PAUL S. OTELLINI President & Chief Operating Officer.

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Presentation transcript:

PAUL S. OTELLINI President & Chief Operating Officer

2003: Defining Moments 1 DHWG spec released 100,000 Wi-Fi Hotspots worldwide* 1,000,000 Itanium ® crosses TPM-C threshold 10,000,000 Wi-Fi access points deployed 200,000,000 Emerging market PC installed base* 1,000,000,000 Connected PCs & data phones* 10,000,000,000 CPU transistors shipped/minute in ’03* 20,000,000,000,000 FLOP/s with LLNL Itanium cluster 20,000,000,000,000 FLOP/s with LLNL Itanium cluster Source: * Intel

Intel has moved to the “PLATFORM” “They are clearly not your father’s Intel... Bold moves like Centrino Mobile Technology signify a shift to the platform, and are ushering in a new converged architecture.” Maribel Dolinov November 2003

BRANDING our “Ingredients” CMT… ARCHITECTURAL Enhancements (increasingly software visible) MMX, SSE, Hyper-Threading… CHIPSET Growth through Integration PCI, USB, PCI-E, LAN, Integrated RAID… Value Added SOFTWARE Drivers, ProSet, Tiano… “INNOVATE and INTEGRATE” More than Processors…

The Worlds Best “Platform Diffusion Engine” % of Intel Client Silicon with New Capabilities PCI- Express Wi-Fi HT USB PCI AC’97 LAN USB2 Source: Intel FORECAST

The “T’s” 4 “Platform” Technologies RELIABILITY Vanderpool Technology VT PERFORMANCEHyper-ThreadingTechnologyHT MOBILITY Intel ® Centrino ™ Mobile Technology CMT SECURITY LaGrande Technology LT

The Mobile Platform(s): NOTEBOOKS Overall Notebooks Sold with WLAN** Pentium ® 4P, Pentium IIIP Families (% of perf NB) Pentium M Processor (% of perf NB) FORECAST 2003 Centrino ™ Mobile Technology: Unwire!  Family: >$2Bn in 9 mo; 130 designs  # b Si vendor in Q4’03*  Shipping b, a/b now; b/g in Q4 Mobile: The Growth Engine  Worldwide: +35% YoY (>3x DT)**  Emerging mkts: PRC +75% YoY**  Consumer: >40% US retail units*** 2004 Toggle: Dothan; Sonoma platform  a/b/g, Azalia audio, S-ATA, DDR2 Accelerate biz; grow consumer & EMs Source: * Intel **IDC *** NPD

Intel XScale ® Unit Shipments* The Mobile Platform(s): HANDHELD/HANDSET FORECAST Sources: * Intel, ** IDC 2003 Intel won PDAs  0%  45% MSS in 3 yrs; 60% by ’04* Phones  Ramp designs: Samsung, Motorola…  Sample Bulverde  Launch PXA800F: integrated GPRS #1 Apps processor shipments** 2004 Ramp XScale phones: >10Mu  MOUs with 5 of 10 largest carriers Extend to EDGE & WCDMA

Flash Intel Transition to MLC MLC SBC FORECAST 2003  Pricing missteps –overall MSS & rev down  But… wireless flash grows  MLC: 2/3 rd of Intel bits; 4 th gen  Wireless Memory System = complete solution –Low cost, high perf. (to 1Gb) most wireless OEMs  MLC > 80% bits; move to 90nm Source: Intel

The Digital Home Platform: VISION to REALITY Go Video* Onkyo* iCube* Gateway* Linksys* HP* Sources: Intel 2003  Digital Home Work Group ann’d June –v1.0 Spec Q1’04, 1 st products 1H’04  DTCP/IP spec for premium content  Products: ref. designs  mainstream –17 DMAs; 4 networked DVD, IP STB –Media Center PCs, “My Room” PCs  Intel ® 865 & 875 chipsets: ship >35Mu* –60% with gfx; >50% DT mix by EOY  Pentium ® 4 Processor Extreme Edition  HT: Premium price for premium tech * Certain names and brands may be claimed as the property of others

