ENVIRONMENTAL SCAN MARCH 12, 2015 JAY GANDHI, DIRECTOR OF ADMINISTRATIVE AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT SERVICES JON DAVIDSON, DIRECTOR OF UNDERGRADUATE ADMISSIONS BRAD MAKI, DIRECTOR OF GRADUATE ADMISSIONS VAHID LOTFI, SENIOR VICE PROVOST LORI VEDDER, DIRECTOR OF FINANCIAL AID DEB WHITE, DIRECTOR OF EXTENDED LEARNING

MICHIGAN ENROLLMENT TRENDS Fall 2009 Fall 2010 Fall 2011 Fall 2012 Fall 2013 % Annual Total Enrollment Change1.94%1.17%0.60%-0.47%-0.46% % Annual UM-Flint Enrollment Change7.07%4.70%1.52%0.33%3.21% Total Enrollment298,240301,734303,554302,129300,730 UM-Flint Enrollment7,7738,1388,2628,2898,555

UM-FLINT TEN-YEAR TREND 33.5 % increase since 2005

UNDERGRADUATE ENROLLMENT TRENDS 24.8% increase since 2005

DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES NATIONWIDE Michigan among most affected nationwide Anticipated contraction of 20% by 2020 in Michigan Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door

DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES - MICHIGAN Source: WICHE Knocking at the College Door, Michigan projections

DECREASING PRODUCTION OF HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATES – GENESEE COUNTY 10.6% drop 2010 – % drop 2010 – 2020

DECLINE IN COMMUNITY COLLEGE ENROLLMENT 17.7% drop overall 26.5% drop Mott CC Transfer students make up 66% of new undergraduates each year Approximately 45% of transfer students come from Mott Community College

POPULATION SHIFTS Sources: U.S. Census, Michigan CEPI Counts

UM-FLINT GRADUATE ENROLLMENT 99% increase in headcount since 2005!

POPULATION SHIFTS 2010 Population 2013 Population Estimate Change 2010 to 2013 % 25+ w/Bach. Degree Total GR students Fall 14 % resident GR Genesee425,790415, %18.9% % Oakland1,205,5081,231, %43.1% % Wayne9,883,6409,898, %21.3%585.0% Washtenaw344,791354, %51.3%554.7% Saginaw200,169196, %19.1%494.2% Livingston180,967184, %32.9%453.9% Kent602,622621, %31.7%423.6% Macomb840,978854, %22.5%413.5% Lapeer88,31988, %17.0%393.4% Ingham280,891282, %36.5%272.3% Michigan9,883,6409,898, %25.9% USA308,745,538316,497, %28.8% Sources: U.S. Census, Michigan CEPI Counts

GRADUATE ENROLLMENT

DEMAND FOR GRADUATE EDUCATION Ongoing growth in master’s and doctoral degree program enrollment through 2019 (Institute of Education Sciences National Center for Educational Statistics) In Michigan, highest number of master’s degrees completed in: Education Business, Management, Marketing, and related support services Health Professions and related Clinical Sciences Engineering Public Administration and Social Services (including Social Work) Computer and Information Sciences and support services Psychology

INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT

INTERNATIONAL ENROLLMENT COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN FALL Saudi Arabia 2.India 3.China 4.South Korea 5.Nigeria

INTERNATIONAL STANDING AND DEMAND United States is the top destination for international students State of Michigan ranks 9 th for number of International students

INTERNATIONAL STANDING AND DEMAND Growth fueled by China, Saudi Arabia, Vietnam Emerging markets in Oman, Iraq, Kuwait, Iran, and Brazil due to government scholarship programs

AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING “Michigan is seeing very moderate increases in State Appropriations from FY to FY ” Source: President’s Council State Universities of Michigan “Michigan has seen 5 th largest decline in state funding from … Today, state funding covers about 22 percent of the cost of an education (vs. 70 percent in 1985)” Source: President’s Council State Universities of Michigan

AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING The latest reduction in appropriations occurred in when a 15% cut across-the-board was assessed to the public universities in Michigan. To date these funds have not been fully restored, as tuition and fees become the driving source of general fund revenue. Boulus, Michael A. Michigan’s Public Universities Moving Michigan into the Knowledge Economy, February 12, 2013.

AFFORDABILITY AND STATE FUNDING CONT. As state disinvestment continues, an article by the Young Invincibles (YI) demonstrates how states fair using a scoring system that takes into account the relationship between state budgets and college affordability.

ONLINE LEARNING TRENDING AS A STRATEGY 70.8% of chief academic leaders say online learning is critical to long-term strategy. Online enrollments have increased at rates far in excess of those of overall higher education. IPEDS: 73.7% of the 1.2% overall student enrollment growth was distance students (2013) Decreasing online growth rates since 2009

ONLINE LEARNING TRENDING AS A STRATEGY Public 4-year: 7.2% growth 2012 to 2013

UM-FLINT: STUDENTS TAKING ONLINE COURSES ONLY Undergrad 6.72%8.01%7.21%8.87%9.92%12.27%13.66%14.21% Graduate 3.4%4.43%6.38%8.39%14.27%18.01%20.61%22.59%

UM-FLINT ONLINE COURSE ENROLLMENT GROWTH RATES

SEM DATA TEAM Roy Barnes, Associate Dean, College of Arts and Sciences Jay Gandhi, Director of Administrative and Information Management Services Dan Adams, Director of International Center Karen Arnould, Registrar Jon Davidson, Director of Undergraduate Admissions Brad Maki, Director of Graduate Admissions Aimi Moss, Director of Student Success Center Fawn Skarsten, Director of Institutional Analysis Lori Vedder, Director of Financial Aid Deb White, Director of Extended Learning