Project Evaluation Database System for MORPC’s 2012 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) May 7, 2013 Nick Gill Zhuojun Jiang.

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Presentation transcript:

Project Evaluation Database System for MORPC’s 2012 Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) May 7, 2013 Nick Gill Zhuojun Jiang

assure environmental justice assure air quality conformity evaluate strategies and projects future population and employment growth distribution assure financial balance estimate future travel demand adopt. implement through TIP, and continuing work public involvement and participation goals, objectives, strategies, actions, performance Transportation Plan Process

By the Numbers 6 Broad Goals 16 System Objectives 25 Measures & 16 Statements Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP

Objective Measures from modeling procedures Measures from GIS procedures Qualitative statements Attract new businesses, expand and retain existing businesses Reduction in congested VMT near project Truck density along project % Project traffic going to intermodal transfer points Peak period travel time reduction per project user % Existing truck traffic Existing non-retail jobs near project Forecasted non-retail jobs near project Crash composite ranking Impact on job growth Congestion condition for the project area Attract and retain a skilled workforce Miles of bike routes added with the project Transit enhancement Goal: Attract and Retain Economic Opportunity Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Key 2 Objectives

Goal: Preserve and Project Natural Resources Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Protect natural habitats List of sensitive land or ecological systems near project Improve water quality Whether within a stream buffer Reduce air pollution Reduction in vehicular emissions (PM2.5, VOC, and NOx) 3 Objectives

Goal: Promote Reduction in Energy Consumption and Production of Alternative Energies Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Demonstrate energy savings through technology & innovation Potential project level technology components that save energies Increase energy savings through individuals actions Project potential to reduce drive-alone travelers Increase production and use of renewable fuel sources Project potential to facilitate generation or use of renewable energy 3 Objectives

Goal: Increase Collaboration to Maximize the Return on Public Expenditures Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Increase investments in public projects from non- public sources Amount of new development near project Percent of new development near project Mechanisms in place in the project area to enable non- public participation Increase awareness of regional impact from local decisions Sorting from most to least users by jurisdiction, the number of jurisdictions that contribute 75% of the project users Whether a project phase is currently on the TIP List of plans/studies the project appears in Compatibility of the project with adjacent communities’ plans Reduce loss of life and property due to natural and manmade disasters Significance in preventing or minimizing the impact of natural or manmade disasters 3 Objectives

Goal: Promote Public Investments to Benefit the Health, Safety and Welfare of People Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Increase access to transportation choices % Project traffic going to multimodal transfer points Reduction in congested VMT near project Peak travel time reduction per project user % project without sidewalks in good condition Miles of bike routes added with the project Transit enhancement Gap filling in existing bikeways, pedestrian, or transit path Increase safety of central Ohio residents Crash composite ranking Maximize the life of existing infrastructure Bridge rating Pavement condition rating Project potential to maximize life of transportation system 3 Objectives

Goal: Create Sustainable Neighborhoods Goals, Objectives, Measures for MTP Increase neighborhood stability % EJ populations of the project users (Minority, Poverty, Elderly, and Disabled) % project without sidewalks in good condition Miles of bike routes added with the project Transit enhancement Possible displacement Potential negative impacts to EJ populations Facilitate redevelopment and infill Average population & job density of project users’ origins and destinations in 2010 Average population & job density of project users’ origins and destinations in 2035 Average change in population & job density of project users’ origins and destinations from 2010 to 2035 Proximity to existing development sites Objective 2 Objectives

Project Evaluation Database System Candidate Projects

Transportation Plan Project Types Major Widening – Freeways New Freeways Converting to Freeway Interchange Expansion New Interchange Major Widening – Arterials New Roadway Minor Widening/Safety Intersection Modification Transit Bike/Pedestrian (stand alone) Management and Operations/ITS Railroad Related Other *Specific project to expand the transportation system are listed *Specific maintenance projects are not listed Project Evaluation Database System

Evaluated 769 candidate projects – 40 freeway projects – 47 interchange projects – 299 major widening/new roadways projects – 296 minor widening/intersection projects – 70 bike/pedestrian projects – 17 other projects 6 Broad Goals 16 System Objectives 25 Measures & 16 Statements

Modeling Procedures Project Evaluation Database System Take advantage of MORPC’s tour-based travel demand model No-Build (base) vs. Build (individual project) scenarios Traffic assignments with tighter convergence criteria (gap= ) Derive project users through select-link analysis Determine disadvantaged population users by linking disaggregate model results to PUMS data Produce congestion/travel time measures Produce vehicle emissions through standard AQ analysis procedures Produce OD-related measures for project users

Project Evaluation Database System Code Build Networks Build-network for each candidate project 682 “codable” candidate projects Sufficient batch of Build Networks? NoYes Identify Project Links Start Select Link/Traffic Assignments Determine Project Users Produce Measures More Build Networks? Yes Stop No Manual Process by 3 StaffBatch Process by 9 Model Computers Individual Project

GIS Procedures Project Evaluation Database System Take advantage of a variety of GIS layers available to MORPC (land use, transportation systems, crash data, traffic data, stream, ecological systems, etc) Create buffers around projects Spatial join with different GIS layers Produce GIS measures by using pre-determined formula

Qualitative Statements Project Evaluation Database System Take advantage of specific studies/plans and staff knowledge/judgments Developed by MORPC staff Reviewed by working group

Evaluating the Candidate Projects 6 Goals Criteria for each goal become data/info to subjectively score each goal on 0-20 scale Quantifiable data compared to histogram of values of similar/same project types Also consider qualitative statements related to achieving goal (improving an objective measure) Scores for each goal summed to determine total project score Project Evaluation Database System

Example Criteria Score (1) Project Evaluation Database System

Example Criteria Score (2) Project Evaluation Database System

Projects Stats and Staff Involved Project Evaluation Database System Evaluated 769 candidate projects – 40 freeway projects – 47 interchange projects – 299 major widening/new roadways projects – 296 minor widening/intersection projects – 70 bike/pedestrian projects – 17 other projects 6 staff involved for project evaluation – each focusing on a specific goal – Rotating review for second opinions

Project Evaluation Database System Project Score Details – Fact Sheets

Project Evaluation Database System Final Score Report – Freeway Example

Conclusions Project Evaluation Database System Streamlined project evaluation process Successful tool of project evaluation for 2012 MTP Similar database systems for future MTPs – Fair – Transparent – Rigorous However, still just a tool. MTP ultimately is result of the planning process which includes public involvement and other factors.

Questions?? Nick Gill – Zhuojun Jiang, Specifically-Appendix B