Group 2 Presentation: Mineral and materials

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Presentation transcript:

Group 2 Presentation: Mineral and materials Prepared by: Haili Yin Li Regan Sun Fai Yi He

Agenda Introduction to Industry: Companies: Copper Petroleum Aluminium Freeport-McMoRan BHP Billiton Rio Tinto

Copper Conductor of heat and electricity, a building material, and a constituent of metal alloys International traded commodity Prices of copper: Reflect the worldwide balance of copper supply and demand Volatile Cyclical

Copper Prices are determined by the major metals exchanges: London Metal Exchange (LME) New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX) Shanghai Futures Exchange

Copper Prices Spot price ranged from a low of $2.86 per pound to a high of $3.38 per pound $2.88 per pound at December 31,2014

Copper Demand By end-use market: Construction (30%) Consumer products (28%) Electrical applications (19%) Transportation (12%) Industry machinery (11%)

Copper Production Key point: Copper usage increased 12% in 2014 while mine production increased just 3%

Potential Risks Operating Risks: Market Risks: Laws and Regulations Equipment shortage Environmental condition Technology Market Risks: Copper price Interest rate Foreign exchange risk Substitutes Economic and political issue

Potential Hedging Activities Energy Prices Copper Prices Exchange Rates Interest Rates

Petroleum Comes from Latin: “petra” (meaning “rock”) and “oleum” (meaning “oil”). Colour: from yellow to black Formed by a large number of dead organisms, compressed in intense heat and pressure

Petroleum It consists of hydrocarbons of different molecular weights, but they all contain element C! Uses fluid catalytic cracking to change complex molecules into simpler ones Used in the modern day era as fuel during combustion

Petroleum Prices

Petroleum Demand

Petroleum Supply OPEC is a major factor in supply and price (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) OPEC crude oil production is an important factor affecting global oil prices. OPEC sets production targets for its member nations and generally, when OPEC production targets are reduced, oil prices increase.

Petroleum--Risk and Uncertainties Business Risks: Failure to discover new resources Increased cost and schedule delay External Risks: Change in demand in major markets Changes in currency exchange rates Laws and regulations (for by-product as well!)

Petroleum--Potential Hedging Strategies Possible methods: Contracts Interest Rate Swaps Cross Currency Rate swaps

Aluminum Final product of a three-stage production process Bauxite: natural ore Alumina: refining process Aluminum Light, strong, flexible, corrosion-resistant and infinitely recyclable One of the most widely-used metals Transportation Machinery Construction Bauxite Bauxite is the natural ore used to make aluminium. It is refined into alumina which is smelted into aluminium metal. Our wholly- and partly-owned bauxite mines are located in Australia, Brazil and Guinea. Alumina Alumina (aluminium oxide) is extracted from bauxite via a refining process. Approximately four tonnes of bauxite are required to produce two tonnes of alumina, which in turn makes one tonne of aluminium metal. Our wholly- and partly-owned alumina refineries are located in Australia, Brazil and Canada. Aluminium Aluminium is a unique and versatile modern metal. Light, strong, flexible, corrosion-resistant and infinitely recyclable, aluminium is one of the most widely-used metals in the world. Its largest markets are transportation, machinery and construction. Our smelters are mainly concentrated in Canada. We also have plants in France, Australia, New Zealand, Iceland, the UK and Oman.

Aluminum An Internationally traded commodity Worldwide Production New York Commodities Exchange London Metal Exchange Worldwide Production China is the largest aluminum producer and has the highest growth rate Prices Contango Cyclical Price affected by demand and supply

Aluminum Price

Aluminum Demand Factors affecting demand Industrialization Global Economic Conditions Instability Decreases Demand (US. and Europe) Industrialization Changes in demand transportation vehicles Changes in the construction market Changes in containers and packaging Energy Costs http://www.world-aluminium.org/statistics/#map

Global Aluminum Demand - Industries http://www.rusal.ru/en/aluminium/consumers.aspx

Global Aluminum Supply

Global Aluminum Demand and Supply

Freeport-McMoRan

Company Background One of the world’s largest producers of copper and gold Headquarters in Phoenix, Arizona Operating location: North America, South America, Indonesia, Africa Traded as NYSE:FCX and S&P 500 Component

Locations of operating mines

Ownership Interest of FCX

PRODUCTS AND SALES Sales of copper (60%): Sales of oil (20%) Copper concentrate (44%) Copper cathode (31%) Continuous cast copper rod (25%) Sales of oil (20%) Sales of gold (7%) Sales of molybdenum (6%) Others (7%)

Risk Factors Financial risks Market prices of copper, gold and/or oil Debt and other financial commitments may limit the financial and operating flexibility Mine closure and reclamation regulations impose substantial costs on operations Financial assurance is required to support their obligations (e.g. Bonds)

Risk Factors International risks International operations are subject to political, social and geographic risks The company’s business may be adversely affected by political, economic and social uncertainties in Indonesia Tenke minerals district may be adversely affected by security risks and political, economic and social instability in the DRC

