Made possible by our generous sponsors Fed Policies and Their Impact Community Bank Day Princeton, NJ Jim Reber ICBA Securities.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Federal Reserve and Macroeconomic Policy
Advertisements

Acting to Avoid a Great Stagnation Eric S. Rosengren President & CEO Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Open Classroom Series Northeastern University Boston,
Economic Conditions in New Hampshire and New England Yolanda Kodrzycki Vice President and Director, NEPPC Federal Reserve Bank of Boston Joint Economic.
The Federal Reserve Decision We will pause to consider the Fed’s announcements last week. It is an important new development We will return to Fed policies.
Chapter 4: Functions of the Fed.
Notebook # 24- Economics 15-2 Monetary Policy. Monetary Policy ESSENTIAL QUESTIONS: What is the purpose of the Federal Reserve System? What are the structures.
Principles of Macroeconomics ECON 401 Dr. Andrew L. H. Parkes “A Macroeconomic Understanding for use in Business” 卜安吉.
Chapter 18. Monetary Policy The market for reserves Open market operations Discount lending Reserve requirements Goals of monetary policy Using targets.
Chapter 16. Structure of Central Banks & the Federal Reserve System Origins Structure Comparison to ECB Origins Structure Comparison to ECB.
Susan Kizer Economic Education Coordinator The opinions expressed are solely those of the presenters and do not reflect the opinions of the Federal Reserve.
The Benefits of a Fixed Index Annuity.  The Benefits of a Fixed Index Annuity  What others think about Fixed Index Annuities  How they work  Companies.
The search for income in a low interest rate world J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series Accessible investment education from a trusted source FOR INSTITUTIONAL.
©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 4-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter Four The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates.
Tracking the Recovery November 21, Q3 3.5% Real Gross Domestic Product Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis via Haver Analytics & Federal Reserve.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION A guide to economic indicators and their impact on investing J.P. Morgan Investment Academy Series.
The Post-FOMC Post Mortem: QE not so Mortem 2013 Gulf Power Economic Symposium Sandestin, FL September 30, 2013.
Rating the Rates: The Fed’s Role in the Larger Economy By Tanya Hanson and Tom Glaser Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta – Lesson Plan Contest of the Year.
A Case for Waiting Out the Storm INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT FDIC INSURED  NO BANK GUARANTEE  MAY LOSE VALUE Date Name.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
GSEs: Past, Present, and Future Focusing on the Farm Credit System March 26, 2009 Presented by: Mark Evans, CFA Executive Vice President Director of Investment.
April 2015 LIIEA Conference May 21, p Where Are The World Economies? Although unemployment has improved across the globe since this time last.
Central Banks, the Fed, and Monetary Policy Professor Wayne Carroll Department of Economics University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire Slides.
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.
National Economic Indicators Ray Owens May 14, 2015.
© 2007 Northern Trust Corporation northerntrust.com N O R T H E R N T R U S T G L O B A L I N V E S T M E N T S  Edward Casey Richard Inzunza, CFA June.
Answers to Review Questions  1.What should the Trading Desk do in the fed funds rate falls below the targeted rate?  If the fed funds rate falls below.
Money and Banking Winter Day 5 Dr. Andrew L. H. Parkes “A Macroeconomic Understanding for use in Business” 卜安吉.
Copyright © 2009 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved. McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter 12 Managing the Economy: Monetary Policy.
Chapter 15 Parks Econ104 The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy.
Chapter 3 The Federal Reserve System (FED).  The Beginning Severe nationwide financial panics led Congress to pass the Federal Reserve Act in 1913, setting.
Principles of Macroeconomics Fall 2010 Day 14 Dr. Andrew L. H. Parkes “A Macroeconomic Understanding for use in Business” 卜安吉.
Copyright National Council on Economic Education. Reproduction for Educational Use is Granted The Federal Reserve Board and Monetary Policy A Case Study.
Overview of the Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy.
1 Chapter 5 The Federal Reserve. 2 The Federal Reserve (the Fed) The U.S. Central Bank I.The Role of the Federal Reserve System A.The purpose is to control.
Prudential Balanced Fund (PRUBF1) November 2011 Fixed information Licensed Date: 5 October 2006 Listing date: 4 December 2006 Base Currency: VND Tenure:
Banks and Banking October 18, 2011 – Mr. Graboski Aim: What is the Federal Reserve System and what are its functions? Do Now: Write down one question you.
The Federal Reserve In Action. What is the Fed?  Central bank of the United States  Established in 1913  Purpose is to ensure a stable economy for.
The Federal Reserve In Action. What is the Fed?  Central bank of the United States  Established in 1913 (Federal Reserve Act of 1913)  Purpose is to.
Federal Reserve Policies Kevin Scofield. Overview  Federal Open Market Committee  Goals of the Federal Monetary Policy  Tools of the Federal Monetary.
In This Lecture…..  The Federal Reserve System  Controlling the Money Supply  Open Market Operations  The Required Reserve Ratio  The Discount Rate.
2016 Economic Outlook Garrett County Chamber of Commerce January 26, 2016 R. Andrew Bauer, Ph.D. Senior Regional Economist Research Department.
Macroeconomics Spring 2014 Dr. Andrew L. H. Parkes “A Macroeconomic Understanding for use in Business” 卜安吉.
Monetary Policy. Purpose The actions that the Federal Reserve System takes to influence the level of real GDP and the rate of inflation in the economy.
SBA 504 Loan Program Long Term Fixed Asset Financing For Small Businesses.
1 Beyond the Low Interest Rate Environment INSURANCE SUMMIT 2016 Presented by: Dan Byrnes, CFA Principal & Senior Portfolio Manager AAM - Insurance Investment.
The Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve Act of 1913  Created 12 regional independent banks.
Chapter 18 Monetary Policy: Stabilizing the Domestic Economy Part 3
The Piggy Bank Our goal is to show a consistent profit and sustainable growth by offering our community quality products and services.
Chapter 28 MONETARY POLICY.
8.4 Federal Reserve System
I. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
Wednesday, Oct. 26 Please get out your notes and something to write with Review Questions – answer these in your notes:
The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy
Loanable Funds Problems
Understand the role of business in the global economy.
Principles of Macroeconomics Winter Day 4
Fed Meeting Jan 24-25, 2012 R. Clarida January 30th 2012.
Stephen Buckles Vanderbilt University
In the Shoes of a Fed Policy-Maker
Policy Tools, Objectives and Targets.
Chapter 18 Monetary Policy: Stabilizing the Domestic Economy Part 4
THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND MONETARY POLICY
Federal Reserve System
BANKING & MONETARY POLICY
The Impact of Government Policy & Regulation on Banking
The Federal Reserve.
Economic Outlook EconoSummit 2019 William Strauss Las Vegas, NV
Chapter 18 Monetary Policy: Stabilizing the Domestic Economy Part 4
B. Craig Elder Director Senior Fixed Income Analyst
Financial Markets Update
Presentation transcript:

