welcome to the [r]evolution

imagine

energy access. equity.

a climate solution

peace

local energy control

freedom

What we are facing The tipping point for runaway climate change is a 2°C increase in temperature Warming during the past 100 years was 0.74°C, with most of the warming occurring in the past 50 years 2010 was the end of the warmest decade in history, with last year tied as hottest.

Flooding in Pakistan 2010 Forest Fires in Russia 2010

Petermann Glacier Aug 2010 Rising Sea Level Kiribati

Angat Dam April 2010 Metro Manila Sept 2009

Cebu January 2011 Australia Jan 2011

Current Commitments at the UNFCCC could lead to: 4 degrees

The challenge is fueling growth without being locked in to high emission technologies Investments in low carbon technilogies will make sense if they are linked to a long term strategy

the energy [r]evolution = Renewable Energy + Energy Efficiency

The five key principles behind this shift: Implement renewable solutions Respect the natural limits of the environment Phase out dirty, unsafe and unsustainable energy sources Create greater equity in the use of resources Decouple economic growth from the consumption of fossil fuels

with no [r]evolution Reference Scenario - world primary energy demand Source: World Energy Outlook (WEO) IEA 2009 until 2030 / DLR for 2040 and 2050 Renewable Energy Oil Natural Gas Coal Nuclear PJ/a

the energy [r]evolution Advanced Energy [R]evolution Scenario 2010 – primary energy demand Source: Energy [R]evolution Fig 6.11, p.72 Efficiency compared to ‘BAU’ Ocean Energy Solar Thermal Geothermal Biomass Wind Hydro Natural Gas Oil Coal Nuclear

Cebu Energy Generation in MWh (by Plant Type, 2009) Coal: 822,007 Oil-based: 1,073,710 Diesel: 763,895 Gas turbine: 61,972 Oil thermal: 247,843 Hydro: 5,869 TOTAL 1,901,710

ENABLERS

Enablers Strong Signal from the Government –Towards low carbon growth Ambitious, visionary but realistic target 50% RE by 2020 Harmonize policies

Greenpeace Report: Philippine Roadmap to 50% Renewable Energy by 2020

Energy Efficiency –Establish a clear policy with strong targets on EE –Provide priority to EE investments –Challenge entrenched business models Provide incentives for energy companies to reduce demand Enablers

EE TechnologiesSavings Efficient Lighting20% - 70% Efficient Chillers20% - 50% Solar Cooling30% - 40% High Efficiency Motors3% - 15% Variable Speed Drive25% - 60% Efficient Air Compressors20% - 40% Efficient Transformers10% - 20% Building Management System20% - 40% Trigeneration/ Cogeneration5% - 15%

Absorptive Capacity –Investment in education –Create training opportunities –Develop home grown RE businesses Enablers

OBSTACLES

Obstacles Continuing development of Fossil Fuels –Coal investments the major source of proposed large energy investments in the near term –Of the US5.25 billion potential investments that the Aquino government secured from Japan and the US the past year, US3.6 billion are for coal - Sual Calaca, Pagbilao and Masinloc

2009 in Europe Newly installed and retired electric capacity Source: REN

2009 in Europe Newly installed electric capacity Source: REN

world leaders Top-5 countries – current renewable electricity generation capacity Source: REN

employment in RE today Source: REN IndustryJobs (Global)Key countries > 3,000,000 Biofuels> 1,500,000Brazil Wind power> 500,000Germany, USA, Spain Solar PV power> 300,000Germany, Spain Solar hot water> 300,000China Biomass power> 181,000Germany, USA Hydropower (small)> 35,000Europe Geothermal> 18,000Germany, USA CSP~ 2,000Spain, USA

Billion $ Source: REN / Greenpeace International gaining momentum Annual Global Investment New Renewable Energy Capacity

What can we achieve together? 50% Renewable Energy by % Energy Efficiency by 2020 Zero Deforestation by 2020

Join the Energy [R]evolution Thank You Mark Dia Philippine Country Representative Regional Deputy Campaign Director Greenpeace Southeast Asia