Bartlett School of Graduate Studies A policy directed framework for moving from ‘unintended consequences’ to intended co-benefits and explicit trade-offs Senior Research Associate Complex Built Environment Systems Group (CBES) Bartlett School of Graduate studies Alex Macmillan

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Current framing of policy Single focus policies “unintended” effects – Across sectors – At different time and geographical scales – Policy formulation and implementation Need for different approaches

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Ecosystem sustainability Societal wellbeing Functioning economy

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Intervening in the housing system Methods 1. Participatory System Dynamics (SD) Modelling 2. Multi-criteria Decision Analysis (MCDA)

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Participatory SDM process 1. Recruitment of stakeholders 2. Interviews 3. Development of concept model 4. Development of simulation model 5. Simulations 6. Policy and research insights 5

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Example: Interviews

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Example: causal diagrams

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Example: scenario simulation

Bartlett School of Graduate Studies Contact Alex Macmillan Complex Built Environment Systems Group University College London