October 22 th 2012
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Agenda Today in the Market Picking a Stock Berkshire Hathaway Our personal Investment Strategies
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Today in the Market
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Today in the Market Google…having a bad week… Did not reach earnings px?bctid= &odyssey=mod|newswell |text|FRONTPAGE|featured
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Find a stock that has potential growth before others find it! Find an undervalued stock – Fundamental Analysis Stock whose price currently reflects a trend reversal – Technical Analysis Nearly 3,000 companies on NYSE alone Not counting NASDAQ/AMEX/OTC/Pinks/etc.. How do we navigate this mess?
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Pick a market that makes sense to you. Many play the market on gut I’m not comfortable buying shares of a nuclear fusion business. Focus on sectors that you know and understand! Cars, technology, clothes, insurance
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock For now we focus on fundamentals Financial Ratios Profitability, Leverage, Solvency, Liquidity, Efficiency Comparison to other companies in the same industry Valuation modeling Is the company’s equity more than its market cap? Basically, you are looking for stocks with real intrinsic value We will delve into ratio analysis very soon
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Intrinsic Value: The actual value of a company or an asset based on an underlying perception of its true value including all aspects of the business, in terms of both tangible and intangible factors insic-value/#axzz2A3z0FYcc
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Avoid Liabilities By this we mean serious ones… not (necessarily) just accounts payable Stay away from stocks that are in the news because of large and looming lawsuits. Legal problems can drag on for years, so your best bet is to steer clear of companies that have these headaches.
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock At the very least, make sure the majority of analysts are predicting stable or growth in earnings per share. ***Do not trust what a single analyst believes, but rather the majority. Still need to be defensive and take opinions with a grain of salt. The majority can still be wrong – i.e. housing bubble/bank fallout Companies need to be profitable to stick around.
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Find a stock that is NOT popular You want to pick a stock that is not popular today, yet could be popular tomorrow. Stock that is being ignored by the market presently but has the future potential to pull out and up.
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock Suggested websites to browse: We have talked about these before data.html data.html
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Picking a Stock The only surefire way to find a stock is to SEARCH The process WILL take some time! The more practice, the faster you will become You tend to know what you want
Berkshire Hathaway
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Warren Buffet Arguably the most famous Value Investor Age 82 Influenced by Benjamin Graham Looks at the Underlying investment
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Berkshire Hathaway Holding Company: a company or firm that owns other companies' outstanding stock Business Groups Insurance Geico – 1995 General Re – Reinsurrance Manufacturing, Retail, Etc. Fruit of the Loom – 2002 Benjamin Moore – 2000 The Pampered Chef – 2002 McLane – 2003
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Major Investments Wesco Financial (100%) ComdisCo Holding Co (38.2%) Washington Post Co (20.46%) USG (16.6%) American Express (12.59%) Moody’s (12.13%) Coca-Cola (8.6%) Wells Fargo (6.41%)
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Stock Structure Two Share Classes A Shares (BRK-A) $132, Full Voting Rights Convertible to 1500 B Shares B Shares (BRK-B) $88.51 1/10,000 th of Voting Rights of the A Share Rather than 1/1,500 th of the vote Not Convertible
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Performance Overall Gain Berkshire: 362,319% S & P 500: 4,276% Compounded Annual Gain Berkshire: 20.3% S & P 500: 8.9% 2008 Berkshire: -9.6% S & P 500: -37%
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Buffet Quotes “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” “Most people get interested in stocks when everyone else is. The time to get interested is when no one else is. You can't buy what is popular and do well.” “Never count on making a good sale. Have the purchase price be so attractive that even a mediocre sale gives good results.” “If you're an investor, you're looking on what the asset is going to do, if you're a speculator, you're commonly focusing on what the price of the object is going to do, and that's not our game.”
Our Strategies
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Membership Cost is only $20 for the whole year! Benefits: Member of a very beneficial and informative club that will inevitably be valuable in your future A network of friends who share a similar interest in investing and personal finance A virtual portfolio challenge that will strengthen your confidence in investing
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Membership Make sure to check out our website for the presentations Monday night | ccig.osu.edu Get on our Facebook page and like us!
Common Cents Investment Group October, 2012 Questions? Questions, comments or concerns?