Risk Factors Operational risks Mining and oil and gas operations are subject to operational risks Labor unrest and activism could disrupt the operations The mining production depends on the availability of sufficient water supplies Indonesia and Africa mining operations involve additional risks because of the difficult location Development projects are inherently risky and may require more capital than anticipated Others

Risk Factors Environmental risks Subject to complex and evolving environmental laws, such as CERCLA Remediation of environmental conditions on mining properties that have not been operated in many years Unexpected environmental impacts from Indonesia mining operations could incur increased costs Regulation of greenhouse gas emissions and climate change issues may adversely affect the company’s operations

Risk Factors Other risks Holding company structure may impact the ability to service debt and stockholders’ ability to receive dividends Anti-takeover provisions in the company’s charter documents and Delaware law may make an acquisition of the company more difficult

Disclosures about market risks Commodity Price Risk Foreign Currency Exchange Risk Interest Rate Risk

Copper price VS. FCX stock price

Income Statement

Cash Flow Statement

Cash Flow Statement cont’d

Balance Sheet

Balance Sheet cont’d

Risk Management Philosophy “FCX does not purchase, hold or sell derivative financial instruments unless there is an existing asset or obligation, or it anticipates a future activity that is likely to occur and will result in exposure to market risks, which FCX intends to offset or mitigate. FCX does not enter into any derivative financial instruments for speculative purposes, but has entered into derivative financial instruments in limited instances to achieve specific objectives. ”

Financial Instruments Commodity Contracts: Forward, futures and swap contracts A variety of crude oil and natural gas commodity derivatives, such as swaps, collars, puts, calls and various combinations of these instruments Derivatives do not contain credit risk-related contingent provisions As of December 31,2013 and 2012, FCX had no price protection contracts relating to mine production

Fair Value Hedges Using Copper Futures and Swap Contracts FCX receive the COMEX average price in the month of shipment The customers pay the fixed price they requested Three steps to follow: Determine the fair value of both hedged item and hedging instrument at reporting date Recognize any change in fair value on the hedging instrument in profit or loss Recognize the hedging gain or loss on the hedged item in its carrying amount

Fair Value Hedge Transactions Realized gains (losses) & Unrealized gains (losses)

Financial Instruments Derivatives not designated as hedging instruments Embedded Derivatives Crude Oil and Natural Gas Contracts Copper Forward Contracts

Embedded Derivatives A provision in a contract that modifies the cash flow of a contract by making it dependent on some underlying measurement Incorporated into a host contract Accounted for separately form the host contract when it is not closely related to the host contract Provides price certainty

Embedded Derivatives Summary of FCX’s embedded derivatives at December 31,2014

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Contracts FCX has crude oil options, crude oil and natural gas swaps as a result of the acquisition of PXP Not designated as hedging instruments In order to limit the effects of crude oil price decreases Composed of crude oil put spreads consisting of put options with a floor limit

Crude Oil and Natural Gas Contracts The outstanding crude oil option contracts at December 31,2014 The deferred option premiums and accrued interest associated with the crude oil option contracts totaled $210 million

Copper Forward Contracts Entered by Atlantic Copper, FCX’s wholly owned smelting and refining unit in Spain Designed to hedge its copper price risk whenever its physical purchases and sales pricing periods do not match Hedge against changes in copper prices Market-to-market hedging gains or losses recorded in cost of sales Net forward copper purchase contracts for 13 million pounds at average contract price of $2.9 per pound

Summary of (Losses) Gains Recognized in income before income taxes

Unsettled Derivative Financial Instruments

Credit Risk Exposed to credit loss when financial institutions with which FCX has entered into derivative transactions are unable to pay FCX uses counterparties that meet certain credit requirements Review the creditworthiness of these counterparties The maximum amount of credit exposure associated with derivative transactions was $379 million at December 31, 2014

BHP Billiton

BHP Billiton Multinational mining, metals and petroleum company (top producers in major commodity) Headquarter: Melbourne, Australia Was Created in 2001, by merging of Australian Broken Hill Proprietary Company Limited (BHP) and the Angelo-Dutch Billiton plc. (dual-listed company in London and Melbourne) As of 30 June 2014, the market capitalization of BHP Billiton reached US $179 billion. Around 123,800 employees and contractors in 21 countries (130 locations around the world. Products include: Iron Ore, coal, manganese, gold, petroleum, aluminium, silver, copper, etc. Australian Broken Hill Proprietary Company Limited operated silver and lead mine. Angelo-Dutch Billiton plc operated potash (salts that contained potassium and water soluble)

NA petroleum South America Copper and aluminium Australia coal, aluminium, petroleum, copper, etc.

