Air Quality Challenges In South Central Texas Issues and Demand to Infrastructure in the Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Consortium Peter Bella, Natural Resources Director Alamo Area Council of Governments April 22, 2014

The Alamo Area Council of Governments AACOG provides direct services & planning supporting communities and local governments in a 13 county area of south central Texas Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Committee – AACOG provides staff and air quality planning technical support for policy decisions by elected officials in the AACOG region Regional Data Center

EPA Proposed NA Boundary: Metropolitan Statistical Area Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Comal, Guadalupe, Kendall, Medina, and Wilson Counties Mandatory control strategies to reduce ozone are implemented within the region contained in the final nonattainment (“NA”) boundary Regional Data Center

Ozone Compliance * As of April 22, 2014, TCEQ Regulatory Monitoring Sites Fourth Highest (ppb) Current* 3-Year *Average San Antonio Northwest C Camp Bullis C Calaveras Lake C hr. av. O3 National Ambient Air Quality Standard: To attain this standard, the 3-year average of the fourth-highest daily maximum 8-hour average ozone concentrations measured at each monitor within an area over each year must not exceed 75 ppb (parts per billion). The 3-year average described above is the single critical measure of compliance. Ozone Season: April 1 – October 31. Calendar year data required for compliance.

Most Current (1/29/2014) Timeline July 2014: Review Process of 2008 Ozone Standard Ends January 2015: Proposed Rulemaking for Revised Ozone Standard September 2015: Final Rulemaking published September 2016: Nonattainment Designation Recommendations from Governors due to EPA; based on local monitoring data May 2017: EPA Proposes Nonattainment Designations No Later Than This Date (120 day letters) September 2017: EPA Nonattainment Designations Final Implies that will be the years of record for ozone compliance DRAFT Will there be a New Ozone Standard?

Population vs. VOC and NO X Emissions Trends San Antonio-New Braunfels MSA DRAFT “NOx Limited” => to reduce ozone, we need to reduce NOx

Transport Image courtesy of the Capital Area Council of Governments The Houston urban plume was observed through 163 miles of transport.

C23 Back Trajectories on Days with 8-Hour Ozone > 75 ppb and the Location of Eagle Ford, NOAA, Feb. 26, “Realtime Environmental Applications and Display sYstem (READY)”. Available online: Accessed 01/12/12.

San Antonio-New Braunfels Metropolitan Statistical Area Outlined in brown border

Eagle Ford Emissions Inventory Group Represented Marathon, Pioneer, Chesapeake, Holt CAT, Texas A&M / Institute of Renewable Natural Resources, Alpha Terra, Energy Transfer, South Texas Energy & Economic Roundtable (STEER), Shell Exp. & Prod., EOG, Anadarko, TxOGA, Plains

Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Committee AIR Technical Committee Technical considerations of relative reductions in ozone precursors, impacts Modeling: 2006 base case Default TCEQ files AACOG local EI updates Next: 2012, 2018 forecasts Eagle Ford EI late summer Impacts assessments AIR Advisory Committee Business and Industry Considerations Of Cost, Feasibility Regional Considerations Working Topics Eagle Ford Improvements Power Generation Cement Industry Transportation Construction Industry AIR Executive Committee Oversight of Process Final Agreement & Authorization Work with EPA, TCEQ Dialogue with All Stakeholders Receive Public Comments Air Improvement Resources (AIR) Executive Committee Next Meeting: 8:30 AM, April 23, 2014: AACOG, 8700 Tesoro Dr., 78217

Strategic Plan Approved by AIR Exec. –Determine Regional Reductions Required –Identification and Analysis of Control Strategies –Develop a Cost-Benefit Analysis –Continue Public Education / Public Outreach –Implement Ozone Advance Public Survey Develop Strategic Plan Identify Measurable Goals & Appropriate Mix of Control Strategies to Reduce Ozone in the Region Message in 2013: Available Resources May Limit Scope AACOG will seek partners in effort Strategic Plan: introduced Oct. 23, 2013, approved Jan. 22, 2014

Local Regulatory Ozone Monitors Camp Bullis C58 SA Northwest C23 (Marshall High) Calaveras Lake C59

Ozone Precursor Totals, 2012 & 2018, SA-NB MSA Does Not Include Eagle Ford Emissions 221 Tons Per Day VOC, Tons Per Day VOC, Tons Per Day NOx, Tons Per Day NOx, 2018 Point sources: power generation, cement, manufacturing