Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 COOPERATIVE HUNTSVILLE-AREA RAINFALL MEASUREMENT (CHARM) NETWORK.

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Presentation transcript:

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 COOPERATIVE HUNTSVILLE-AREA RAINFALL MEASUREMENT (CHARM) NETWORK Local precipitation network ( est. 1/2001) 157 sites in Huntsville & Madison County, AL NASA, Army, USGS, and NWS sites and weather enthusiasts Daily rainfall totals (1200UTC reports) 3600 km 2 coverage (1 gauge per 6x6 km) Primarily 4” manual gauges (65%) with remaining (35%) manual or automated tipping bucket (6” and 8”) 1-5 minute data from 30 automated sites Supports local weather and climate research validate weather radar and lightning data from satellites monitor spatial distributions of precipitation for modeling activities various satellite remote sensing studies of soil moisture and energy fluxes GAUGE OWNERSHIP MAP 80km December 2005

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 ACCESS TO CHARM ( Data entry and display Access historical data How to take measurements FAQs What’s new

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ”, 8” tipping bucket – recorded electronically TYPES OF RAIN GAUGES IN CHARM 6”, 8” recording weekly paper charts 4” non-recording “all-weather” plastic 6”, 8” non- recording (metal)

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 GAUGE OWNERSHIP MAP December 2001 CHARM OBSERVERS 2001 Total – 96 – 76 manual, 3 recording (manual), and 17automated December 2005 NASA 4” non-recording – 66 (41) 8” recording – 2 (2) Private individual – 44 (27) AWIS - 2 (2) USGS - 20 (13) GLOBE – 4 (4) ASOS - 2 (2) OTHER - 17 (7) 2005 Total– manual, 4 recording (manual) and 30 automated However, only 88 sites reported (if even once) in 2005, about 35 regularly! STATIONS REPORTING IN 2005

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 USE AND APPLICATIONS CHARM86 – supported NASA meteorological experiment over Huntsville Existing measurements systems Aldridge Creek flood of 1999 Flooding of the AXAF clean room out at MSFC (1997) Environmental studies for MSFC Redstone Arsenal CHARM observations are part of the NWS (SHEF) data stream –LMRFC (Slidell) and SERFC (Atlanta) for hydrological studies –Local WFOs (HUN) Satellite and ground based (radar) intercomparison studies Short-term precipitation climatology studies

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM data has been used to validate forecast model estimates of precipitation

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 PRECIPITATION INTERCOMPARISON Forecast: 24h accumulated rainfall for April 12-13, 2001, 0700 LDT. Regional MM5 model (left) and early Eta (right) Validation: 24h accumulated rainfall derived from NWS radars, April 12-13, 2001, ending 7:00a LST. next

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 PRECIPITATION ESTIMATE FROM RADAR CHARM data indicates smaller scale variability CHARM PRECIP

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM data has been used to validate radar estimates of precipitation

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 NASHVILLE RADAR HYTOP RADAR DIGITAL PRECIPITATION PRODUCT NWS offices produce their own precipitation estimates from their local WSR-88D radar. The Nashville and Hytop (northeast of Huntsville) radars captured this storm event. Figures present storm totals (sum of hourly product over storm lifetime ~ 4-6 hours). Same general structure Nashville radar - more intense / widespread rainfall Radar calibration, elevation, scan patterns, distance from storm may all contribute to the difference. 4-5” ~3”

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM DATA ANALYSIS Rainfall totals reported at 1200UTC for the preceding 24h. For June 4- 5, the 24h totals capture only this storm event. June 4-5, 2001 Case Study Isolated heavy thunderstorm moves through the CHARM network Slow west-to-east movement over Huntsville Max=2.73” Max= 2.96” Maximum rain rate of about 2 in/hr Irregularly spaced gauge data (from 200m to 10 km) were objectively analyzed to a uniform grid to create the image. Details: Strong north-south gradient on either side of the storm track Width of heavy rainfall area - 10 km Maximum of 2.96” on east of region, secondary max (2.73”) in the western half of network

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM data has been used to verify and enhance special rainfall products used for climate studies

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 Rainfall (cm) Note the dual rainfall maximum in the stage III radar product corresponds nicely both in position and magnitude to the CHARM data. NWS HDP PRODUCTS Stage I - integrated precipitation from local radar using standard or tropical Z-R relationships on 4 km grid – dependent on Z-R relationship used Stage II - adjusted stage I product for bias using local (hourly) rain gauges Stage III - combination of stage II HDP from individual radars to produce a regional precipitation estimate minimal bias due to mis-calibration and different Z-R, local and seasonal adjustments regional continuity and consistency Example of stage III radar product for June 4, 2001 over Northern Alabama Hourly stage III product summed from 2100 – 0300 UTC. CHARM Stellman et al (Wea. Fore.)

