1 TRENDS IN ENERGY LENDING 7 August 2008. 2 3 FIRST QUARTER 2008 BANK INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE Deteriorating real estate portfolios – loan loss provisions.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Commodity Hedging in Uncertain Times
Advertisements

October 22, 2008 Impact of Financial Market Turmoil on Energy Markets Why Energy Prices have Fallen while Electricity Prices have not …
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2009 Q4. Source: Norges Bank Repayment loans secured on dwellings 3) TotalFixed-rate loans Home equity lines of credit.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2014 Q1. Residential mortgages TotalFirst-home mortgages Home equity lines of credit Chart 1 Household credit demand.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2009 Q2. Source: Norges Bank Repayment loans secured on dwellings TotalFixed-rate loans Home equity lines of credit.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2011 Q3. Repayment loans secured on dwellings Total Home equity lines of credit Chart 1 Household credit demand.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2012 Q1. Repayment loans secured on dwellings 3) TotalFirst-home mortgages Home equity lines of credit Chart 1 Household.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2010 Q2. Repayment loans secured on dwellings 3) TotalFixed-rate loansHome equity lines of credit Chart 1 Household.
BAC – Charlotte, SC Anthony Li Marissa Dyrdahl. Banking Industry Outlook Improving credit environment Deceleration on cost-cutting – Focus on growth Lower.
Credit Derivatives.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2012 Q2. Repayment loans secured on dwellings TotalFirst-home mortgages Home equity lines of credit Chart 1 Household.
IPAA Private Capital Conference Focus on Debt February 24, 2011.
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2009 Q1. Source: Norges Bank Chart 1 Household credit demand. Net percentage balances 1), 2) 1) Net percentage balances.
COMMERCIAL LENDING Basis for our external financing analysis.
What Is Investment Banking?  A segment within the financial services industry  A network of intermediaries that assists clients who need capital and.
Update: World Financial Crisis and GDP projection 2009 Drs. A.G. Romero Presentation CBS, KvK, and BNA June 9, 2009.
Chapter 1 Introduction to Bond Markets. Intro to Fixed Income Markets What is a bond? A bond is simply a loan, but in the form of a security. The issuer.
Insight into Risk Management Richard Allen - CVA Market Risk Manager.
U.S. Syndicated Loan Market Review
The Basics of Risk Management
Corporate Banking and Investment IPAA Oil & Gas Investment Symposium Overadvance & Second Lien Bank Financing April 18, 2005 Bart Schouest Managing Director.
COPYRIGHT Wachovia CONFIDENTIAL Surviving the Credit Crunch October 22 nd 2008.
Corporate Banking and Investment IPAA’s 2007 Private Capital Conference: Managing Leverage in a Volatile Commodity Market Second Lien Term Loans January.
Interim Report January-June 2009 Chief Executive Thomas Erséus Deputy Chief Executive Johan Risberg 20 August 2009.
Overview of Commercial Banking Ken Carson SVP/Credit Administrator Umpqua Bank February 8, 2006 Ken Carson SVP/Credit Administrator Umpqua Bank February.
CHAPTER 8 A framework for interpretation
CHAPTERS 19, Bank Profits   = Loans x Realized Loan Yield - Deposits x Cost per $ of Deposits - Fixed Expenses  RLY = Contractual rate x Good.
Looking at the Bank Loan Syndication Process
Bank Performance 20.
September 18, Portfolio Strategy In a Rising Interest Rate Environment.
November, 2007 An Introduction to the Senior Loan Asset Class.
Long-Term Financing. Basics of Long-Term Financing.
Presentation to: Ottawa Real Estate Board March 12 th, 2009.
© 2005 by Center for Energy Economics, Bureau of Economic Geology, The University of Texas at Austin. All rights reserved. 1 Energy Finance Considerations.
Credit Risk Management Wisconsin Bankers Directors Education Series 1.
An Overview of the Financial System
INVESTMENT ANALYSIS & PORTFOLIO THEORY. Background Reasons for improvements in standards of living Major elements of businesses Human Capital Financial.
Chapter 2 An Overview of the Financial System. © 2016 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.2-2 Learning Objectives Compare and contrast direct.
1 First Quarter 2003 Review April 17, 2003 Speakers: Henry Meyer Jeff Weeden.
©2007, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 20-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter Twenty Managing Credit Risk on the Balance Sheet.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Norges Bank’s Survey of Bank Lending 2008 Q3. Source: Norges Bank Repayment loans secured on dwellings Total Home equity lines of credit First- home loans.
Welcome to MnR Capital MANAGEMENT Family. Wealth Management Equity Derivatives Debentures Currencies Bonds Commodities Mutual Funds Insurance Fixed Deposits.
Failure of Banks. Risks Associated with Banking Business Large deposit base is a liability for the banks. Credit created by banks lead to a liability.
Chapter 1 Introduction to Bond Markets. Intro to Fixed Income Markets What is a bond? A bond is simply a loan, but in the form of a security. The issuer.
Chapter 15: Financial Risk Management: Concepts, Practice, & Benefits
SBA Lending Division SBA Lending Division October 2015.
February 2016 Outlook for Financial Markets Jack Ablin, CFA Chief Investment Officer (312) What to do Now? – Navigating Wall Street Volatility.
Chapter 2 An Overview of the Financial System. © 2013 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.2-2 Function of Financial Markets Perform the essential.
1 Chapter 20 Bank Performance Financial Markets and Institutions, 7e, Jeff Madura Copyright ©2006 by South-Western, a division of Thomson Learning. All.
1 COMMERCIAL BANK MANAGEMENT 1. 2 MEASURING AND EVALUATING THE PERFORMANCE OF BANKS PERFORMANCE REFERS TO HOW ADEQUATELY A BANK MEETS THE OBJECTIVES IDENTIFIED.
Investment Planning Chapter 11. Investing Placing money in some medium such as stocks, bonds or real estate in the expectation of receiving some future.
Chapter 2 An Overview of the Financial System
An Overview of the Financial System
An Overview of the Financial System
Potential red flags – Business environment
Trends in investment banking
Corporate Finance Team
Credit and Lending.
An Overview of the Financial System
Financial Services Sector
An Overview of the Financial System
An Overview of the Financial System
An Overview of the Financial System
Chapter 2 An Overview of the Financial System
Credit risk analysis & debt capacity
Professor Chris droussiotis
Professor Chris Droussiotis Summer 2019
Asset & Liability Management
Presentation transcript:

