2013 Texas SDC/BIDC Conference for Data Users May 22, 2013 Austin, Texas Texas Population, Characteristics, Trends, and Projections

Percent Change Due to Y ear* Population Numerical Change Percent Change Natural Increase Net Migration 19507,711, ,579,6771,868, ,196,7301,617, ,229,1913,032, ,986,5102,757, ,851,8203,865, ,145,5614,293, ,059, , * All values for the decennial dates are for April 1 st of the indicated census year. Values for 2011 are for July 1 as estimated by the U.S. Census Bureau. Source: Derived from U.S. Census Bureau Estimates for dates indicated by the Texas State Data Center, University of Texas at San Antonio. Note: Residual values are not presented in this table. Total Population and Components of Population Change in Texas,

Total Estimated Population by County, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2012 Population Estimates Along and east of I-35: 40% of land 85% of population 92% of population growth ( )

Change of the Total Population by County, 2000 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2000 and 2010 Census Counts 79 counties lost population over the decade

Change of the Total Population by County, 2010 to Source: U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates, 2012 Vintage. 96 counties lost population over the two year period Of counties that lost population 90% had net out migration 47% had natural decline

The 10 Fastest Growing Metro Areas Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Percent Increase 1.Midland, Texas4.6 2.Clarksville, Tenn.-Ky Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, Fla The Villages, Fla Odessa, Texas3.4 6.Jacksonville, N.C Austin-Round Rock, Texas3.0 8.Casper, Wyo Columbus, Ga.-Ala Manhattan, Kan.2.8 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2012

The 10 Counties with the Largest Numeric Increase from July 1, 2011, to July 1, Numeric Increase 1.Harris, Texas80,005 2.Los Angeles, Calif.73,764 3.Maricopa, Ariz.73,644 4.Dallas, Texas45,827 5.San Diego, Calif.38,880 6.King, Wash.35,838 7.Travis, Texas34,381 8.Orange, Calif.34,017 9.Tarrant, Texas32, Clark, Nev.32,833 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2013

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Texas White (non-Hispanic) and Hispanic Populations by Age, Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

13 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

14 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

15 Texas Population Pyramid by Race/Ethnicity, 2010 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 2010 Decennial Census, SF1

16 Projected Population Growth in Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

17 Projected Population Growth in Williamson County, Texas Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

18 Projected Population Growth in Harris County, Texas Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

19 Projected Population Growth in Donley County, Texas Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections

Projected Racial and Ethnic Population ( Scenario), Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Projected Racial and Ethnic Population (.5 Scenario), Texas, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Projected Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

Projected Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections Migration Scenario

Texas Population Pyramid, Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Texas Population Pyramid (.5 Migration Scenario), Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Texas Population Pyramid ( Migration Scenario), Source: Texas State Data Center 2012 Population Projections, Migration Scenario

Counties and places averages of estimates – ratio-correlation (births, deaths, elementary school enrollment, vehicle and voter registration) – component-method II (births, deaths and elementary school enrollment) – housing-unit method 27

Percent Population Change, Texas Counties, Source: Texas State Data Center 2013 Population Estimates

Discussion Race/ethnic allocation Age-Race/Ethnic-Sex Addition of Asian category Sub-county projections 29

Contact Office: (512) or (210) Internet: Lloyd Potter, Ph.D. 30