Valuing Start-Up & Early Stage Companies…Art or Science IACT Presentation February 23, 2010 Frank Morse Managing Director Carter Morse & Mathias.

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Presentation transcript:

Valuing Start-Up & Early Stage Companies…Art or Science IACT Presentation February 23, 2010 Frank Morse Managing Director Carter Morse & Mathias

Page 1 Introduction Traditional Valuation Approaches Valuations are Down Early Stage Company Valuations- Art or Science Valuation by Stage Presentation Outline

Page 2 CMM Profile HistoryFounded 1987 Services  Sell-side advisory  Buy-side advisory  Valuation services  Arranging equity & mezzanine capital  Senior debt financing  Financial advisory services FocusMaximizing shareholder value Track Record300+ clients ClientsClosely-held middle market companies Transaction Size$10 million to $100 million Industries  Healthcare  CPG/Retail  Aerospace  Clean Tech  Specialty Manufacturing  Software and IT  Business services  Financial services

Page 3 Valuation: A Working Definition:  At the core of every investment transaction is a mutually accepted valuation of the company by the investor and entrepreneur.  A valuation reflects both the entrepreneur’s determination of the acceptable amount of ownership that may be given in return for the investor’s capital and expertise, and the venture investor’s determination of the risks and rewards of the investment.  Value equals the present value of future benefits of ownership Adapted from Understanding Valuation: A Venture Investor’s Perspective, Callow and Larsen

Page 4 Carter Morse & Company Valuation Premises  Value equals the present value of future benefits of ownership  Value is not always a single number  Value is based on a single point in time  What is valued  minority interests vs controlling interests  equity value vs. entity value

Page 5 Market Approach Income Approach Asset Approach Traditional Valuation Approaches

Page 6 Carter Morse & Company Valuation Methodologies Market Approach  Comparative Public Companies  Price / Earnings  Price / Cash Flow  Price / Book Value  Price / Revenues  Price / Asset Value  Comparative Acquisitions

Page 7 Carter Morse & Company Valuation Methodologies Income Approach  Income Methodology  Capitalized Returns Approach - Capitalization of Earnings - Capitalization of Cash Flow  Discounted Future Returns Approach - Discounted Net Cash Flow - Discounted Earnings

Page 8 Carter Morse & Company Valuation Methodologies Asset Approach  Net Asset Value  Adjusted Book Value  Liquidation Value

Page 9 Private Equity Valuations Source: GF Data Resources Transactions under $250 million

Page 10 Valley of Death

Page 11 Valuation stages-Art or Science Seed Pure Abstract Art No mathematics or approaches have any validity at this stage Series A More of an impressionistic approach More clarity on market validation, management, technology and business model Series B A little less artistic Product/service has “market traction”, forecasts are reality based, technology risk mitigated, management is becoming “proven” and markets are well defined. Valuation begins to lend itself to Market and Income Approaches.

Page 12 Valuation stages-Art or Science Series C More of the same as Series B Milestones have been reached All company needs is capital Mezzanine Company has sustainable profitable operations Mezzanine capital relies on cash flow and credit markets Public Valuation is now an organized market…supply & demand Information is readily available to all potential shareholders. As much of a science as we have

Page 13 FinancingCompany StageData Risk Uncertainty Value Range ($MM) Seed Incorporation & Early Development Concept, soft data, no mgt, Highest Risk Series ADevelopment Market validation and little technology risk Very High 3-5 Series BShipping Product Beginning Revenues High 5-10 Series CReference Clients Predictive Revenues Moderate >10 Later Stage/Mezzanine ProfitableHard Data, EBITDA Normal Business Risk Public Company ProfitablePublic InformationLeast Risk Whatever Valuation By Stage