 1 Knowledge enhancement for modelling in climate change: capacity building in South, West and East Africa.

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Presentation transcript:

 1 Knowledge enhancement for modelling in climate change: capacity building in South, West and East Africa

The need for capacity  Climate change dilemma: how will different regions be affected?  There are many existing and emerging datasets for meaningful insight  Capacity for modeling in the region is very low 2

objectives  Together with AgMIP leadership:  Plan and coordinate AgMIP SSA research kick-off, mid- term and write-up workshops  Facilitate publication of AgMIP SSA research teams’ Integrated regional assessments (crop, climate and economic modelling)  With availability of additional funds, coordinate 2 additional training workshops on integrated regional assessments  Modeling: Assessing the impact of climate change on maize production in small-holder systems in Kenya, Malawi and Ghana 3

Activities  Prepare training curricula and where needed example datasets  Coordinate AgMIP-SSA Training steering group (SSA-TSG) to lead and oversee training activities  Coordination unit + 2 nominees from each team  Training needs are identified through this group  Explore other means of addressing desired training needs not addressed in SSA-Wide meetings  Prepare, in coordination with AgMIP leadership, key materials and information for publication on AgMIP website 4

Modeling  AfSIS sentinel site and MVP sites  Nkhata Bay in Malawi (trials/agronomic survey data)  Sauri in Kenya (trials/agronomic survey data/economic)  Mwadame in Malawi (agronomic survey data/economic)  Ejura in Ghana (trials data)  Long-term daily climate data available for some sites  Agronomic yield survey to be organized  Crop Models: DSSAT and APSIM 5

Communication within and without  Establish a database of crop/climate/ regional economic modelers in SSA with expertise  Maintain a mailing list of modelers (crop, climate, economics)---Internal and external  Results from AgMIP research  Key findings from other climate change-related initiatives  Posts in AgMIP websites 6

Communication within and without… 7  Publications as book chapters and or journal articles in a special issues

Anticipated outcomes  45 scientists trained on and equipped with integrated regional assessments tools  At least 15 draft manuscripts prepared for publication as book chapters  a climate change informed community of scientific experts and modellers established in SSA through a network coordinated by AfNet  at least 3 crop cultivars’ genetic coefficients (maize and sorghum) added in DSSAT and APSIM crop modules, resulting from direct activities of key staff in this project  strong linkages established between African climate change institutions and pioneer community of modellers in the developed world 8

Key staff/ strategic partnerships  Jonathan Hickman, Earth Institute  Saidou Koala, CIAT  Jawoo Koo, IFPRI  Dilys S. MacCarthy, University of Ghana  Alfred Micheni, KARI Kenya,  Julius Vanya, Malawi Met  Andy Jarvis, CCAFS  Shamie Zingore, IPNI 9

Needed  Quick follow-up of training needs of teams to facilitate delivery of outputs 10