Securing Florida’s Future, Together 2014 FAC Board Leadership Summit
“Take part in politics Or Get taken apart by it.” Former U. S. Senator Alan Simpson Wyoming Words of Wisdom
Voter Registration Matrix – July 1, ,433,84911,351,60811,315,36811,888, Today
Gender (52/48) 53 – 45 – 2 Race (79/11/6/4) 66 – 14 – 14 – 6 Democrats –Tallahassee, Gainesville, Palm Beach and Miami Republicans –Naples Others –Miami, Naples and Palm Beach Voter Registration
African American Voters (14% of Voters) 82% Dem3% Rep15% NPA Caucasian Voters (66% of Voters) 31% Dem45% Rep24% NPA Hispanic Voters (14% of Voters) 38% Dem28% Rep34% NPA Others (6% of Voters) 34% Dem22% Rep44% NPA Voter Demographics
–Democratic Party 28% African American14% Hispanic52% Caucasian –Republican Party 1.3% African American11% Hispanic84% Caucasian –Other Parties 8% African American19% Hispanic63% Caucasian Voter Demographics
Republicans161, % Democrats195, % Others305, % Net Change662,545100% Voter Demographics 1/1/13 — 4/30/14
New African-American voters – –Dem – 73%; NPAs – 24% and Rep – 3% New Caucasian voters – –Dem – 22%; NPA – 40%; Rep – 38% New Hispanic voters – –Dem – 39%; NPAs – 45%; Rep -- 16% Voter Registration Trends
Counties With More “Others” than Republican Broward Total – 1,104,396 Dem ,854 Other ,875 Rep ,567 Miami-Dade Palm Beach Total – 1,282,119Total – 845,034 Dem ,334Dem – 369,362 Other ,048Other ,663 Rep ,737Rep ,009 Osceola Total – 165,511 Dem -- 70,786 Other -- 52,645 Rep -- 42,080As of May 1, 2014
Counties With More “Others” than Democrats Collier Total – 179,888 Rep -- 91,364 Other -- 45,111 Dem -- 43,413 Okaloosa Total – 119,800 Rep -- 70,280 Other -- 25,107 Dem -- 24,413 As of May 1, 2014
House Districts With More “Other Voters” than Republican Voters –HD 08 TallahasseeHD 43 Osceola –HD 45 OrangeHD 46 Orange –HD 48 OrangeHD 49 Orange –HD 61 HillsboroughHD 62 Hillsborough –HD 70 Tampa BayHD 81 Palm Beach –HD 87 Palm BeachHD 88 Palm Beach –HD 90 Palm BeachHD 91 Palm Beach –HD 92 BrowardHD 94 Broward –HD 95 BrowardHD 96 Broward –HD 97 BrowardHD 98 Broward –HD 99 BrowardHD 100 Broward/Miami-Dade –HD 101 BrowardHD 102 Broward/ Miami-Dade –HD 107 Miami-DadeHD 108 Miami-Dade –HD 109 Miami-DadeHD 113 Miami-Dade –HD 117 Miami-Dade
House Districts With More “Others” than Democrats HD 76Lee County HD 77Lee County HD 106Collier HD 116Miami-Dade
The 2014 Ballot Governor (Scott – 48.9%) Attorney General (Bondi – 54.8%) Chief Financial Officer (Atwater – 57.3%) Agriculture Commissioner (Putnam – 55.9%) All 27 Congressional 20 State Senate Districts – Even numbered Seats All 120 House Districts (75R – 45D) Constitutional Amendments* 3 on ballot Local Candidates & Issues *Amendment 1 -- Right to Marijuana for Treatment of Certain Medical Diseases and Conditions *Amendment 2 - Water and Land Conservation. Sponsored by Florida’s Water and Land Legacy, Inc. *Amendment 3 – Prospective Appointment of Certain Judicial Vacancies
STATEWIDE POLL Second Statewide of Completed Interviews Margin of Error +/- 3.5%
Voters’ Concerns - Open
Florida Right Track/Wrong Direction
Senator Re-elected Without Opposition SD 02 Evers SD 04 Bean SD 08 Hukill SD 18 Simpson SD 26 Galvano SD 28 Detert SD 38 Garcia SD 40 Diaz de la Portilla
HD 21: Perry (R)HD 29: Clelland (D) HD 30: Castor Dental (D)HD 42: La Rosa (R) HD 47: Stewart (D)HD 65: Zimmermann (D) HD 68: Dudley (D)HD 69: Peters (R) HD 84: Lee (D)HD 89: Hager (R) HD 112: Rodriguez (D) House Incumbent Battleground Seats - General Open House Battleground Seats - General HD 67: C. Latvala HD 111: Avila Could Be House Battleground Seats - General HD 103: M. Diaz, Jr. HD 105: TrijulloHD 114: Fresen
“Take part in politics Or Get taken apart by it.” Former U. S. Senator Alan Simpson Wyoming Words of Wisdom