Emerging communities in Merton

Merton Population Profile 2001 Census population th smallest population in London Source 2001 Census Population density similar to Ealing, Brent, Waltham Forest, Newham. Less density than inner London partly due to commons and parks

Census Profile Merton 75% White, 11% Asian, 8% Black London 71% White, 12% Asian 11% Black. In parts of east Merton up to 50% of residents have an ethnic minority background. 74% Born in UK - 26% born overseas 14% have a disability or limiting long term illness, 17% are aged over 60, 19% are under 16 years old. Life expectancy is 5.2 years more in top 4 wards than bottom 4 wards Population density Multiple Deprivation

Population Estimates Census ONS 2005 mid year estimates % increase Assumption 900 net migration Data Management and Analysis Group GLA –higher estimate % increase –lower estimate % increase ONS 2007 projection grant allocation % increase assumptions about births deaths and national and international migration

Population Estimate Methodology International Migration International Passenger Survey National Migration GP registrations 2001 Census Deaths Births Sources of inaccuracy Visitor Switchers

Local Knowledge Electoral register GP registrations National Insurance registrations Languages in schools Translation Service

Electoral register Local data suggests our population may be higher Electoral register Electoral register % increase between 2002 – Census x 2.15% =

GP Registrations GP registrations GP registrations % increase But some people stick with their GP even if the emigrate Some people think they have to pay so use A&E instead Young men often don’t register

National Insurance registrations Registrations from non-UK nationals risen from 3590 in 2003/04 to 6470 in 2005/06 making a total of extra people. If these are added to the 2001 census Merton’s population would be % higher than the census. Source: Department Work and Pensions

National Insurance registrations by constituency Source: Department Work and Pensions

Languages in schools Children in Merton schools who are exposed to a non- English language at home. (n.b. language not ethnicity) Rise from 5410 to % rise Includes 249% rise in Polish speaking children. If these extra 1439 children are added to the children in the census the local estimate for children is This compares with in the census

National Insurance registrations plus non English speaking children Age groupsCensusLocal calculation Includes Aged non English speaking children Aged 16 – National insurance registrations Aged No extra estimates included Total % increase

Combining local knowledge Electoral register % National Insurance registrations % National Insurance + Children % GP registrations % Approximate figure % Our population may be underestimated by Estimate % increase

2001 Census – ethnicity

Translation Requests

Translation Requests (- Tamil)

Languages other than English used in Merton Schools 2003 to 2007

PUPILS WITH TAMIL MOTHER TONGUE

PUPILS WITH URDU MOTHER TONGUE

PUPILS WITH POLISH MOTHER TONGUE

Electoral register South Africa and Poland South Africa Poland

Electoral register Sri Lanka Sri Lanka

Electoral register Ireland and Ghana Ireland Ghana

Electoral register India, Pakistan IndiaPakistan

Combining local Information

Racial Incidents in Merton

Further Questions Does this seem accurate? What other local information do we have?