The Long Term Labor Market and Fiscal Consequences of Dropping Out of High School in Pennsylvania Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies Northeastern.

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Presentation transcript:

The Long Term Labor Market and Fiscal Consequences of Dropping Out of High School in Pennsylvania Paul E. Harrington Center for Labor Market Studies Northeastern University Boston, Massachusetts November 2008

Expected Lifetime Earnings of the 18 to 64 Year Old Civilian, Non Institutional Population of Pennsylvania and the U.S., By Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 Cross Section. (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Expected Mean Annual Incidence of Work over the Year of the 18 to 64 Year Old Civilian, Non Institutional Population of Pennsylvania and the U.S., By Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 Cross Section (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Expected Mean Annual Hours of Work of the 18 to 64 Year Old Civilian, Non Institutional Population of Pennsylvania and the U.S., 2006, By Level of Educational Attainment Cross Section. (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Expected Mean Annual Hourly Pay of the 18 to 64 Year Old Civilian, Non Institutional Population of Pennsylvania and the U.S., By Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 Cross Section. (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Trends in the Expected Lifetime Earnings of the 18 to 64 Year Old Population of Pennsylvania, by Level of Educational Attainment, 2006 Cross Section. (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Trends in the Relative Size of the Expected Lifetime Earnings of High School Dropouts Compared to the Expected Lifetime Earnings of All Persons Aged 18 to 64 in Pennsylvania, 1979 to 2006 (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Fiscal Contributions by Educational Attainment

The Mean Net Annual Fiscal Contributions of Year Old Adults in Pennsylvania and the U.S. by Educational Attainment, Annual Averages, (Dollars) Educational Attainment Mean Annual Total Tax Payments Mean Annual Total Transfers and Institutionalization Costs Annual Net Fiscal Contributions (total tax payments minus total transfers and institutionalization costs) Pennsylvania <12 or 12, No HS Diploma$7,106$7,789$-683 HS Graduate or GED10,0974,0306, Years of College12,3582,8739,485 Bachelor's Degree18,1241,16216,962 Master's or Higher29,5191,33628,183 All education levels13,7133,31710,396 U.S. <12 or 12, No HS Diploma$5,721$6,382$-661 HS Graduate or GED9,5133,8245, Years of College12,6702,7049,966 Bachelor's Degree19,7971,36518,431 Master's or Higher28,7501,26627,484 All education levels13,6003,15210,448

The Lifetime Net Fiscal Contributions of Adults (18-64) in Pennsylvania and the U.S. by Educational Attainment, Averages (in Thousands of Dollars)

The Ratios of Mean Annual Tax Payments to the Combined Value of Cash and In-Kind Transfers and Institutionalization Costs (Net Fiscal Contribution Ratios) of Year Old Residents of Pennsylvania and the U.S. by Educational Attainment

Trends in the Expected Mean Lifetime Earnings of All 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Labor Force Participation Rate of the Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Labor Force Participation Rate of the Female Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Labor Force Participation Rate of the Male Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Employment to Population Ratio of the Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Employment to Population Ratio of the Female Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Employment to Population Ratio of the Male Non Enrolled Population Aged 16 to 24 in Pennsylvania, 2006

Unemployment Among the 16 to 24 Year Old Pennsylvania Non Enrolled Population, 2006

Labor Market Underutilization of the Non Enrolled Year Old Pennsylvania Population, 2006

Trends in the Expected Mean Work Rate of All Persons 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in Expected Mean Work Rate of Females Aged 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment Pennsylvania

Trends in Expected Mean Work Rate of Males Aged 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment Pennsylvania

Trends in the Expected Mean Annual Hours of Work of All Persons 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in the Expected Mean Annual Hours of Work of Females 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in the Expected Mean Annual Hours of Work of Males 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in the Expected Mean Lifetime Earnings of Females 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in the Expected Mean Lifetime Earnings of Males 18 to 64, by Educational Attainment, Pennsylvania

Trends in the Relative Size of the Advantage in Expected Lifetime Earnings of High School Graduates (only) Compared to High School Dropouts in Pennsylvania, 1979 to 2006 (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Trends in the Relative Size of the Advantage in Expected Life Time Earnings of Bachelor’s Degree Recipients (only) Compared to High School Graduates (only) in Pennsylvania, 1979 to 2006 (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Trends in the Relative Size of the Advantage in Expected Life Time Earnings of Graduate and Professional Degree Recipients Compared to Bachelor’s Degree Recipients (only) in Pennsylvania, 1979 to 2006 (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)

Trends in the Ratio of Mean Expected Lifetime Earnings of the 18 to 64 Year Old Civilian Dropout Population in Pennsylvania Relative to Those with Higher Levels of Educational Attainment. (Excluding 18 to 22 Year Old Students)