Presented to Maine Department of Transportation August John Dorrer, Director Labor Market Information Services Maine Department of Labor Maine Workforce Challenges: Demographic Trends and Finding Skilled Workers

Maine Economy Demographics Foreign Competition Technology Values

Workforce Dynamics Stocks and Flows New Grads Maine’s Workforce Foreign Immigrants Domestic In-migrants Disabled Populations Dropouts Emerging WorkersEstablished WorkersSenior Workers Low Wage Workers Senior Workers

If you want one year of prosperity, grow grain. If you want ten years of prosperity, grow trees. If you want a 100 years of prosperity, grow people Old Chinese Proverb

Maine Workforce Demographics

Projected change in population by age group in Maine between 2000 and 2010

Average annual civilian labor force growth in Maine by decade with 2000 to 2010 forecast

Maine’s Senior Workforce: The Numbers (000) Age Cohort M F T M F T M F T M F T

Maine Resident Pupil Counts Population, labor force, and employed in Maine

Age Female0.7 %1.4 %2.8 %12.2 %15.1 %13.4 %6.3 %1.2 % Male0.4 %0.9 %1.9 %10.5 %12.4 %11.5 %7.1 %1.4 % Professional, Scientific and Technical Services

Age Female0.2 %0.6 %0.8 %4.0 %7.4 %7.8 %3.9 %0.6 % Male0.4 %1.7 %2.7 %12.4 %21.8 %22.8 %10.8 %1.2 % Manufacturing

Age Female0.1 %*0.1 %0.5 %2.5 %4.1 %3.0 %1.7 %0.3 % Male0.3 %2.4 %4.6 %18.3 %24.2 %23.0 %12.3 %1.8 % *=Value significantly distorted to protect confidentiality Construction Industry

Emerging Labor Force: Maine vs. U.S. Population Change % Persons under 5 years old % Persons 65+ years % White % Black or African-American % Asian % Latino or Hispanic Origin % Foreign Born % persons with Disability who are employed (2002) MaineU.S

Emerging Labor Force: Risk Factors 2004 % Teens (16-19) High School Dropouts % Teens (16-19) not in school and not working % Children Living in Families where no parent has full time year round employment % Children in Poverty % Young Adults (18-24) Disconnected* 2002 * Persons not in school, are not working and have no degree beyond HS Maine U.S Source: Maine Kids Count 2004

Table 1: In-Migration and Out-Migration in Northern Maine and Southern Maine from , Total and Among Years Old Age GroupIn-Migration Out- MigrationBalance All 5+ Maine110,732107,440+3,292 Northern Maine24,57183,707-59,136 Southern Maine86,16123,733+62, Years Old Maine16,81425,733-8,919 Northern Maine3,89519,881-15,986 Southern Maine12,9195,852+7,067 Source: Public Use Micro Files (PUMS), 5%, Census 2000, U.S. Census Bureau, tabulations by Center for Labor Market Studies.

Maine Workforce Skills Requirements

Gross Product per Maine Manufacturing Job (Adjusted for Inflation) 1980 = $30, = $60,000

MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten Fastest Projected Rate of Job Growth +Medical Assistants +Social and Human Services Assistant +Self-Enrichment Education Teachers +Physician Assistants +Medical Records and Health Information Techs. +Personal and Home Care Aides +Personal Financial Advisors +Physical Therapy Assistants +Massage Therapists +Veterinary Technologists and Techs.

MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten Jobs with the Most Openings +Cashiers +Retail Sales Persons +Food Prep and Service Workers +Waitpersons +Registered Nurse +General and Operations Managers +Home Care Aids +Food Preparation Workers +Janitors and Cleaners +First Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers

MaineOccupations Forecast Top Ten Occupations with the largest Employment Requiring a Bachelors Degree General Managers Secondary Teachers Elementary Teachers Middle School Teachers Accountants and Auditors Lawyers Financial Managers Social Workers Insurance Agents

Employment Outlook U.S. Highway Street and Bridge Construction Pct Change 344, ,

Maine Employment Trends Heavy and Civil Engineering Construction Pct Change 3,300 3,

Occupational Employment Outlook Construction-Related in Maine Occupation Pct Change Annual Openings Highway Maintenance Workers Operating Engineers First Line Supervisors (Constr)ConstructionLaborers

Occupational Employment Outlook Professionals and High Skilled Occupation Pct Change AnnualOpenings Civil Engineers Surveying and Mapping Tech Civil Eng. Tech Carpenters and Electricians 13,78014,