –Managed Aquifer Recharge –Demand Reduction Buyouts, buy-downs and/or subordination agreements Rotating fallowing, dry-year lease agreement, CREP Crop mix modification Surface water conservation –Pilot Weather Modification Program

PLAN HYDROLOGIC TARGETS ActionPhase I Target (kaf)Long-Term Target (kaf) Ground Water to Surface Water Conversion 100 Managed Aquifer Recharge Demand Reduction Surface Water Conservation50 Crop Mix Modification5 Rotating Fallowing, Dry-Year Lease Agreements and CREP Enhancements. 40 Buy Outs, Buy Downs, and/or Subordination Agreements No Target (Opportunity-Based) Weather Modification50*No Target TOTAL CAMP Hydrologic Targets * 50kaf based on conservative estimate from Upper Snake Weather Modification Feasibility study

ActionWater Budget Change Capitol CostOngoing Annual Cost Cost per Acre-foot of benefit Ground water-to-surface water conversions 100 KAF$30M(1)$300/AF Recharge100 KAF$15M$300K/yr equals $3M for years 1-10 $180/AF Weather Modification60 KAF– 190 KAF$700K/yr equals $7M for years 1-10 $50/AF Surface Water Conservation in areas not impacting recharge to ESPA 50 KAF$20M(1)$400/AF Crop Mix Modification5 KAF$1M/yr equals $10M for years 1-10 $200/AF Rotating fallowing, dry year leasing, CREP 40 KAF(2) Program Administration and engineering $5M over years 1-10 TOTALS355 KAF – 485 KAF $65M$25M over years $227/AF Notes :(1)It is assumed that the water users will take over annual O&M in these cases since these projects should reduce O&M costs from existing levels. (2) CREP has already achieved a 40 KAF water budget change so no additional costs are needed for this action unless CREP acreage decreases. ESPA CAMP Phase 1 ACTIONS - COST PER ACRE FOOT OF BENEFIT

ESPA CAMP Hydrologic Analysis A series of hydrologic analyses were conducted to determine the effects of the CAMP Phase 1 actions on aquifer levels and reach gains (spring flows) from the aquifer. The period of was used as hydrologic input into the analysis. It was determined that over this time period, the Phase 1 CAMP actions could be achieved as follows: Phase 1 CAMP Action Average acre-feet/year Recharge (Snake River)91,223 Recharge (Wood River)22,565 Conversions85,027 Surface Water Conservation32,100 Weather Modification51,500 Demand Reduction44,835 TOTAL 327,250

ESPA CAMP Phase 1 Estimated Increase in Reach Gains (Spring Flows) from the Aquifer at Selected Locations

ESPA CAMP Phase 1 Estimated Increase in Ground Water Levels at Selected Locations

ESPA CAMP Phase 1 Funding Participation Targets Water User CategoryPhase 1 Funding Participation Targets Irrigated Agriculture $3 million annually (based on participation of $2 million annually for ground water users and $1 million for surface water users) Idaho Power $1 million - $1.5 million annually (for projects that qualify for TEMP)* Municipalities $700,000 annually (includes commitment to address rules and statutes that may inhibit municipal growth) Spring Users$200,000 annually (based of cfs) Industrial and Commercial Users(not served by municipalities or ground water districts)$150,000 annually (based on estimated 15kaf use annually) State of Idaho$3 million annually Federal Pursue federal grant and cost share funding opportunity; EQUIP, Water for America, CREP and others Recreation/ConservationPursue grants and other funding opportunities * Temperature Enhancement and Management Program

Select Additional Plan Components Designed to enhance coordination, decision making and aquifer management. Environmental considerations, will seek to optimize outcomes for fish and wildlife, recreation, hydropower, municipalities, irrigation, aquaculture and other uses. Clearinghouse, a flexible mechanism to connect willing participants. Outreach and Education, initial emphasis on local governments, domestic well owners and consumptive water users. Management Flexibility and Innovation, consider innovative strategies to solve water management problems.

Comprehensive Aquifer Management and Planning Program 2008 Legislation House Bills No. 428 and 644 Created Aquifer Planning and Management Program Established Aquifer Planning and Management Fund New Idaho Code Sections:

Purpose Conduct statewide comprehensive aquifer planning and management effort over a 10- year period Avoid the Eastern Snake Plain conflicts in other areas of the state Develop management plans for selected basins with potential ground-surface water conflicts or other potential conflicts

Funding 30 million dollar program to study and develop Comprehensive Aquifer Plans for 10 Major Aquifers. Legislature Appropriated $20 million in FY2009. Appropriated $274,900 to IDWR for first year of program Interest from Fund will be routed back into Fund to extend funding for duration of program Governor Recommended using $12 million in FY2010 to offset General Fund Shortage. Remaining $8 million will fund completion of Rathdrum and Treasure Valley Aquifers and ESPA Monitoring through FY 2013.

Original Schedule of Work Based on $20 Million (plus interest) BasinFY ESPA Monitoring Treasure Valley Rathdrum Prairie Palouse Big Wood Mountain Home Bear Teton Big Lost Portneuf Blackfoot Revised Schedule of Work Based on $8 Million (plus interest) Basin FY ESPA Monitoring Treasure Valley Rathdrum Prairie Comprehensive Aquifer Management and Planning

Ten Priority Aquifers

Anticipated Technical Studies Establish Monitoring Network Develop Hydrologic Framework Water Balance Ground Water Model Climate Change and Weather Modification feasibility. Storage Opportunities

Anticipated Planning Studies Water Demand Projections (50 year) Facilitators have been hired for Rathdrum and Treasure Valley. Evaluate alternatives to meeting projected demands: –Water Use Transfers (i.e., ag to DCMI) –Weather Modification Feasibility –Aquifer Recharge –New Storage –Inter-basin Transfers

Questions ?