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 STAGE III vs. CHARM Resolution issues will affect comparison Radar: radar volume – varies with distance 4km grid cells – arbitrary selection Rain gauge: point measurement – microscale variability greatest in convective storms multiple rain gauges for each grid cell (a single best comparison used in analysis below) Comparison shows little or no bias (0.19”) between CHARM measurements and radar estimates. Scatter is considerable especially for amounts > 1.00”. ALL POINTS MD = 0.19” SD = 0.50” 1” MD = 0.21” 0.17” SD = 0.15” 0.60”

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM data is regularly used to evaluate short-term variations in precipitation climatology.

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 HUNTSVILLE DROUGHT OF 2005 OR WAS IT? Huntsville had one significant rain event from 9/1 through 11/15 (2.5 months) hottest time of year in a year with minimum Springtime rainfall? despite numerous tropical storms impinging on the Valley Yet there is significant variability between reported rainfall over the region! Note absence of any rain events Only 4 real rain events in 3 months

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 September 2005 November VARIABILITY IN MONTHLY RAINFALL - Fall 2005 NormalActualRange September ( in) October ( in) November ( in) Note difference in spatial variability! Does it even out over the long term? + +

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM 2005 selected station monthly rainfall and anomalies (departure from normal).

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, RAINFALL SE HSV (blue) and airport (red) show below average rainfall most months

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, RAINFALL SE HSV (blue) and airport (red) show below average rainfall most months NSSTC location (orange) similar to airport trends, Big Cove area (cyan) had a surplus during the summer

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, RAINFALL SE HSV (blue) and airport (red) show below average rainfall most months NSSTC location (orange) similar to airport trends, Big Cove area (cyan) had a surplus during the summer Madison area (green) shows large summer surplus, Cullman (grey) was dry

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM 2005 selected station monthly rainfall anomalies and yearly deficit (sum of departure from normal).

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY AND DEFICIT At the airport (red), 2005 starts out dry and stays dry (-17+ in).

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY AND DEFICIT At the airport (red), 2005 starts out dry and stays dry (-17+ in). SE HSV (blue) tracks airport but Big Cove area (cyan) only down -9 in for year.

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY AND DEFICIT At the airport (red), 2005 starts out dry and stays dry (-17+ in). SE HSV (blue) tracks airport but Big Cove area (cyan) only down -9 in for year. Summer rains keep Madison (green) with little (-3 in) deficit for the year.

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, Deficit CHARM 2005 rainfall deficit pattern shows large deficit throughout most of the region, however Madison and surrounding regions were not as hard hit with the drought. Are the 2005 patterns a continuation of past trends?

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 CHARM can be used to look at short- term climate trends in rainfall. The following analysis highlights the period.

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY/DEFICIT 2001 was wet experience growing deficits at airport (red)

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY/DEFICIT 2001 was wet experience growing deficits at airport (red). NSSTC (orange) tracks airport deficit, but trend not as sharp in SE HSV (blue). Rainfall surplus grows throughout the period in Big Cove region (cyan, 13+ in)

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, ANOMALY/DEFICIT 2001 was wet experience growing deficits at airport (red). NSSTC (orange) tracks airport deficit, but trend not as sharp in SE HSV (blue). Rainfall surplus grows throughout the period in Big Cove region (cyan, 13+ in). While Madison stays most, Cullman shows extreme drought over last 4 years

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, Deficit Trends in quality controlled CHARM observations show distinctive patterns in cumulative anomaly fields. Process 5-8 more sites with continuous records Need more long term precipitation observations

Earth-Sun System Division National Aeronautics and Space Administration AMS December 6, 2005 FUTURE OF CHARM Long-term activity to support NASA research projects permanent (?) to support Tennessee Valley weather resources possible field program or GPM validation site Encourage long-term precipitation observations from existing participants annual CHARM meeting of all participants –workshop on equipment and observation methods, scientific analysis –picnic or other gathering to share experiences more recording gauges Expand network outlying areas – fill in gaps (NE Madison Co, south of River, east of HSV) –weather enthusiasts