Omair Ali Antonio Alfonso Shehab Chowdhury Mohammad Zubair Ahsan Syed Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Fed Challenge 2011.

Slides:

Advertisements

Similar presentations

Measuring the US Economy Economic Indicators. Understanding the Lingo Annualized Rates Example: GDP Q3 (Final) = $11,814.9B (5.5%) Q2: GDP = $2,

Advertisements

Economic Conditions in New Hampshire and New England Yolanda Kodrzycki Vice President and Director, NEPPC Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Joint Economic.

Copyright © 2007 Global Insight, Inc. The U.S. Economic Outlook: How Much Fallout from The Housing Meltdown? Nariman Behravesh Chief Economist NAHB April.

Economic Assessment William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Not So Silent Partners: Libraries and Local Economic.

Economic Outlook William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Multi-Chamber Economic Outlook Luncheon Downers.

Keith Phillips, Sr. Economist and Research Officer 2014 Mid-Year TX Economic Outlook: Strong Growth to Continue.

Tracking the Recovery December 12, Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics.

December 2007 Thomas Jefferson Institute 2007 Innovations in Government Conference: Economic Update.

2015 Texas Economic Outlook: Tapping on the Brakes Keith Phillips Sr. Economist and Research Officer The views expressed in this presentation are strictly.

Why We Don’t Need to Worry About Ben Bernanke’s Helicopter An Insight into the Nation’s Inflation Situation Bill Armstrong Fed Challenge March 18, 2010.

Economic Outlook for Consumers William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago University of Illinois Center for.

Economic Indicators. Concepts  Variables that provide information about the state of the economy.  Every economic indicator has a story to tell.  Need.

Testimony for Hearings on FY 2010 Revenues Yolanda K. Kodrzycki Senior Economist and Policy Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Presented to: Massachusetts.

Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.

Clark County Budget & Economic Outlook July 22, 2015 Work Session: Board of Clark County Councilors.

The Global Economic Outlook May 2005 Jay H. Bryson, Global Economist Wachovia Corporation.

Omair Ali Antonio Alfonso Shehab Chowdhury Mohammad Zubair Ahsan Syed Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Fed Challenge 2011.

The 2015 Economy: Staying the course?? R. Christopher Jones, Ph.D.

Introduction to Business © Thomson South-Western ChapterChapter Economic Activity Measuring Economic Activity Economic Conditions Change.

MPSIF Market Update - 3/10/03 Agenda  U.S. Economic News  International News  Geopolitical Influence  Market Reaction  Where to invest?

Photos courtesy of USDA Maria Akers Assistant Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Omaha Branch September 22, 2008 Economic.

Economic Outlook March 2012 Economic Policy Division.

NAFTA Region – Economic and Steel Market Conditions and Outlook OECD Steel Workshop New Delhi, India -- May 16-17, 2006.

1 “All Eyes on the Economy” David Huether National Association of Manufacturers October 27, 2004.

The Economy and External Environment 10th Annual Georgia Idea Institute August 19, 2015 Bill Hampel, Chief Policy Officer Credit Union National Association.

Economic Outlook: Beyond the Recession ESICA Spring Conference The Tides Inn – Irvington, VA May 6, 2010 Ann Battle Macheras Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond.

Economic Indicators Lauren Rudd January 9, Same store sales 01/9/20142.

1 DOMESTIC ECONOMIC CONDITIONS Jeff Fuhrer Director of Research Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Equipment Leasing and Finance Association Credit and Collections.

COCHISE COLLEGE Center for Economic Research Economic Review & Outlook Douglas, AZ.

The Fed Challenge Rony Byas, Tina Byrne, Tashdid Hasan, Changhyon Hwang, Vincent Lo November 10, 2008.

UNIT C ECONOMIC FOUNDATIONS AND FINANCING 5.02 Explain the relationship between economic measurements and economic growth.

State of the Economy May 27, 2008 Jose Sanchez Maria Rodarte Mandi Tom Emerson Figueroa Omar Barragan.

Economics Call November 2, Case Shiller home price index was up for the 3 rd straight month New Home Sales were down in September –This industry.

The Economic Outlook: Recession and Opportunities By Dean Baker Co-Director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research (CEPR)

Decoding the Script. Page 2  Line 1: Manager of the SOMA – Senior official from NY Fed; reports on domestic and foreign exchange markets; always at FOMC.

Real GDP 3-5% Unemployment Rate 5% Further it goes under this Rate, the higher the inflation rate Inflation Rates- 0-2% CPI and PPI- 0-2%

2-1Measuring Economic Activity 2-2Economic Conditions Change 2-3Other Measure of Business Activity.

Economic Assessment Wade Rousse Economic Outreach Specialist Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago IASET Chicago, IL December 12, 2008.

What of the future? Gabriel Martinez, Ph.D. Ave Maria University August , % 0.6%

Economic Outlook for 2011 and 2012 William Strauss Senior Economist and Economic Advisor Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago Electronics Representatives Association.

