 Urban Revitalization Professor: Patrick McGuigan Executive Director, ProvPlan Lessons from The Providence Plan PP170

What is this? College Hill Federal Hill Elmwood

How big is Providence? Providence Boston New York 8,175, mi 2 617, mi 2 178, mi 2 ? Population data from 2010 U.S. Census Bureau estimates Total Population

How economically successful are Providence families? Boston New York $51,270 $51,739 Providence $36,925 College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill $ $ $ $ $ $ Economic data from ACS U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Median Household Income ?

How economically successful are Providence families? Boston New York 16.2% 15.9% Providence 21.5% College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill 0% % 25.3% % 4.5% - 9.5% Economic data from ACS U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Families Living Below Poverty Level ?

How well educated are Providence families? Providence 72.7% College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill 95.3% - 100% 60% % 67.5% % Education data from ACS U.S. Census Ranges represent the lowest and highest value census tracts within the neighborhood. Adults with a High School Degree

How much does property cost in Providence? Providence (Median) $110,000 College Hill ElmwoodFederal Hill $846,967 $120,122 $197,694 Housing data from: City of Providence, 3/22/12 – 4/5/13 Average Property Sales Value

Why is neighborhood level data on urban communities important?  Recognize that cities are complex places that can simultaneously experience success and failure  Allows for statistical comparisons of geographies within a city  Offers meaningful level of analysis for policymakers and residents  Helps to inform allocation of limited resources within cities  Provides a framework to measure the impact of policy-based and programmatic interventions

` Poverty in Providence 47%+ 35% - 46% 31% - 34% 24% - 30% 16% - 23% 7% - 15% 4% - 6% Households in Poverty Tracts with highest proportion of families in Poverty Upper/Lower S. Prov. Tract 4: 48% Upper S. Prov. Tract 7: 64.2% Data from ACS U.S. Census Wanskuck Tract 27: 51.3%

Overall Population Change 14% - 65% 6.7% - 13% 2.5% - 6.6% 0.0% - 2.4% -4.3% % -8.9% % Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase Federal Hill (-8.9) Elmwood (-6.8%) Manton (57.4%) Downtown (65.3%) Largest Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

Change in Latino Population 93% - 139% 57% - 92% 25% - 56% 0.0% - 24% -2.6% % -2.7% - -19% Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase Smith Hill (-2.6) Federal Hill (- 19.4%) Manton (138%) Downtown (120%) Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

Change in Non-Latino White Population 15% - 44% 4.6% - 14% 4.1% - 4.5% 0.0% - 4.0% -23% % -54% - -24% Pop. Change 2010 (as % of 2000 pop.) Largest Population Increase South Elmwood decline (-37%) coincides with decrease in black population (-17%) and increase in vacant housing units (140%) Manton (15.1%) Downtown (44.4%) Notable Population Decrease Data from 2000 & 2010 U.S. Census

Key challenges facing Providence (and most other urban communities)  Jobs  Education  Housing  Safety  Declining Revenue & Increasing Costs

Jobs in Providence Unemployment Providence 10.3% Rhode Island 8.8% Unemployment data from U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, April 2013  How do we expand industry in Rhode Island and ensure residents are ready to meet the needs of growing employers?

Unemployment in Providence  Why is unemployment distributed unevenly across the city?

Education in Providence Math Proficiency Test score data from Rhode Island Department of Education (neighborhood data derived as median of neighborhood schools)  How do we improve the quality of education for Providence youth without leaving more disadvantaged students behind? (8th grade) Providence 26% Rhode Island 54%

Education in Providence Source:

4-Year High School Outcomes in Providence and Statewide Source:

NECAP Scores Source:

Housing in Providence Foreclosures Foreclosure Data: HousingWorksRI Annual Report Spring 2012  How can we mitigate the impact of foreclosures on families living in urban areas and combat the blight of abandoned homes? Providence 9.78% Rhode Island 3.65% (as % of mortgaged housing stock) 6,740 Homes 1672 Homes

Public Safety in Providence Violent Crime Rate  How does Providence continue to build on the success of its community policing approach to improve public safety? (per 1000) Providence 6.93 Rhode Island 2.9 Crime Data from: 2011 Uniform Crime Report (Crime in Rhode Island)

Snapshot: Crime in Providence

Declining Revenue & Increasing Costs Projected 2012 Deficit Deficit Projection $110,000,000 Budget data from City of Providence  In an era of tightening budgets, how do we make hard decisions about where to cut and where to invest? As % of Approved Budget 17.8%

How to address the range of challenges facing Providence & other urban communities (all key themes for course)  Be Strategic  Build Strong Partnerships  Advance Comprehensive Solutions  Take “What Works” to Scale  Align Revitalization with Political Action

The Work of The Providence Plan  Provide residents and public agencies with data and information that can support smart decision making  Launch innovative service programs that address unmet community needs

ProvPlan’s Programmatic Initiatives Info Group YouthBuild Providence New Roots Ready to Learn (R2LP) Building Futures

Course Structure  Weeks 1-3: Analysis of the economic and political forces that have brought cities to where they are today  Weeks 4-9: An examination of four issues that must be addressed as an essential component of any urban agenda:  Weeks 10-13: Uphill battles and prospects for success – seeking comprehensive solutions for Providence Housing Public Safety Jobs Education

Course Assignments  Student-Led Classes  Policy Briefs (2)  Final Group Project

Urban Revitalization PP170 local.provplan.org/pp170