A better rule for aggregating societal tradeoffs Vincent Conitzer

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Presentation transcript:

A better rule for aggregating societal tradeoffs Vincent Conitzer

Recall our motivating example foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline Just taking medians pairwise results in inconsistency foresttrashgasoline

Recall the rule from the midterm Let t a,b,i be voter i’s tradeoff between a and b Tradeoff profile t has score Σ i Σ a,b | t a,b - t a,b,i | Upsides: –Coincides with median for 2 activities Downsides: –Dependence on choice of units: | t a,b - t a,b,i | ≠ | 2t a,b - 2t a,b,i | –Dependence on direction of edges: | t a,b - t a,b,i | ≠ | 1/t a,b - 1/t a,b,i | –We don’t have a general algorithm

A generalization Let t a,b,i be voter i’s tradeoff between a and b Let f be a monotone increasing function – say, f(x) = x 2 Tradeoff profile t has score Σ i Σ a,b | f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) | Still coincides with median for 2 activities! f(t a,b ) t a,b

An MLE justification Suppose probability of tradeoff profile {t i } given true tradeoff t is ∏ i ∏ a,b exp{-| f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) |} Then arg max t ∏ i ∏ a,b exp{-| f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) |} = arg max t log ∏ i ∏ a,b exp{-| f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) |} = arg max t Σ i Σ a,b -| f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) | = arg min t Σ i Σ a,b | f(t a,b ) - f(t a,b,i ) | which is our rule!

So what’s a good f? Intuition: Is the difference between tradeoffs of 1 and 2 the same as between 1000 and 1001, or as between 1000 and 2000? So how about f(x)=log(x)? –(Say, base e – remember log a (x)=log b (x)/log b (a) ) ln(1) ln(t a,b ) t a,b 2000 ln(2)ln(1000)ln(2000)

On our example foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline

Properties Independence of units | log(1) - log(2) | = | log(1/2) | = | log(1000/2000) | = | log(1000) - log(2000) | More generally: | log(ax) - log(ay) | = | log(x) - log(y) | Independence of edge direction | log(x) - log(y) | = | log(1/y) - log(1/x) | = | log(1/x) - log(1/y) |

Consistency constraint becomes additive xy = z is equivalent to log(xy) = log(z) is equivalent to log(x) + log(y) = log(z)

An additive variant “I think basketball is 5 units more fun than football, which in turn is 10 units more fun than baseball” basketballbaseballfootball

Aggregation in the additive variant Natural objective: minimize Σ i Σ a,b d a,b,i where d a,b,i = | t a,b - t a,b,i | is the distance between the aggregate difference t a,b and the subjective difference t a,b,i basketballbaseballfootball basketballbaseballfootball basketballbaseballfootball basketballbaseballfootball objective value 70 (optimal)

A linear program for the additive variant q a : aggregate assessment of quality of activity a (we’re really interested in q a - q b = t a,b ) d a,b,i : how far is i’s preferred difference t a,b,i from aggregate q a - q b, i.e., d a,b,i = |q a - q b - t a,b,i | minimize Σ i Σ a,b d a,b,i subject to for all a,b,i: d a,b,i ≥ q a - q b - t a,b,i for all a,b,i: d a,b,i ≥ t a,b,i - q a + q b (Can arbitrarily set one of the q variables to 0)

Applying this to the logarithmic rule in the multiplicative variant Just take logarithms on the edges, solve the additive variant, and exponentiate back foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline foresttrashgasoline