Capital city ports – coping with growth BTRE introduction Godfrey Lubulwa Maritime and Rail Statistics, BTRE BTRE Transport Colloquium June 2007

Outline 1.BTRE projections of growth in capital city ports to Implications of growth –Vessel visits –Wharf-side performance indicators –Landside of port terminal indicators 3. Conclusions

BTRE long term projected growth in containerised sea freight (exports & imports) Source: BTRE Working Paper 65 All ports

BTRE long term projected growth in containerised sea freight (exports & imports) Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

BTRE long term projected growth in non- containerised sea freight (exports & imports) Source: BTRE Working Paper 65 All ports

BTRE long term projected growth in non- containerised sea freight (exports & imports) Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

BTRE long term projected growth in total sea passenger visits (international + domestic) Source: BTRE Working Paper 65 All ports

Some implications of growth –Vessel visits –Wharf-side performance indicators –Landside of port terminal indicators

(1) Growth in ship visits and vessel size: containerised sea freight Source: BTRE Working Paper 65

(2a) Wharf-side performance indicators (Waterline) are flattening out Source: Waterline, various issues

Source: Sydney Ports Corporation, Logistics Review (3b) Most truck movements occur during the peak day-time period Port Botany container terminal, 2006 Time of day – 24 hour period

Source: Sydney Ports Corporation, Logistics Review (3c) Land side of port terminal: Very few trucks pick up/ drop off containers during the weekend

(3a) The landside of port terminal: The business/opening hours mismatch. Ship Dock Container yard Gate Road /Rail Government Mon-Fri Day time Customer Day-time Container depot Warehouse Mon-Fri Day time Empty container park 24 hours/ 7 days at major ports The landside of port terminal Intermodal hub Mon-Fri Day time Business practices Pick-up Drop off Exporter/ Importer Mon-Fri Day time

Conclusions 1.Strong growth is projected in capital city ports to 2025 –Containerised sea freight – Non-containerised sea freight –Sea passenger visits 2.Implications of growth –Vessel visits are projected to increase at 4.6% pa; Vessels on average are projected to be about 1% larger; –Wharf-side performance indicators are flattening out; –Activities and practices on the landside of port terminal may provide opportunities for future/further reform.