0 Powder River Basin Coal Transportation Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Update Carl Ice Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer June.

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Presentation transcript:

0 Powder River Basin Coal Transportation Federal Energy Regulatory Commission Update Carl Ice Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer June 15, 2006

1 Discussion Topics BNSF overview BNSF Network and PRB mines BNSF capital investment PRB growth history PRB economics and markets Joint Line and coal corridor capacity planning PRB Rail Service Outlook

2 BNSF Network and Coal Reserves BNSF Railway Coal Route Coal Reserves

3 Railroading Is Capital Intensive Average Capital Spending as a Percent of Revenue

4 Capital CommitmentsCapital Commitments with ROIC $ Millions $2,258 $2,520 $2,265 $1,763 $1,608 $1,505 $1,726 $1,988 $2,179 $ Millions ROIC* 6.6% 7.9% 10.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.4% 7.2% 8.8% Strategic Focus $2,500 *Adjusted for unusual or non-recurring items. *See BNSF website for a reconciliation to GAAP.

5 Rawhide - Peabody (.36, 8320) Buckskin - Kiewit(.38, 8400) Dry Fork - Western Fuels (.37, 8175) Fort Union - K-Fuel (.42, 7990) Clovis Point -Wyodak (.42, 8050) South Dakota Belle Ayr - Foundation Coal (.33, 8550) North Dakota to Bismarck Wyoming Montana l Northport Black Thunder - Arch (.30, 8800) N Antelope/Rochelle - Peabody (.20, 8800) Sheridan to Denver to Lincoln to Pacific Northwest Reno Jct l Edgemont Eagle Butte - Foundation Coal (.34, 8400) u Spring Creek - Kennecott (.34, 9350) Cordero - Kennecott (.37, 8350) Gillette u Decker - Kiewit/Kennecott (.40, 9500) u Rosebud - Westmoreland (.80, 8750) u Absaloka - Westmoreland (.64, 8750) Colorado l Guernsey South Black Thunder - Arch (.23, 8800) Glendive Dutch ■ Joint Line Mines (% Sulphur, BTU) Antelope - Kennecott (.22, 8800) Caballo - Peabody (.36, 8500) Caballo Rojo - Kennecott (.32, 8450) Alliance Forsyth u u Jacobs Ranch - Kennecott (.45,8695) u Donkey Creek u Coal Creek - Arch (.33, 8350) u u Powder River Basin

6 Rise of PRB Coal Demand

7 Wyoming and Montana PRB Coal Production Million Tons +80 mm +56 mm +71 mm * BNSF forecast of 45 mm tons total PRB growth.

8 BNSF Coal Transportation Million Tons

9 BNSF Monthly Coal Tons Delivered January 2003 – May (Jan-May)94.63 mm tons 2004 (Jan-May) mm tons 2005 (Jan-May) mm tons 2006 (Jan-May) mm tons Million Tons

10 Track Structure – Coal Dust Impact Compacted Subgrade Earth Sub-Ballast 12 Inches Ballast Inches Below Bottom of Tie Proper Water Drainage Roadbed Compacted Subgrade Earth Sub-Ballast 12 Inches Ballast Inches Below Bottom of Tie Improper Water Drainage Coal Dust Roadbed

11 PRB Coal Market Drivers Increasing Electricity Demand U.S. Economic Growth (Increasing Industrial Demand) Rising Cost of Fossil Fuel Alternatives Revived Trend Toward Coal-Fired Generation for New Units Lowest Cost Coal Alternative per BTU Existing Plant Conversions to PRB Coal Emission Standards Increase Value of Low Sulfur Coal Efficient Transportation Railroad Capital Investments BNSF Transports PRB coal under predominantly transportation contracts and also common carrier rates

12 $ Millions $2.8 billion invested through 2005 and over $0.6 billion forecast for 2006 BNSF Coal Capacity Investments Year Loco- motives Cars Joint line CorridorsTerminalsTotal 1994$247$22$13$16$9$ Total$1,993$542$152$536$180$3,403

Coal Capacity Expansion 2006 Highlights 31.8 miles of double track 18 miles of triple track on Orin subdivision Beginning quadruple track on Orin subdivision Complete filler tracks at Rozet Complete Memphis crossing work Complete Lincoln yard – track and signal 180 AC GE locomotives 14 train sets – 8 gondolas and 6 rapids 2006 Total $600 million

