Something that can effectively replace something else. ‘Alternative’ In Quantity And in Quality

Solar Some Options for Alternative Energy Tidal/Wave Wind Nuclear Bio Fuels Hydrogen Fuel Cells Fusion Tar Sands Anything that replaces FOSSIL FUELS Geothermal LIQUID FUELSELECTRICITY Hydro

87% is Fossil Fuels

Concept Reality MoneyEnergy Mind vs Body QuantityQuality EconomicsEnergetics

1 st Law of Economics Growth

Laws of Money

Compound Growth

Exponential Growth

Perpetual Exponential Growth Money Curve NO LIMITS The Money Onion This looks DANGEROUS!

Exponential Growth NO LIMITS Becomes 100 Crores At 7% doubles in 10 years times BUT So does use of RESOURCES 10 lakhs 10 decades…..

Money vs Energy Money Energy 1860 OIL

#1 - World RUNS on oil. TransportIndustryAgricultureElectricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil. TransportIndustryAgricultureElectricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil. TransportIndustryAgricultureElectricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil. TransportIndustryAgricultureElectricity

#1 - World RUNS on oil. TransportIndustryAgricultureElectricity

#2 - World BUILT with oil. BitumenPlasticsFertilizersLubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil. BitumenPlasticsFertilizersLubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil. BitumenPlasticsFertilizersLubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil. BitumenPlasticsFertilizersLubricants

#2 - World BUILT with oil. BitumenPlasticsFertilizersLubricants

Rest goes into making. Ammonia, Anesthetics, Antihistamines, Artificial limbs, Artificial Turf, Antiseptics, Aspirin, Auto Parts, Awnings, Balloons, Ballpoint pens, Bandages, Beach Umbrellas, Boats, Cameras, Candles, Car Battery Cases, Carpets, Caulking, Combs, Cortisones, Cosmetics, Crayons, Credit Cards, Curtains, Deodorants, Detergents, Dice, Disposable Diapers, Dolls, Dyes, Eye Glasses, Electrical Wiring Insulation, Faucet Washers, Fishing Rods, Fishing Line, Fishing Lures, Food Preservatives, Food Packaging, Garden Hose, Glue, Hair Coloring, Hair Curlers, Hand Lotion, Hearing Aids, Heart Valves, Ink, Insect Repellant, Insecticides, Linoleum, Lip Stick, Milk Jugs, Nail Polish, Oil Filters, Panty Hose, Perfume, Petroleum Jelly, Rubber Cement, Rubbing Alcohol, Shampoo, Shaving Cream, Shoes, Toothpaste, Trash Bags, Upholstery, Vitamin Capsules, Water Pipes, Yarn

42 of 6000 items from Oil. Solvents Diesel fuel Motor Oil Bearing Grease Ink Floor Wax Ballpoint Pens Football Cleats Upholstery Sweaters Boats Insecticides Bicycle Tires Sports Car Bodies Nail Polish Fishing lures Dresses Tires Golf Bags Perfumes Cassettes Dishwasher parts Tool Boxes Shoe Polish Motorcycle Helmet Caulking Petroleum Jelly Transparent Tape CD Player Faucet Washers Antiseptics Clothesline Curtains Food Preservatives Basketballs Soap Vitamin Capsules Antihistamines Purses Shoes Dashboards Cortisone Deodorant Footballs Putty Dyes Panty Hose Refrigerant Percolators Life Jackets Rubbing Alcohol Linings Skis TV Cabinets Shag Rugs Electrician's Tape Tool Racks Car Battery Cases Epoxy Paint Mops Slacks Insect Repellent Oil Filters Umbrellas Yarn Fertilizers Hair Coloring Roofing Toilet Seats Fishing Rods Lipstick Denture Adhesive Linoleum Ice Cube Trays Synthetic Rubber Speakers Plastic Wood Electric Blankets Glycerin Tennis Rackets Rubber Cement Fishing Boots Dice Nylon Rope Candles Trash Bags House Paint Water Pipes Hand Lotion Roller Skates Surf Boards Shampoo Wheels Paint Rollers Shower Curtains Guitar Strings Luggage Aspirin Safety Glasses Antifreeze Football Helmets Awnings Eyeglasses Clothes Toothbrushes Ice Chests Footballs Combs CD's & DVD's Paint Brushes Detergents Vaporizers Balloons Sun Glasses Tents Heart Valves Crayons Parachutes Telephones Enamel Pillows Dishes Cameras Anesthetics Artificial Turf Artificial limbs Bandages Dentures Model Cars Folding Doors Hair Curlers Cold cream Movie film Soft Contact lenses Drinking Cups Fan Belts Car Enamel Shaving Cream Ammonia Refrigerators Golf Balls Toothpaste Gasoline

#3 – Non-Renewable Sun Oil

150 years

Laws of Energy Finite ALL RESOURCES Laws of Geology

Hubberts Curve Peak

Hubbert’s Curve Total Region

Real World Concept & Reality RealityConcept Oil Money Exponential Bell

Money vs Oil 01/02/12 Money Oil

Phase 1 Paradise Times

Layers of Concepts The Money Onion

Phase # 2 Body Collapse

Concept # 5 Stock Market

Concept # 6 Fractional Reserve Banking

Concept # 7 No Gold Standard

Concept # 8 Leveraging

Concept # 9 Options

Concept # 10 Derivatives

Concept # 11 Glass Steagel Act

Concept # 12 Complex Financial Instruments

The Money Onion Concept Withers Unbelievable Growth Crazy Risk The Growth Trap

Peak Oil Concept Withers

March, 2008 KABOOM!

Financial Collapse 50 Trillion dollars 2005 Peak Oil

What do Alternative Energies need to achieve? Run the Modern Industrial World the way it runs now! WHILE FIGHTING ENERGY DESCENT!

Why Alternative Energies? To mitigate Climate Change ?

Challenge to Alternatives  Maintain Perpetual Exponential Growth of Modern Industrial World.  Follow Rules of Energetics

RULE #1 Rules of Energetics Net Energy (ERoEI) The Net Energy Gained has to be suitably high for the alternative to be viable.

RULE #2 Oil Replaceability Redesign the Modern Industrial World to run on Electricity. Entails a huge embedded energy cost. Rules of Energetics

RULE #3 Oil Dependency The alternative must not be too dependent on oil and its price. Rules of Energetics

RULE #4 Energy Density The energy density must compare with oil. Rules of Energetics

RULE #5 Energy Density The energy density must compare with oil. Rules of Energetics

RULE #6 Scalability The alternative has to be scalable to replace oil. Rules of Energetics

RULE #7 Oil Byproducts The alternative must give the byproducts of oil that are crucial to building, running & maintaining the Modern Industrial World Rules of Energetics

All Alternative Energies are…. ENERGY CONVERTERS The Energetics Truth

Alternative Energies are useful ONLY if we…. Accept Energy Descent The Economic/Industrial Truth Do honest Energy Accounting

It is not merely Alternative Energies that we are seeking… It is and Alternative World The Whole Truth