Changes in solar radiation are primary cause for climates to change ~10% change in solar radiation output can dramatically alter Earth’s climate Changes in solar radiation are primary cause for climates to change ~10% change in solar radiation output can dramatically alter Earth’s climate Chapter 15 - Climate changes Longer term changes in total output Milankovitch type variations Shorter term Sunspot activity (?), Human intervention Longer term changes in total output Milankovitch type variations Shorter term Sunspot activity (?), Human intervention

Short term cyclic semi-cyclic in nature are Sunspots Cooler areas on the Sun’s photosphere Magnetic anomalies that trigger cooler conditions Less than 0.01% change in energy Short term cyclic semi-cyclic in nature are Sunspots Cooler areas on the Sun’s photosphere Magnetic anomalies that trigger cooler conditions Less than 0.01% change in energy

Linkage between # of sunspots and mean sea surface temp (a function of global temp).

Non-cyclic short term-- dust in atmosphere many causes volcanic explosions droughts meteorite impacts humans Example-1815 Mt. Tambora eruption in the East Indies created a year without a summer due to dust blocking sunlight Non-cyclic short term-- dust in atmosphere many causes volcanic explosions droughts meteorite impacts humans Example-1815 Mt. Tambora eruption in the East Indies created a year without a summer due to dust blocking sunlight

Drought and desertification can create either a negative or positive feedback loop drought triggers dust dust decreases temp temp decrease may trigger rain or or may further the drought Drought and desertification can create either a negative or positive feedback loop drought triggers dust dust decreases temp temp decrease may trigger rain or or may further the drought

Dust storm in Sahara

Land use changes in Albedo different materials covering the land surface reflect solar radiation differently e.g., trees vs grass vs crops concrete vs blacktop, vs gravel Results in an Urban “Heat Island” or “Heat Bubble” effect surrounding cities Often cooler temps in agricultural vs city Often cooler temps in forest vs agricultural Land use changes in Albedo different materials covering the land surface reflect solar radiation differently e.g., trees vs grass vs crops concrete vs blacktop, vs gravel Results in an Urban “Heat Island” or “Heat Bubble” effect surrounding cities Often cooler temps in agricultural vs city Often cooler temps in forest vs agricultural

Changes in Albedo Savanna to desert 1.8% of earth’s surface 16-36% change Temperate forest to field, grassland 1.6% of earth’s surface 12-15% change Tropical forest to field, savanna 1.4% of earth’s surface 7-16% change Salinization, field to salt flat 0.1% of earth’s surface 1-25% change

Milankovitch cycles small changes in Earths orbit around the sun and variability in its axis of rotation Eccentricity - ellipicity of annual orbit Obliquity - changes in tilt of Earth’s axis Precession - change in position of earth along the annual orbit with respect to when the northern hemisphere is tilted toward the sun

Artists rendition of Chicxulub impact at time of impact

Plate tectonics Changes in location of continents affects global energy movement and absorption Influences position of and strength of oceanic currents

Plate tectonics - impact on continental location with respect to latitude and oceanic currents with respect to continuity of motion

Changes in ocean currents Modern examples of El Nino and la Nina triggered widespread interest in this area Showed how important ocean currents are in relation to global, regional, and local climates global - El Nino-La Nina regional - coastal desert in Peru local - cooler temps along the Texas Gulf coast due to proximity to water and sea- land breeze

Volcanic ash plume from Mont Serrat

Ash from Mt St Helens

Before After- 1990

Thematic mapper satellite image of Buffalo County, Nebraska

Greenhouse and other gases influencing climate change

Non-anthropogenic sources of green house gases Volcanic activity CO 2 ; S0 2 ; H 2 0; Biological decay CH 4 - Methane Non-anthropogenic sources of green house gases Volcanic activity CO 2 ; S0 2 ; H 2 0; Biological decay CH 4 - Methane