Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation February 17, 2010.

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Presentation transcript:

Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation February 17, 2010

 Build upon prior studies and background data ◦ Flood damage and loss estimates ◦ Cost-Benefit study by EES Consulting ◦ Earth Economics study ◦ WSDOT/WSU I-5 closure study ◦ NFIP data  Conduct supplemental interviews  Utilize GIS and other data in the analysis ◦ Floodplain and Basin Area 2Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation Document the relative economic benefit from flood mitigation

3Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 1. Reduced property damage 2. Avoided business losses 3. Avoided clean-up costs 4. Avoided transportation delays 5. Avoided infrastructure damage 6. Avoided public tax revenue losses 7. Avoided flood insurance loss payments 8. Enhanced property values 9. Health & safety benefits 10. Ecological benefits Our Challenge: finding consistent data to measure impacts by local jurisdiction

Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 4 Primarily includes: Grays Harbor County Lewis County Thurston County Chehalis Reservation River Basin Area Floodplain Area Also: statewide benefits Areas of Special Concern

 Total economic losses from the December 2007 flood event were about $938 million  About 36% of these losses were statewide and 64% were regional Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 5 Category Local/Regional Impact Statewide ImpactTotal Local Business Disruption 1 $57,443,691- Property & Content Damage, Cleanup 2 $340,342,820 - Transportation/Infra- structure Damage 3 $86,696,488$23,374,900$110,071,388 Government Revenue Loss (tax dollars) $70,087,199 - Transportation Disruption 4 $48,782,400$310,997,963$359,780,363 Total $603,352,597$334,372,863$937,725,460 Notes: 1 based on IMPLAN analysis for Lewis, Thurston, and Grays Harbor counties. 2 reflects findings from Lewis County "One Year Later” report and Thurston County estimates. 3 reflects findings from Lewis County “One Year Later report. 4 includes findings from Lewis County “One Year Later” report and WSDOT estimates. Compiled and adjusted to 2010 dollars by FCS GROUP, Inc. Reflects items 1-6 from prior list of economic benefit measures

6Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation  Should be reasonably consistent and accurate: √Population, households and employment (US Census) √County Assessor property valuation estimates √Local business & economic activity  Apply IMPLAN model to local job counts by sector  Measure direct, indirect and induced impacts  Economic Value added = gross domestic product that is “at risk” during a major flood event X FEMA NFIP loss data (accurate?) X Prior accounts of property losses (consistent?)

 Population and households ( & 2010 Census data)  Employment ( Census data)  Land Area and Assessed Values ( 3 local sources)  NFIP loss data ( 4 FEMA data not recommended)  Economic Value Added Per Day ( 5 IMPLAN data) Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 7

8  Population and households ( & 2010 Census data)  Employment ( Census data)  Land Area and Assessed Values ( 3 local sources)  NFIP loss data ( 4 FEMA data not recommended)  Economic Value Added Per Day ( 5 IMPLAN data)

Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 9

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Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 11 Impact TypeEmploymentLabor Income Value AddedOutput Direct Impact6.9$394,890$660,167$1,000,000 Indirect Impact1.7$69,849$97,310$170,260 Induced Impact2.3$79,951$144,199$235,997 Total10.9$544,689$901,676$1,406,257  Each million in regional spending would generate: ◦ 10.9 jobs (direct and indirect/induced impacts) ◦ $544,689 in labor income ◦ $901,676 in valued added (GDP) ◦ $1.4 million in economic output

 Confirm locally preferred economic benefit metrics  Need to update findings with 2010 Census data?  Need to modify the floodplain or basin boundary assumptions? Chehalis River Basin Flood District Formation 12