Improving Data on Immigrant’s Legal Status Jennifer Van Hook.

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Presentation transcript:

Improving Data on Immigrant’s Legal Status Jennifer Van Hook

If a tree falls in a forest and no one hears it, does it make a sound?

Light is better than shadows “Only by ensuring that scientific data is never distorted or concealed to serve a political agenda, making scientific decisions based on facts, not ideology, and including the public in our decision-making process will we harness the power of science to achieve our goals.” --Barack Obama, Sept. 4, 2012

Outline Limitations of data on unauthorized immigrants Methodological Advancements Applications: MPI Data Hub

Acknowledgements Collaborators: James Bachmeier, Randy Capps, Michael Fix, Donna Coffman, Ofer Harel Grants: P01 HD “The Mexican Children of Immigrants Program Project” RC2 HD “Generating Linked NCHS and OIS Data for Immigrant Health and Mortality Research ” Department of Homeland Security (DHS)

How we know what we know Residual Method Surveys

Residual Method Unauthorized FB = Total FB (Census) – Legal FB (Admin data)

2 Million 3 Million 12 Million 11 Million Sources: Various reports by Passel, Woodrow, Bean, Van Hook, Hoefer, Rytina, Warren

Limitations Residual Method Produces Aggregated estimates only Surveys How honest are people about their legal status? Small sample sizes

Are unauthorized migrants captured in official surveys? YES But they are not fully covered…

Do people answer questions about legal status? Usually

Among all Foreign born: Missing on Migration Status: 4.3% Reported as Unauthorized: 26%

Do people tell the truth? Mostly

SIPP Hot deck SIPP logical imputati on PewDHS Mexico Other LA Asia Europe/Ca nada Other

New Methods for Using Survey Data Cross-survey multiple imputation Solves the small sample-size problem

Cross-survey multiple imputation Small Survey (SIPP) Unauthorized Status Common variables Big Survey (Census) ? Common variables Unauthorized Status (imputed)

MPI Data Hub MPI Data Hub