Coal Capital Capacity Expansion Projects Los Angeles Kansas City Chicago Galesburg Memphis Springfield Houston Amarillo La Junta Ft. Worth Temple Denver Lincoln Alliance Gillette Mandan Glendive St Paul Fargo Minot Superior Stockton Portland Seattle Whitefish Belen El Paso Phoenix St Louis Avard Sioux City Ravenna Thayer Birmingham Corridors Joint Line Terminals Legend Powder River Division - Black Hills Subdivision Complete Rozet Yard filler tracks Powder River Division - Orin Subdivision TT Complete MP 58.1 – MP 40.1; 18 miles TT Begin Reno - North to MP 0; 39 miles 4T Begin quadruple track at Logan Hill Nebraska Division - Lincoln Yard Complete Lincoln track and signal Nebraska Division - Creston Subdivision DT Complete Cullum-Milepost 19; 1.4 miles DT Continue Ashland–South Bend; 8 miles Powder River Division - Angora Subdivision DT Begin Angora-Northport (grading) Powder River Division - Sand Hills Subdivision DT Beryn – Mason; 10 miles Powder River Division - Valley Subdivision DT Complete Degraw-Bayard; 6.6 miles Springfield Division – Thayer South Subdivision Complete new siding at Marked Tree Complete Memphis crossing work New siding at Sergeant

15 Joint Line Capacity Expansion Caballo Mine (North End of Joint Line) Reno Junction West Nacco Junction Converse Junction Bill Walker Shawnee Junction (South End of Joint Line) Phase III: 3 rd Main Reno to MP 0; 39 Miles 4 th Main Logan Hill; 15 Miles In Service 2007 Donkey Creek Phase II: 3 rd Main 19 Miles In Service September 2006 Phase I: 3 rd Main 14 Miles In Service June 2005

Record Results (as of June 1) All time highest monthly BNSF/UP joint line tonnage (29.87mm tons in January) Four of top five highest BNSF/UP joint line tonnage months set in 2006 All time highest monthly BNSF joint line tonnage (13.55mm tons in May) All time highest monthly BNSF system tonnage (24.44mm in May) Four of top five highest BNSF system tonnage months set in 2006 All time highest BNSF monthly average coal trains loaded per day (55.45 tpd in May) Four of top five highest BNSF loaded trains per day months set in 2006 All time highest monthly UP average PRB trains per day (35.13 tpd in March) All time highest BNSF PRB loadings in a single day (60 trains on April 23, 2006) All time highest BNSF/UP joint line loadings in a single day (76 trains on May 1)

17 Heaviest tonnage line in the world with record tonnages being set -records will continue to be set. World class operation continues to raise the bar in terms of throughput capability, capacity and track maintenance throughout the railroad industry. Additional capacity needed to accommodate throughput and buffer capabilities for this growth. If the growth in demand continues, we will continue to make the investments to handle that growth if returns justify. Addressing service reliability issues is a three party effort, the railroads, the mines, and the utilities. All must work together to address the issues of velocity, reliability, and growth. PRB Rail Service Outlook

18 Summary PRB coal demand forecasted to grow. Investment consistent with volume and profitability. National rail policy must encourage investment. Railroad service from the PRB has a long history of service reliability over decades. Same high service demands and standards for contract and common carrier traffic. FERC support for mine and utility dust mitigation can aid reliability.

19 Return on Invested Capital Reconciliation Average capitalization (a)$19,832$19,069$18,409$18,110$17,421$16,712$16,164$14,792$13,142 Operating income$2,922$1,686$1,665$1,656$1,750$2,113$2,209$2,158$1,767 Other expense(37)(4)(14)(12)(114)(65)3(22)19 Financing charge (b) Adjustments for unusual items Taxes (c)(1,196)(917)(707)(715)(750)(908)(916)(858)(763) After-tax income excluding financing charges and 2004 charge$1,994$1,504$1,207$1,188$1,258$1,471$1,515$1,433$1,243 Return on invested capital (d)10.1%7.9%6.66.6%7.2%8.8%9.4%9.7%9.5% Average capitalization is calculated as the 13-month moving average of the sum of net debt (total debt less cash and cash equivalents), stockholder's equity, net present value of future of operating lease commitments, and the receivables sold under the accounts receivable sales program (A/R sales.) Financing charges represent the estimated interest expense included in operating lease payments and receivable sales fees. Taxes are calculated as the sum of monthly net operating income, other expense, receivable sales, and an operating lease interest factor (estimated interest expense included in the operating lease payments), multiplied by a federal tax rate perspective to each month. Return on invested capital is calculated as the total after-tax income excluding financing charges and the 2004 charge for the change in the estimate of unasserted asbestos and environmental liabilities, divided by average capitalization. (a) (b) (c) (d)