BHP Billiton Revenue and EBIT

BHP Billiton Income Statement

BHP Billiton Balance Sheet

BHP Billiton Cash Flow Statement

BHP Billiton Risk Factors External risks: Fluctuations in commodity prices and ongoing global economic volatility Currency exchange rate fluctuations Reduction in Chinese demand Business risks: Failure to discover/acquire new resources, maintain them or develop new operations Potential change to their portfolio of assets through acquisitions and divestments

BHP Billiton Risk Factors Continued Financial risks: If the liquidity and cash flow available to the company severely decreases, then major capital programs cannot be properly funded. May not recover their investments in mining, oil and gas assets due to change in industry structure or price of commodities. Operational risks: Cost pressures and reduced productivity Sustainability risks: Safety, health, environmental and community issues, along with incidents/accidents and regulations may also affect the company’s people, operations and reputation, etc.

BHP Billiton Financial Risk Management

BHP Billiton Statements “The natural diversification in our portfolio of commodities, geographies, currencies, assets and liabilities is a key element in our risk management approach.”

BHP Billiton Risk Exposures Market risk: movements of interest rates foreign currencies commodity prices Liquidity risk Credit risk

BHP Billiton Market Risk Management

BHP Billiton Market risk: interest rate risk and foreign currency risk The risk in which the value of investment may change due to altering the future cash flow Methods used by BHP: Interest rate swaps Cross currency interest rate swaps

BHP Billiton Market risk: interest rate risk and foreign currency risk Fair value: rational and unbiased estimate of the potential market price of the good, service or asset Objective factors: supply vs demand, production costs, replacement costs, etc. Subjective factors: risk characteristics, individually perceived utility, etc.

BHP Billiton Market risk: interest rate risk and foreign currency risk However, the company is still subject to translational exposure, which is the foreign exchange gains and losses on foreign currency denominated provisions for closure and rehabilitation at operating sites, capitalized in property, plant and equipment.

BHP Billiton Market Risk: Commodity Price Risk

BHP Billiton Market Risk: Commodity Price Risk

BHP Billiton Liquidity Risk Liquidity risk: Risk of not being able to settle obligations when they are due.

BHP Billiton Credit Risk Credit risk: non-performance of the counterparties’ contract

BHP Billiton Fair Values

BHP Billiton Fair Values

BHP Billiton Sensitivity Analysis Level 3: Valuation is based on inputs that are not based on observable market data.

Company Overview British-Australian multinational corporation with headquarters in London, UK, and a management office in Melbourne, Australia A leading global mining and metals company Focus on finding, mining and processing the Earth’s mineral resources in order to maximize value for shareholders Dual-listed company traded on the London Stock Exchange and the Australian Securities Exchange

Executives Chairman: Jan du Plessis Director of Rio Tinto since 2008, he was appointed chairman in 2009 Chairman of British American Tobacco plc. between 2004-2009 From 1998 to 2001, President and CEO of Ford Motor Company CEO: Sam Walsh AO (Melbourne) Director of Rio Tinto since 2009, he was appointed chief executive in 2013 Joined Rio Tinto in 1991, following 20 years in the automotive industry at General Motors and Nissan Australia

Operation Operating in 5 major businesses Aluminum product group Copper product group Diamonds & Minerals product group Energy product group Iron ore product group P1-2

Operation Locations

General Performance

General Performance

Consolidated Income Statement

Finance Income and Finance Costs

Consolidated Statement of Comprehensive Income

Consolidated Balance Sheet - Assets

Other Financial Assets

Consolidated Balance Sheet- Liabilities and Equity

Consolidated Cash Flow

Consolidated Cash Flow

Risk Management Framework Managing risk effectively is an integral part of how we create value, and fundamental to our business success “Three lines of defense” model Ownership of risk by the operations Control of risk by Group functions and management committees Assurance of our systems by Group Audit & Assurance p14

Financial Risk Management Funding and exposure management Fundamental part of long-term strategy of the Group Treasury operations Treasury policy p147

Financial Risk Factors Foreign exchange rate risk Interest rate risk Commodity price risk Credit risk Liquidity and capital risk management p152

Foreign exchange risk Geographic diversity of sales and operations Important currencies US dollars Australian dollars Canadian dollars Cross currency interest rate swaps p147

Foreign Exchange Risk Net debt of the Group

Foreign exchange risk Hedging strategy Not believe in active currency hedging Review its exposure on a regular basis Reserves the right to enter into hedges Monthly treasury report

Interest Rate Risk Risk that the value of a financial instrument or cash flows associated with the instrument will fluctuate due to changes in market interest rates Borrow and invest at floating interest rate Based on historical correlation between interest rates and commodity prices

Interest Rate Risk Hedging strategy Interest rate derivatives Hedging result

Commodity Price Risk Normal policy is to sell products at prevailing market prices Products sold under contracts and spot market Copper, aluminum Products that are “ provisionally priced” Copper concentrate

Credit Risk The risk that a counterparty will not meet its obligations, leading to financial losses Exposed to credit risks Operating activities Financing activities

Credit Risk Maximum credit risk exposure of financial assets

Liquidity and Capital Risk Management Objective is to safeguard the business as a going concern whilst maximizing returns of shareholders Provide the Group a high degree of financial flexibility at a low cost of capital Maintain an “A-” credit rating

Sensitivities Analysis Foreign exchange risk

Sensitivities Analysis Interest rate risk Commodity price risk