U.S. Housing Outlook Presented By: Stanley F. Duobinis, Ph.D. President Crystal Ball Economics, Inc.

Reading the Economy. Rate of Change New – Old Old 600 – 500 =.2 = 20% 500.

Overview and Outlook for Georgia’s Revenue Situation and Economy Fiscal Management Council Office of Planning and Budget Ken Heaghney September 2015.

Introduction to Business © Thomson South-Western ChapterChapter Chapter 2 Measuring Economic Activity Economic Conditions Other Measures of Business Activity.

ECONOMIC OUTLOOK AND MONETARY POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS November 2, 2012 New York, NY.

Economic Outlook for 2010 Prof. Steven Kyle Cornell University December 8, 2009.

CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the written approval of Standard & Poor’s.

 Bond  Budget deficit  Budget surplus  Business cycle  Capital project  Deflation  Depression  Gross domestic product  Retail sales  stock 

Economic Outlook December 2014 Economic Policy Division.

MPSIF Market Strategy Value Fund October 20, 2003.

Economic and Commercial Real Estate Outlook By Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist National Association of REALTORS ® May 14, 2015 Washington, D.C.

CONFIDENTIAL AND PROPRIETARY. Permission to reprint or distribute any content from this presentation requires the written approval of Standard & Poor’s.

Introduction to Business © Thomson South-Western ChapterChapter Economic Activity Measuring Economic Activity Economic Conditions Change.

The Economic Outlook Sam Kahan, Senior Economist Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago: Detroit Branch Wisconsin Bankers Association Madison,

Noncompetitive division charts and policy questions The following pages provide a range of indicators (listed in alphabetical order) that you can use to.

CHAPTER 2 Economic Activity. MEASURING ECONOMIC ACTIVITY  Economic growth is the steady increase in the production of goods and services in an economic.

Creating a Forecast Charles Steindel January 21, 2010 All views expressed are those of the author only and not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve.

Jobs and Housing: Signs of Strength

Economic and Real Estate Market Outlook

Economic Policy Division

Presentation made by the South African Reserve Bank to the Standing Committee on Finance 23 February 2010.

Economic Conditions and Outlook

Ed Sullivan Group VP, Chief Economist

Economic & Real Estate Outlook

Georgia’s Economic Conditions and Outlook

Monetary Bulletin 2009/4 Powerpoint charts.

Economic Outlook Lake County Chamber of Commerce William Strauss

Economic Update December 2018 If you have any questions or comments,

Monetary Bulletin 2009/2 Powerpoint charts.

Economic Outlook EconoSummit 2019 William Strauss Las Vegas, NV

Presentation transcript:

Omair Ali Antonio Alfonso Shehab Chowdhury Mohammad Zubair Ahsan Syed Federal Reserve Open Market Committee Fed Challenge 2011

AGENDA I. General Comments II. GDP growth trends III. Consumer Sector IV. Housing Market V. Labor Markets and Productivity VI. Inflation VII. Financial Markets VIII. Specific Issues of Concern: Eurozone Worries IX. Policy Action

I. General Comments: U.S. Economic Climate  GDP growth has improved  Labor market is weak with the unemployment rate stuck at 9.1%  Consumers remain cautious – Consumer confidence still low.  Business investment picking up.  Oil Prices are volatile.  Financial market worries dominate.  Policy actions – focus on reducing unemployment

II. GDP Growth  3Q 2011 marks ninth consecutive quarter increase in real GDP.  3Q 2011 real GDP growth stepped up to a 2.5% rate from 1.3% in 2Q and 0.4% in 1Q.  Growth is up 1.6% compared to a year ago.  Strength seen in consumer spending (up 2.4%) and fixed nonresidential investment (up 14%).  Final sales grew at a healthy 3.6% rate, but inventories subtracted 1.1% from this to give us 2.5% 3Q growth.  Core PCE deflator was up at a 2.4% rate in 3Q, which is high, but better than the 3.3% rate seen in 2Q.  Despite 3Q improvement, the GDP gap – the difference between actual and potential GDP is sizeable at 6.7%

Large GDP Gap  Overall Assessment: Despite firmer 3Q growth, downside risks remain.

III. Consumer Outlook  3Q 2011 revival in consumer spending but negative signs dominate.  Consumer confidence slipped in October.  Income growth is meager

IV. Housing  Some stabilization seen  Consumer confidence slipped in October.  Income growth is meager

Mortgage rates

Housing starts

Home Sales and the NAHB Housing Market Index

Foreclosure activity and Delinquency

Case Shiller Home Price Indexes

Case-Shiller continued

Retail Sales

V. Labor Markets and Productivity  Unemployment rate is stuck at 9.1%  Consumer confidence slipped in October.  Income growth is meager

Unemployment

Under Utilized labor

Pay Roll

Job less

ISm

Industrial Production

Inventory Sales

Durable goods

Non Defense Captial goods

Trade Balance

U.S Dollar Index

Federal Deficit In terms of GDP

Out Put Per Hour

PPI

Capacity

Federal Funds Rate

Commercial Paper

CDS