Governor’s Workforce Development Council Quarterly Meeting November 13, 2014 Cameron Macht Regional Analysis & Outreach Manager Minnesota Dept. of Employment.

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Presentation transcript:

Governor’s Workforce Development Council Quarterly Meeting November 13, 2014 Cameron Macht Regional Analysis & Outreach Manager Minnesota Dept. of Employment & Economic Development Labor Market Information Office

Labor Market Information Office DEED’s LMI Office supports state workforce and economic development systems by producing and disseminating data, key indicators, analysis, and trends on the economy, workforce, job market, and business community LMI Office’s high quality information advises policy makers on current and future economic trends, helps employers make informed business decisions, and assists individuals in making strong career choices – DEED’s Regional Analysts are the state's experts on the latest labor market intelligence, economic conditions, and workforce trends Never underestimate our ability: – To make what you thought was going to be an easy question into a difficult answer… – To provide data that will help you make decisions!

Labor Market Information Office Industry Employment Statistics & Trends Regional Wage & Salary Information Unemployment Rates Unemployment Insurance Claims Hiring Difficulties in Minnesota Skills Gap Surveys Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) DEED’s Regional Data Tool Job Skills Transfer Assessment Tool (JobSTAT) Economic Trends & Employment Review Occupations in Demand (OID) Employment Outlook Projections Graduate Employment Outcomes Career Exploration Information Job Vacancy Survey data Affirmative Action Statistics Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data U.S. Census data

Minnesota is a big, beautiful state – Approximately 5.4 million people – Almost 80,000 square miles – 87 counties Ranging from 3,460 to 1.2 million people – Over 800 cities and 1,000 townships How many EDRs? – 13 How many WSAs? – 16 How many Perkins Consortia? – 26 How many MnSCU campuses? – 30 colleges – 7 universities – 54 campuses – 47 communities

Understanding Regions How many EDRs and WSAs share the same boundaries? – 2 = EDR 1 & WSA 1; EDR 9 & WSA 7 How many WSAs are in EDR 11? – 6 = WSA 9, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16 What is the smallest WSA? – WSA 10 = 54 sq. mi. – WSA 18 = 51,232 people

Understanding Regions 16 Workforce Service Areas 13 Economic Development Regions – Only 2 WSAs & EDRs share the same boundaries! WSA 1 = EDR 1 (7 counties) WSA 7 = EDR 9 (9 counties) – 2 WSAs have three EDRs WSA 2 = EDR 2 (5), EDR 4 (9), EDR 5 (5) (19 counties) WSA 5 = EDR 6E (4), EDR 7E (5), part of 7W (2) (11 counties) – EDR 3 = WSA 3, WSA 4 (7 counties) – WSA 17 = part of EDR 7W (2 counties) – WSA 6 = EDR 6W (5), EDR 8 (9) (14 counties) – EDR 10 = WSA 8 (10), WSA 18 (1) (11 counties) – EDR 11 = WSA 9, 10, 12, 14, 15, 16 (7 counties)

Understanding Regions What is the largest Economic Development Region? – By square miles, it’s EDR 3 - Arrowhead = 18,263 sq. miles By that measure, EDR 11 is the smallest region! – By population, it’s EDR 11 - Twin Cities = 2,952,932 people 54.5% of state’s population 62% of the state’s population gain from 2000 to 2013 – EDR 10 has 500,137 people Gained 40,035 people – EDR 7W has 409,934 people Added 88,139 people (+27.4%) – Combined, those 3 EDRs have 71.3% of state’s pop. and 87.7% of pop. gain In contrast, EDR 1, 6W, and 8 had 4.6% of total pop. and lost -4.8% from 2000 to 2013 EDR # of Cos Pop Pop. Percent of State Change EDR 1788,47285,8231.6%-2, % EDR 2576,16184,6271.6%+8, % EDR 37322,073326,4896.0%+4, % EDR 49210,059224,6764.1%+14, % EDR 55152,100162,8213.0%+10, % EDR 6E4115,899116,6132.2% % EDR 6W550,01143,9310.8%-6, % EDR 7E5136,244162,8983.0%+26, % EDR 7W4321,795409,9347.6%+88, % EDR 89121,717117,8772.2%-3, % EDR 99222,790231,6224.3%+8, % EDR ,102500,1379.2%+40, % EDR 1172,642,0562,952, %+310, % Minnesota874,919,4795,420, %+500, %

