School of something FACULTY OF OTHER School of Geography FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT GeoCrimeData Understanding Crime Context with Novel Geo-Spatial Data Nick.

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Presentation transcript:

School of something FACULTY OF OTHER School of Geography FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT GeoCrimeData Understanding Crime Context with Novel Geo-Spatial Data Nick Malleson * Mark Birkin * Alex Hirschfield + Andrew Newton + *University of Leeds + University of Huddersfield

The GeoCrimeData Project Police / Crime Analyst Requirements Geospatial Data Sources and Methods New Data Preliminary Results Violent crime and twitter Burglary, house type and street accessibility Conclusions Outline

Wide range of new, publicly available, data sources Road network data Land-use data Social network data But these are rarely used by crime analysis What would analysts like to know? What are the barriers to using the data? Focus (at this stage) on residential burglary Motivation

Small (~£90k, 9 month) JISC-funded collaboration between the School of Geography in Leeds and the Applied Criminology Centre in Huddersfield Aim: analyse existing spatial data, identify crime-relevant features and re- release for crime analysts. For example: House visibility or type influences burglary risk Road traffic volume influences street robbery Methodology: Identify crime analysts’ needs Explore available spatial data Develop and use algorithms Re-release new data GeoCrimeData

User survey Online survey to explore user needs and experiences with geospatial data 40% response rate (N = 33) Roughly 60/40 UK USA split Police (42%), academics (30%), Community Safety Partnerships (15%), Consultants (4%), Others (9%) User Needs Analysis Follow-up workshop 50% split between academics and practitioners Detailed discussion of user requirements

Important environmental factors re. roads Road type (through road or cul-de-sac) Cul-de-sac type: linear, sinuous, true, leaky. Cul-de-sac with linked pathway? Volume of traffic outside road Volume of traffic at nearest junction Speed of traffic on road outside Access restrictions on road Important factors re. buildings Visible from footpath? Footpath at rear? House Type Corner plot? Visible from: Road Junction, School, Park, Community Centre, Commercial Establishment Overlooked by other properties? Workshop Findings

As with the US, in the UK/EU there is a drive towards making (spatial) data publicly available OS Open Data – the national mapping agency (Ordnance Survey) have released a large number of products data.gov.uk – government organisations releasing physical/social data that was previously held privately INSPIRE – EU directive making it mandatory for government organisations to formally describe their spatial data Data are potentially extremely useful for exploring the social or environmental context surrounding crime. But: often large barriers to their use by crime analysts: Insufficient meta-data Unusual GIS data format Resources (time and software) required for spatial analysis Data Sources

Land Use LandMap – Building heights and class OS MasterMap Topographic Area Generalised Land Use Database Road Network OpenStreetMap (limited buildings) OS Strategi OS MasterMap Integrated Transport Network Public transport National Public Transport Data Repository (NPTDR) National Public Transport Access Nodes (NaPTAN) Physical disorder Derelict buildings Data Sources: Examples

House Type Detached, semi detached, terraced, corner terrace, (flat) House Isolation / Visibility Number of surrounding houses Road Distance Distance to nearest road or footpath Vulnerability Aim to create an overall measure of vulnerability Geospatial Methods: Buildings

Data: MasterMap Topographic Area (commercial license) New Building Data

Space Syntax Integration Geospatial Methods: Roads

OperStreetMap (free) and MasterMap ITN (commercial) Calculate integration and mean-path-depth for GB (using OSM) and Leeds (using ITN) New Road Data

New “crowd-sourced” data provide potentially revolutionary way to explore social systems Twitter provide ‘streaming api’: listen to incoming tweets Some tweets (e.g. from mobile phones) have accurate location information – provide an estimate for non-residential population? We have been collecting these (in Leeds) for ~6 months Other data: Twitter

Density of all tweets Spatio-temporal behaviour of a single user

Preliminary results: violent crime Explore violent crime using various (novel) populations at risk Street accessibility (traffic volume) Number of tweets (fluid population)

Preliminary results: burglary (I) Explore relationship between house type and residential burglary Are certain house types more at risk? And do community demographics have an effect? Burglary rates by Housing Type by OAC Super Group Low guardianship? Affluence within disadvantage? Neighbourhood cohesion? ?

Preliminary results: burglary (II) Explore relationship between house type, residential burglary and street accessibility Does street accessibility influence house type burglary risk? Burglary rates by Housing Type and Accessibility of Streets (mean accessibility per OA)

Preliminary results: burglary (II)

More accurate road integration calculations Jiang, B., and C. Liu (2009). Street-Based Topological Representations and Analyses for Predicting Traffic Flow in GIS. International Journal of Geographic Information Science 23 (9). Further building geospatial analysis to estimate further useful attributes Footpath at rear (and leading to shops) Visible from: Road Junction, School, Park, Community Centre, Commercial Establishment More detailed analysis of road networks, e.g. permeability, sinuosity Johnson, S., and K. Bowers (2009). Permeability and Burglary Risk: Are Cul-De-Sacs Safer? Journal of Quantitative Criminology 26 (1): 89–111. Confidence in data: release publicly ‘Beta’ data already available Future Work: Improvements

Potential offered by novel geospatial data for crime analysis New insights that were not possible previously Further analysis and validation required Conclusions

School of something FACULTY OF OTHER School of Geography FACULTY OF ENVIRONMENT Thankyou More information: geocrimedata.blogspot.com Nick Malleson * Mark Birkin * Alex Hirschfield + Andrew Newton + *University of Leeds + University of Huddersfield