Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 1 Can South Asia end poverty in a generation?

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Presentation transcript:

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 1 Can South Asia end poverty in a generation?

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 2 GDP growth in South Asia has been strong and accelerating Source: World Development Indicators

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 3 Rapid growth is reducing poverty, but inequality is increasing Source: Narayan, Ambar, et. al “The challenge of promoting equality and inclusion in South Asian countries.” mimeo, World Bank: Washington DC.

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 4 Regional inequality in India is growing 2.5% 6.5% Land-locked states Coastal states

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 5 Big gaps between enrolment and completion in primary education Source: Schweitzer, Julian “Human development in South Asia.” mimeo, World Bank: Washington, DC.

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 6 Table 6: Primary Education Learning Outcomes by Province, 2003

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 7 Bangladesh’s institutional weaknesses in governance Source: Kaufmann, Kraay, and Mastruzzi (2005).

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 8 24x7 water: A pipe dream? Source: Data collected from the water boards or utilities Liters per capita per day vs. hours of supply/day Goa Chandigarh Mumbai Delhi Patna Ludhiana Jodhpur Dasuya Dera Bassi Paris Jaipur Ahmedabad Bikaner Bangalore Gurdaspur Bathinda Bharatpur Udaipur Chennai

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 9 Politics, patronage, & network services

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation?

11 In India, 100 million farmers contribute as much to GDP growth as 1 million business professionals

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 12 Employment protection in South Asia is among the most rigid worldwide Source: Doing Business World Bank: Washington, DC.

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 13 Stipends yield big gains for Bangladesh secondary education Source: World Bank Bangladesh: Secondary Education Development Support Credit II. World Bank: Washington, DC.

Can South Asia end poverty in a generation? 14 Making the most of a second decade of rapid growth As it ends its first decade of rapid growth, South Asia is at a crossroads A second decade of rapid growth is not guaranteed South Asians can be complacent and continue to grow at 5-6 percent and make slow progress on inequality, human development, and weak governance Or they can leverage their recent growth, build on success and end mass poverty in a generation