Understanding Regions What is the largest Workforce Service Area? – By square miles, it’s WSA 2 = 19,989 sq. miles By that measure, WSA 10 is the smallest WSA (54 sq. miles)! – 2 huge regions = WSA 2 & 3 – 5 large WSAs WSA 1 = 8,439 sq. mi. WSA 5 = 7,330 sq. mi. WSA 6 = 9,186 sq. mi. WSA 7 = 5,127 sq. mi. WSA 8 = 6,129 sq. mi. – 9 smaller WSAs WSA 17 = 1,751 sq. mi. WSA 9 = 854 sq. mi. By population, it’s… – WSA 9 = 894,270 people WSA # of Cos Pop Pop. Percent of State Change WSA 1788,47285,8231.6%-2, % WSA ,320472,1248.7%+33, % WSA 37235,155240,3614.4%+5, % WSA 4 86,91886,1281.6% % WSA ,546498,1399.2%+91, % WSA ,728161,8083.0%-9, % WSA 79222,790231,6224.3%+8, % WSA ,117448,9058.3%+38, % WSA 92803,787894, %+90, % WSA ,618400,0707.4%+17, % WSA ,084339,5346.3%+41, % WSA ,402545, %+100, % WSA ,035526,7149.7%+15, % WSA ,130246,6034.5%+45, % WSA ,392191,3063.5%+23, % WSA 18149,98551,2320.9%+1, % Minnesota874,919,4795,420, %+500, %

Understanding Regions WSA population is more evenly dispersed

Understanding Regions EDR square miles are more evenly dispersed

Understanding Regions For the most part, commuting patterns are similar in the Economic Development Regions – Most regions have between 70% and 85% of workers both employed and living in the EDRs – The largest percentage of commuters were in EDR 7E But lots of commuting in EDR 7W, 6W, 6E, 4, 2, and 5 – The largest employment centers are the Twin Cities, other metropolitan areas

Region 1 – Northwest Net outflow of -4,827 workers – Primarily to Grand Forks and Fargo – Pennington is a net importer – Roseau is a net importer

Understanding Regions Minnesota has 2,989,818 workers in Sept Which region has the most available workers? – EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 1,640,788 workers (54.9%) – EDR 10 – Southeast = 274,392 workers (9.2%) – EDR 7W = 228,271 Local Unemployment Statistics for September 2014 EDR NameLabor Force Percent of Workers Unemployed Workers Percent of Unemp. Unemp. Rate EDR 1 - Northwest50,8981.7%1,6261.5%3.2% EDR 2 - Headwaters40,6881.4%1,9711.8%4.8% EDR 3 - Arrowhead167,2375.6%7,5076.9%4.5% EDR 4 - West Central128,1404.3%3,7423.5%2.9% EDR 5 - North Central83,3392.8%3,5713.3%4.3% EDR 6E- Southwest Central67,0562.2%2,2682.1%3.4% EDR 6W- Upper MN Valley24,3340.8%7620.7%3.1% EDR 7E- East Central82,9992.8%3,6263.3%4.4% EDR 7W- Central228,2717.6%8,0247.4%3.5% EDR 8 - Southwest69,1012.3%2,0291.9%2.9% EDR 9 - South Central132,5754.4%4,4414.1%3.3% EDR 10 - Southeast274,3929.2%9,0458.4%3.3% EDR 11 - Twin Cities1,640, %59, %3.6% Minnesota2,989, %108, %3.6% Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

Understanding Regions Minnesota has 2,989,818 workers in Sept Which WSA has the most available workers? – Hennepin/ Carver = 504,953 Smallest is Winona Co. – 29,123 Local Unemployment Statistics for September 2014 WSA NameLabor Force Percent of Workers Unemployed Workers Percent of Unemp. Unemp. Rate WSA 1 - Northwest50, %1,6261.5%3.2% WSA 2 - Rural MN CEP252, %9,2848.6%3.7% WSA 3 - Northeast121, %5,5535.1%4.6% WSA 4 - City of Duluth45, %1,9541.8%4.3% WSA 5 - Central269, %10,0889.3%3.7% WSA 6 - Southwest93, %2,7912.6%3.0% WSA 7 - South Central132, %4,4414.1%3.3% WSA 8 - Southeast245, %8,0737.5%3.3% WSA 9 - Hennepin/Carver504, %17, %3.5% WSA 10 - City of Minneapolis219, %8,5337.9%3.9% WSA 12 - Anoka County191, %7,0516.5%3.7% WSA 14 - Dakota/Scott310, %10,6859.9%3.4% WSA 15 - Ramsey County277, %10, %3.9% WSA 16 - Washington Co.135, %4,7094.3%3.5% WSA 17 - Stearns/Benton109, %3,8303.5% WSA 18 - Winona County29, %9720.9%3.3% Minnesota2,989, %108, %3.6% Source: DEED Local Area Unemployment Statistics (LAUS)

