Future Trends. Infrastructure The Urban Age 1900 1.7 People (Billion) % Living in Cities 10% Cities Greater than 1 Million 16 2007 6.5 50% 450 2050 9.0.

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Presentation transcript:

Future Trends

Infrastructure The Urban Age People (Billion) % Living in Cities 10% Cities Greater than 1 Million % % 600

Water Insecurity Decline in Food Production Heat Waves

Infrastructure Transition Phase - Uncertainty Emissions Trading Scheme Climate Adaptation Multiple Renewable Energy Options

Rise in global middle class – materialists How can we: Lead & influence other cities? Make sustainability an aspiration? Challenges

Local Trends

CoM Population Growth Forecast 0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80, , , Population Forecast

Aging Population Strong Migration Multiculturalism Strong Demand for Housing

Infrastructure City User Projections Forecast

Transport 20% 8% 111% 136% Car (01-06) Public Transport (01-06) Bicycle (01-06) Walked (01-06) ,193 +3,056 +6,757

Increased Imports Melbourne GeelongHastingsPortland 0 10,000 20,000 60,000 50,000 40,000 30, (Base case forecast) Tonnes (‘000) Source: COAG 2007

24 Hour City

Local Climate Change Impacts High rainfall (>20mm) results in a decrease in pedestrian activity of 10% High temperature (>35 degrees) results in a decrease of 10.9%

Housing Affordability The Age February 2008

Infrastructure Aging Infrastructure 1905 Flinders Street Station Commenced 1837 The Hoddle GridHoddle Grid 1985 Melbourne's City Loop was completed 1884 First underground drain constructed in Carlton 2000 City Square Opens Domain Tunnel is opened Westgate Bridge Completed in Development of the DocklandsDocklands 1889 Victoria Dock opened

Opportunities

Renewable Energy Biomimcry Renewable Energy Nano-Technology Vertical Farming

Robotics Communication Technology Education

In this uncertain Transition phase, how can we: Keep the cost of living relatively low Deal with more variable weather Maintain recreation facilities & city vitality Deal with increasing congestion Maintain social cohesion, public safely & security Adjust to an aging population Improve education standards & reduce skills shortages Improve financial flows Guard against spread of disease pandemics/epidemics Maintaining Liveability