NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401.

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Presentation transcript:

NATIONAL POLL National Public Opinion Poll April 3-5, 2014 N = 1,804 Likely 2014 Voters #140401

2 RD Now, generally speaking, would you say that things in the country are going in the right direction, or have they pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track? NATION OFF ON WRONG TRACK WT TotalBy PartyBy Age RDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWTRDWT

3 Approve And, do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President? OBAMA JOB APPROVAL INVERTED Disapprove Senate battlegrounds even less amicable to President. ApproveDisapproveApproveDisapprove * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. Disapprove +15Disapprove +22Disapprove +25

4 Now, thinking about your vote in 2014 for federal offices such as U.S. Senate or Congress, what would you say is the top issue that is motivating your vote? FISCAL ISSUES DOMINATE Education Immigration Reform Health Care Federal Budget Deficit and Debt Jobs/Unemployment The Economy Medicare and Social Security DEM (35%) IND (34%) GOP (31%) (16%) (25%) (38%) 65+ (21%) 30%28%25%31%30%29%21% 17%18%14%19%15%18%13% 14%17%20%15%21%16%15% 8%16%23%11%13%16%19% 15%7% 4%5%9%22% 8%3%1%10%7%1%2% 3%2%3%2%3%2% 3%2%1%3% 1% 2%1% 0% Foreign Policy Energy Policy

5 DEM And, when you think about the upcoming 2014 elections for U.S. Senate happening in some states, which is your preference for the outcome of the election? Is it a… Senate Controlled by Democrats …or… Senate Controlled by Republicans? GENERIC ADVANTAGE TO GOP GOP * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. DEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOPDEMGOP R+2 R+8 R+4 R+5 R+10 D+2 TotalsKey Demographics

6 Sup Will your vote this November for federal offices such as U.S. Senate and U.S. House be a vote to… Send a signal of support for President Obama, Send a signal of opposition to President Obama, OR Not send a signal either way about President Obama? VOTERS WANT TO SIGNAL OPPOSITION TO OBAMA Opp * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. SupOpp No Sig. TotalsKey Demographics

MINIMUM WAGE

8 Supp Would you support or oppose raising the national minimum wage, which is now $7.25 an hour? SUPPORT FOR WAGE HIKE Opp * “Competitive Senate States” based on all states considered Lean or Toss-up by Cook Political Report. SuppOppSuppOppSuppOppSuppOppSuppOpp TotalsBy Party Note majority of R’s support hike.

9 Yes Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring? PLURALITY SEE JOB CUTS AS LIKELY RESULT No TotalBy PartyBy Age YesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo

10 Yes Do you think raising the national minimum wage would lead businesses to cut jobs and/or reduce new hiring? BLUE COLLAR MORE ACUTELY CONCERNED No By Self-Described White Collar/Blue Collar YesNo Yes +6 Yes +15

11 Please indicate which statement comes closer to your opinion, even if neither is exactly right… WHEN STATE V. FEDERAL ARGUMENT PRESENTED… The minimum wage is a federal issue. It is the responsibility of Washington D.C. to ensure that everyone in the country is paid the same basic minimum wage. The minimum wage is a state issue. The states are best positioned to find the right balance between business needs and wages in their local economies.

12 VOTERS PREFER IT BE STATE ISSUE Fed.StateFed.StateFed.StateFed.StateFed.StateFed.StateFed.StateFed.State The minimum wage is a federal issue. The minimum wage is a state issue. By Gender & SubgroupsBy PartyTotal