Understanding Regions What was the fastest growing EDR labor force? – EDR 7W grew 10.7% from – EDR 4 grew 7.8% – But EDR 11 – Twin Cities accounted for 35,011 of the 81,850 new workers What was the fastest growing WSA? – WSA 16 – Washington Co. = 8.6% – WSA 5 – Central Minnesota = 7.8% – WSA 14 – Dakota/Scott = 6.6% – WSA 17 – Stearns/Benton = 5.8% In contrast, 2 WSAs lost workers: – WSA 10 – Minneapolis = -1.1% – WSA 15 – Ramsey Co. = -2.1%

Understanding Regions Minnesota has 164,460 firms providing 2,691,838 jobs Which region has the most jobs? – EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 1,618,931 jobs (61.3%) – EDR 10 – Southeast = 234,937 jobs (8.9%) – EDR 7W = 160,622 jobs Area Name Number of Firms Number of Jobs Percent of JobsTotal Wages Avg. Annual Wage EDR 1 - Northwest2,71837,3171.4%$1,421,157,114$38,064 EDR 2 - Headwaters2,33630,1141.1%$1,016,215,081$33,696 EDR 3 - Arrowhead8,860140,3275.3%$5,546,455,874$39,520 EDR 4 - West Central6,95286,2733.3%$3,016,642,482$34,944 EDR 5 - North Central4,86759,9152.3%$1,932,691,683$32,240 EDR 6E- Southwest Central3,52751,7522.0%$1,852,851,081$35,776 EDR 6W- Upper MN Valley1,56417,5070.7%$579,190,603$33,072 EDR 7E- East Central3,53546,2301.8%$1,530,478,992$33,072 EDR 7W- Central10,107160,6226.1%$6,195,912,661$38,532 EDR 8 - Southwest3,98854,2992.1%$1,868,030,238$34,372 EDR 9 - South Central6,554102,3823.9%$3,794,019,173$37,024 EDR 10 - Southeast12,184234,9378.9%$10,308,002,215$43,836 EDR 11 - Twin Cities78,7681,618, %$91,566,938,792$56,576 Minnesota164,4602,691,838 $134,897,990,609$50,128

Understanding Industries The largest industry in Minnesota is: – Health Care & Social Assistance, with 446,744 jobs at 14,063 firms – Manufacturing, with 307,237 jobs – Retail Trade, with 286,850 jobs – Educational Services, with 218,558 jobs – Accom. & Food Services, with 216,895 jobs Over 50% of the state’s jobs are in these five industries! Minnesota Industry Employment Statistics, 2013 NAICS Industry Title Number of Estabs. Number of Jobs Percent of Jobs Total Industry Payroll Avg. Annual Wages Total, All Industries164,4602,691, %$134,897,990,609$50,128 Health Care & Social Assistance14,063446, %$20,351,228,109$45,500 Manufacturing8,048307, %$18,297,446,286$59,540 Retail Trade19,028286, %$7,437,163,836$25,896 Educational Services4,031218,5588.1%$9,760,366,391$44,564 Accommodation & Food Services11,415216,8958.1%$3,476,753,428$16,016 Finance & Insurance9,263139,9045.2%$12,448,381,891$89,024 Professional & Technical Services19,440136,6225.1%$11,077,299,629$81,016 Admin. Support & Waste Mgmt.7,920134,6915.0%$4,349,392,244$32,240 Wholesale Trade13,438130,4584.8%$9,921,514,312$76,076 Public Administration3,810123,8524.6%$6,187,593,860$49,972 Construction16,123107,3694.0%$6,145,099,984$57,096 Transportation & Warehousing5,48193,3613.5%$4,470,761,512$47,892 Other Services15,25185,3453.2%$2,467,616,492$28,860 Management of Companies1,32576,9482.9%$8,684,622,519$112,892 Information3,41457,0172.1%$3,715,380,511$65,156 Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation2,99349,0081.8%$1,447,792,453$29,640 Real Estate, Rental & Leasing6,22339,7561.5%$2,126,186,840$53,560 Agriculture, Forestry2,52420,5910.8%$661,405,870$32,084 Utilities45914,4030.5%$1,347,469,536$93,600 Mining2136,2230.2%$524,514,906$84,344