The Digital Home Platform: VISION to REALITY Source: *In-stat/MDR, 3/03, **Intel MCE PCs** Adv STB-PVRs** FORECAST IP-STB** Network DVDs** DMAs** Household Networks* 2004 Toggle: Prescott + HT + Grantsdale  PSC, HT > 60% of perf DT in Q2  PSC: >70Mu in ’04; 4GHz in ’04  Grantsdale: >50% of c/s by EOY Launch next gen DH platform  PCI-E gfx, DDR2, Azalia Audio, next gen S-ATA, Int. Access Point Drive the Digital Home Reality What’s Next? Dual core in ’05

Server Unit MSS* Q2’00Q2’03 Sun8%  5%Δ -3 pts The Digital Office Platform: IA-32 Intel84%  88%Δ +4 pts 2003 Ignite: +10M clients; jumpstart refresh  Biz PC growing 17% YoY in Q3 Servers: Record quarter**  +20% rev, +17% vol QoQ**  Gartner: IA systems +23.3% YoY*** 2004 Ramp 1st 90nm svr & ws CPU in 1H DP/MP/WS chipsets: 100+ designs  DP 800MHz FSB, DDR2, PCI Express Sources: *Q2’03 IDC Tracker, Sept ’03; ** Intel, *** Gartner Oct ‘03

The Digital Office Platform: Itanium ® Processor Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory selects Intel ® Itanium 2 processors for world’s most powerful Linux cluster ’03: Year of Itanium  >100Ku in ’03  New products (IBM X455…)  Enterprises & ISVs embrace What’s Next?  ’04: add 9MB cache  ’05: Montecito  Next: Tanglewood *Source: Results as of 11/4/03. See backup slide for details on tpmC, $/tpmC and Availability dates.TPC-C version 5; h ttp:// * Certain names and brands may be claimed as the property of others

Competition Brings Out the Best: Itanium ® Won… Best IA tpmC Best RISC tpmC Non-clustered 0 200, , ,000 tpmC 800, ,000,000 Source: Results as of 11/4/03. See backup slide for details on tpmC, $/tpmC and Availability dates.TPC-C version 5 11/04 1M 7/30 824K 5/20 707K 6/30 763K 5/19 681K 9/12 769K 8/28 456K 4/23 514K

The Telco Platforms FORECAST Sources: *Linley Gwennap for ’02-’03 MSS, Intel actuals and forecasts 2003  Modularity happening, ATCA gaining  #2 in NPU MSS: 11% (’02)  17% (’03)  ~20M GbE connections in ’  Accelerate modularity; est. ATCA  #1 NPU MSS (IXP2650, Westport, Asuza)  >25% growth in GbE connections  Grow wireless beyond client: –Sample low-power handheld Si (Wi-Fi + BT) –Ship WiMAX Si NPU Units (Ku) NPU Revenue ($M) NPU MSS (%)*

X-Platform Software Influence the Platform, Win Developers, Build Solutions IDS: Developers (’000s) FORECAST 2003  Established unified tools –compiler, threading, libraries… –IPF, IA-32, XScale; Linux & Windows  Change legacy BIOS; speed innovation  Developer services: mobilized sw initiative 2004  Enable “T’s” in OS & apps  Extend ISV reach x-platform

RFID: Example Growth Driver… Source: Intel FORECAST FORECAST RFID  100s of billions of objects generating TBs of data  Will change real-time data flow  actionable information Adoption  Leaders: Retail & DoD  Next: Mfg. + Pharma. Expanding Usage  ’04-’07: case & pallet tags  ’07-’11: tags for high value (>$10)

Microprocessors* Ramping on Advanced Technology Share of Microprocessor Unit Sales* *Intel Architecture CPUs 180nm 130nm 90nm 200mm 300mm FORECASTFORECAST

FORECAST 25% Q4’04Q4’05 25% Q4’03 Nov. ’03 CPU Product Cost Trend Source: Intel Q4’01Q4’02 Oct. ’01 25% Q4’03 May ’03 Q4’03

Geometry & Technology Driving Die per Wafer FORECAST Source: Intel 3.5X 90nm300mm65nm300mm130nm200/300mm

After 3 years of the industry’s deepest recession, After 3 years of the industry’s deepest recession, we are exiting 2003… Stronger than when we entered… relative to ourselves1 Stronger than when we entered… relative to the industry2 Extremely well positioned to grow…3