1 TRENDS IN ENERGY LENDING 7 August 2008

2

3 FIRST QUARTER 2008 BANK INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE Deteriorating real estate portfolios – loan loss provisions 4 times 1st quarter 2007 Shrinking profits - especially largest banks Lower non-interest revenues: trading and loan sales Charge-offs climbed to a five-year high Past due loans increased 24% from 4 th quarter 2007 Of banks that paid dividends, half were lowered

4 REPERCUSSIONS Banks’ underwriting standards have tightened –Reasons: market liquidity/capital pressure, economic outlook, risk appetite, loan performance and the financial condition of some banks. –The impact of this tightening is seen in loan pricing, covenants, collateral, guarantor requirements, and equity requirements. –Standards that have eased…..maturity and amortization.

5 INDICATIONS OF STRESS Stock price of top 20 energy banks – DOWN 29% LTM (vs. 9% down for DJA) Cost of external debt capital for banks –LIBOR bps (more for troubled banks)

6 ENERGY SEGMENT – STILL DESIRABLE Estimated Energy Loan Commitments - Largest Energy Banks Bank 12/31/0612/31/07 Citigroup $25 B $31 B Bank of America $19 B $24 B JP Morgan Chase $18 B $26 B BNP Paribas* $ 8 B $14 B Wachovia $ 6 B $ 7 B Includes impact of currency fluctuation

7 IMPACT OF ENERGY PRICES Positive: Lender price decks are climbing –Median prices for oil and gas* 2008: $70.00/$ : $67.75/$ : $61.25/$ : $60.00/$ : $60.00/$6.15 Negative: Calculated exposure for commodity hedges has ballooned due to price volatility - exacerbates capital allocation issues. * Tristone Capital, Inc. Energy Lender Price Survey, Q3/08

8 IMPACT OF BANKS’ STRESS ON ENERGY CLIENTS Certain formerly stout players in the lending market have scaled back both lending and hedging Very active secondary senior loan market Push-back on stretch deals due to capital allocation issues Lower hold limits on loans Failed syndications Fewer transactions fully underwritten Structures becoming more conventional Interest margin up +/- 25 bps; up-front fees higher

9 OTHER….. Impact of new entrants in energy lending market uncertain. Semgroup bankruptcy – bad timing.

10 OPPORTUNITIES For well-capitalized banks……get your phone calls returned. Improve position in credits at attractive prices. Enhanced cross-sell opportunities. Banks with hedging capacity desired. Rewards for stepping up: sharing of bond economics and equity issuance fees.

11 FUTURE Some old names will exit/merge/go away. Competition will be somewhat abated. More banks per credit facility.

12 QUESTIONS Will banks’ capital crunch slow down oil and gas acquisitions? Where does it end? Who will be left?

13