Understanding Industries Minnesota has high location quotients in: NAICS Industry Title NAICS Code Number of Estabs. Number of Jobs Location Quotient Total Industry Payroll Avg. Annual Wages Printing & Related Support Activities ,6002.2$1,194,590,844$50,596 Animal Production & Aquaculture ,3881.8$330,242,243$31,772 Computer & Electronic Product Mfg ,8261.8$4,029,435,352$89,856 Miscellaneous Manufacturing ,3941.6$1,466,375,426$65,468 Management of Companies551,32576,9481.5$8,684,622,519$112,892 Nursing & Residential Care Facilities6232,797109,2681.4$2,605,295,968$23,816 Electric Power Gen., Transm., & Dist ,1011.3$1,179,946,862$97,552 Food Manufacturing ,3981.3$1,977,503,115$43,576 ISPs, Web Search, & Data Processing Svcs ,1111.3$639,441,778$78,832 Insurance Carriers & Related Activities5244,31064,4951.3$5,767,386,336$89,440 Wood Product Manufacturing ,4461.2$485,912,088$46,488 Air Transportation ,2421.2$900,147,507$68,016 Publishing Industries (except Internet) ,3031.2$1,529,206,579$71,812 Fabricated Metal Product Manufacturing3321,60141,4831.2$2,240,874,389$53,976 Machinery Manufacturing ,1891.2$2,005,435,761$62,296 Mining (except Oil and Gas) ,9921.2$499,499,603$83,408 Paper Manufacturing ,8551.1$644,071,735$65,312 Wholesale Electronic Markets & Agents4254,83423,1431.1$2,274,347,133$98,280 Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) program

Understanding Industries Printing is most strongly concentrated in: – EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 14,465 jobs – EDR 9 – South Central = 3,759 jobs – EDR 7W – Central = 1,674 jobs – EDR 10 – Southeast = 1,419 jobs Animal Production is most strongly concentrated in: – EDR 9 – South Central = 2,321 jobs – EDR 10 – Southeast = 2,073 jobs – EDR 6E – Southwest Central = 1,593 jobs – EDR 4 – West Central = 1,139 jobs – EDR 8 – Southwest = 1,066 jobs Computer & Electronic Product Mfg. is concentrated in: – EDR 11 – Twin Cities = 34,697 jobs – EDR 10 – Southeast = 5,288 jobs – EDR 9 – South Central = 1,354 jobs – EDR 6E – Southwest Central = 1,164 jobs

Region 1 - Northwest NAICS Industry Title NAICS Code Number of Firms Number of Jobs Loc. Quo. Total Industry Payroll Avg. Annual Wages Total, All Industries02,71837,3171.0$1,421,157,114$38,064 Transportation Equipment Manufacturing336143, $191,011,228$58,240 Crop Production $26,404,963$33,904 Merchant Wholesalers, Durable Goods423533,3523.8$169,462,058$50,544 Gasoline Stations $11,546,810$16,276 Junior Colleges $14,706,919$52,416 Food Manufacturing311201,0801.7$50,477,055$46,956 Amusement, Gambling, & Recreation Industries $16,284,093$19,344 Merchant Wholesalers, Nondurable Goods $42,469,552$44,148 Religious, Grantmaking, Civic, & Professional Orgs $8,464,361$12,844 Truck Transportation $18,492,169$38,116 Food & Beverage Stores $16,156,638$16,224 Heavy & Civil Engineering Construction $23,740,099$57,044 Nursing & Residential Care Facilities623542,0101.3$42,668,936$21,216 Public Administration921772,1781.3$88,337,860$40,560 Machinery Manufacturing $25,093,808$45,812 Telecommunications $12,989,534$59,644 Hospitals62271,8891.1$74,678,487$39,520 Educational Services61743,3471.1$128,590,675$38,532 Motor Vehicle & Parts Dealers $18,607,727$39,416 Source: DEED Quarterly Census of Employment & Wages (QCEW) program

Labor Market Information Office Industry Employment Statistics & Trends Regional Wage & Salary Information Unemployment Rates Unemployment Insurance Claims Hiring Difficulties in Minnesota Skills Gap Surveys Quarterly Workforce Indicators (QWI) DEED’s Regional Data Tool Job Skills Transfer Assessment Tool (JobSTAT) Economic Trends & Employment Review Occupations in Demand (OID) Employment Outlook Projections Graduate Employment Outcomes Career Exploration Information Job Vacancy Survey data Affirmative Action Statistics Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data U.S. Census data