August 3, 2011

1. Introductions 2. Status Reports 3. Demographics Presentation 4. Community Engagement—Plan Norwalk by MindMixer 5. Project Team—City Update 6. Steering Committee Discussion 7. Next Meeting 8. Adjourn

The Foundation for the Comprehensive Plan

 Population Projections  Population Characteristics  Demographic Changes  Housing Characteristics  Housing Demand  Future Land Use Demand

 Population is a major component in the Comprehensive Plan  It’s a building block for many land use estimates  Residential units  Commercial and office square footage  Industrial acres

 The primary source for demographic data for Plan Norwalk is the U.S. Census Bureau, ESRI Business Analyst, CBRE Market Analysis  Since 1980, Norwalk has increased its population by 276.5% from 2,376 to 8,945  Norwalk has been the fastest growing city in Warren County during the same time period

 Various Methodologies  Trend line analysis  1960 to 2010  1970 to 2010  1980 to 2010  2000 to 2010  Cohort survival analysis

Population Estimate 1  What do the numbers tell us?  Additional 10,680 people over 30 years  8,945 in 2010 growing to 19,625 in 2040  Growth rate:  119% total growth over 30 years

Population Estimate 2  What do the numbers tell us?  Additional 41,578 people over 30 years  8,945 in 2010 growing to 50,523 in 2040  Growth rate:  465% total growth over 30 years

NATIONAL TRENDS AND LOCAL COMPARISONS

Nationally, baby boomers are still relevant!  Born between 1946 and 1964  Very large age cohort that impacts community (60M in that age group nationally)  Some are entering retirement age now  Future impacts on housing, land use, transportation and economy

Generation Y – The Boomer babies!  Born between 1982 and 1995  Larger generation (80M vs. 60M) nationally than Baby Boomers  Different preferences  Plugged-in generation  Impacts on housing choices, land use, transportation and economy

Generation X – the in-between generation  Born between 1965 and 1976  Smaller generation nationally than Baby Boomers (51M vs. 60M)  The suburban generation; the ‘latchkey’ kids  First multi-cultural generation  Highly mobile workforce

Norwalk demographics differ from national trends  2010 population characteristics  Age 0 – 14 2,244 or 25.1%  Gen Y 1,686 or 18.9%  Gen X 2,027 or 22.7%  Baby Boomers 2,206 or 24.6%  Age or 8.7%

Norwalk demographics differ from national trends  Small growth in population 65 and older  Norwalk population over 65 is 8.7% (2010)  US population over 65 is 13.03% (2010)  Young children (age 0 – 14) make up largest population segment; 25.1%  Children age 0 – 18 make over 30% of Norwalk’s population

Average age is increasing in Norwalk, similar to national trend  32.8 years in 2000  34.3 years in 2010

HOUSING TRENDS AND DEMANDS

 Household size is decreasing Norwalk, similar to national trend  2.88 in 2000  2.70 in 2010  Norwalk has larger HH size than surrounding communities and State of Iowa in 2010  2.41 in Iowa  2.32 in West Des Moines  2.58 in Ankeny

 Residential unit demand based on population estimate 1  4,151 residential units  3,118 owner occupied  1,033 rental

 Residential unit demand based on population estimate 2  16,162 residential units  12,139 owner occupied  4,023 rental

 Types of housing products  Single family  Accessory dwelling unites  Multi-family  Mixed use  Assisted living

 Plan Norwalk assumptions  Existing building trends and supply  71% single family and 21% multi-family  76% owner occupied and 24% rental  Should goals for single family and multi-family change in the future?  What will market demand be for owner occupied versus rental?

 2010 housing unit supply  360 +/- approved units; sf and mf  4 year supply based on population projection 1  Existing supply will only meet a small portion of 2040 demand!

 Projected Land Use by Classification (by percentage)  Residential 30.0%  Commercial 6.5%  Industrial/RR 2.5%  Public/semi public 14.8%  Public R.O.W. 25.6%  Vacant/Ag 20.6%  Total 100.0%

 Population Estimate 1  Residential Land Use 811 acres  Commercial Land Use176 acres  Industrial Land Use 68 acres  Public Land Use400acres  ROW692acres  Other Land Use 557acres Total New Development 2,702acres Land area is equal to 4.2 square miles

 Population Estimate 2  Residential Land Use 3,156 acres  Commercial Land Use 684 acres  Industrial Land Use 263 acres  Public Land Use1,557 acres  ROW2,693 acres  Other Land Use 2,167 acres Total New Development 10,520 acres Land area is equal to 16.4 square miles

 Where should residential land uses be geographically allocated?  Where should other land uses by geographically allocated?  Will this meet future demand?  What options should be identified in Plan Norwalk?

 Population growth and demographic change will impact housing demand over the next 30 years  Current plans, building trends and housing supply may need to change significantly to meet future demands  Increasing demand for housing options with higher densities with more amenities within walking distance

Plan Norwalk by MindMixer

 661 unique visitors  1731 visits  pageviews  6.94 pageviews per visit  Average visist lasts 5 min. 34 sec.  47 ideas submitted  198 comments

 Community Character  Community Health  Growth and Housing Diversity  Public Safety  Stormwater  Transportation Diversity

 12 Ideas Supports  Entryway to Norwalk22  North Avenue 9  Pedestrian Improvements 8  Amphitheater 6 Theme: improve the Hwy. 28 entrance to Norwalk

 5 IdeasSupports  Bike trail12  Community center 6  Walkable neighborhoods 6 Theme: provide connection to the Great Western Bike Trail and create connections to city parks

 14 IdeasSupports  Aquatic center9  Current pool4  Senior housing4  Family fun center2 (with 59 comments) Theme: “John’s project”, TIF, taxes and land use policy in Norwalk

 13 Ideas Support  More cruisers than cameras 17  Lower speed limits on Hwy  Ped/bike bridge over Hwy Theme: cameras = “Big Brother” or “cash cow” or legitimate traffic safety control ???

 3 Ideas Supports  Regional stormwater detention8  Land developer’s responsibility4 Theme: more public awareness and education about stormwater management

 2 IdeasSupports  Bike paths11  Mass transit 8 Theme: connections to the metro trail system and to DART.

 Idea generation phase extended to August 15 th  Continue to encourage input on the Plan Norwalk by MindMixer web site  Voting phase will follow and end on August 31 st  Get out and vote for the best ideas submitted on the Plan Norwalk by MindMixer web site