Made possible by our generous sponsors Fed Policies and Their Impact Community Bank Day Princeton, NJ Jim Reber ICBA Securities

2  Before:  Chairman Ben BernankeDove  Governor Sarah Bloom RaskinDove  Esther George, Kansas CityHawk  James Bullard, St. LouisModerate  Charles Evans, ChicagoDove  Eric Rosengren, BostonDove

3  After:  Vice-Chair Stanley Fischer*Wild Card  Governor Lael Brainard*Dove (?)  Narayana Kocherlakota, MinneapolisDove  Richard Fisher, DallasHawk  Sandra Pianalto, ClevelandModerate  Charles Plosser, PhiladelphiaHawk * Yet to be confirmed Net Change: Slightly more hawkish

4  More work to be done  Looking for replacement for Gov. Raskin  Looking for replacement for Gov. Stein  Cleveland Pres. Pianalto has announced intention to retire

5 March 19 FOMC Press Release “The Committee currently judges that there is sufficient underlying strength in the broader economy to support ongoing improvement in labor market conditions.” “In determining how long to maintain the current 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess progress -- both realized and expected --toward its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation.” “The Committee currently anticipates that, even after employment and inflation are near mandate-consistent levels, economic conditions may, for some time, warrant keeping the target federal funds rate below levels the Committee views as normal in the longer run.”

6

7

8

9 “This extraordinary commitment is still needed and will be for some time, and I believe that view is widely shared by my fellow policy makers.” “It is clear to me that the U.S. economy is still considerably short of the two goals assigned to the Federal Reserve by the Congress. The first of those goals is maximum sustainable employment... Most of my colleagues on the Federal Open Market Committee and I estimate that the unemployment rate consistent with maximum sustainable employment is now between 5.2 percent and 5.6 percent.” “Earlier this month, the Fed reiterated its overall commitment to maintain extraordinary support for the recovery for some time to come. This commitment is strong, and I believe the Fed's policies will continue to help sustain progress in the job market.”

10

11

12

14

15

17  Dropped Treasury purchases to $25B/month  Dropped MBS purchases to $20B/month  Reaffirmed intent to keep rates accommodative for a “considerable time”

18

19

20

Typical Portfolio

Typical Portfolio

Key Portfolio Metrics  Average Book Price  Tax-Equivalent Yield 2.61% 2.61%  Effective Duration  Effective Duration  Net Unrealized G/(L) 1.89% (0.82%)

24

SBA Lending Opportunities Arne Monson Holtmeyer & Monson 25

Great Time to Be an SBA Lender Make more loans in your local markets Mitigate bank leverage & concentration risk Mitigate collateral risk via SBA guaranty Gain profit potential from non-interest fee income 26

27 Secondary Market Sale Benefits Eliminate prepayment risk Servicing income stream Recycle loanable funds Invisible to borrower 27

28 Holtmeyer & Monson Lender Services Provider since 1982 Consultants to banks and small businesses Over 400 clients ICBA Preferred Service Provider 28

Member Advantages Reasonable and competitive fee structure 10% discount of lender fees H & M contributes royalty fees to ICBA NO NET COST TO BANK 29

30 Intended for institutional investors only. Although the information included in this report has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy. All opinions expressed in this report constitute the judgments as of the dates indicated and are subject to change without notice. This report is for informative purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any product. The accuracy of the financial projections is dependent on the occurrence of future events which cannot be assured; therefore, the actual results achieved during the projection period may vary from the projections. Member FINRA/SIPC. Jim Reber