© 2008 - Proprietary and Confidential Information of Radieux. Alvaro Baeza Angela Raub Bruce Smith Mary Udie Navaneeth Aguru Rob Latham.

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Presentation transcript:

© Proprietary and Confidential Information of Radieux. Alvaro Baeza Angela Raub Bruce Smith Mary Udie Navaneeth Aguru Rob Latham

Industry Analysis

 600 companies with combined annual revenue of over $110 billion.  Major companies earn about 85 percent of industry revenue  Verizon Wireless  AT&T Mobility  Sprint Nextel  T-Mobile  The industry is capital intensive:  95 % of wireless services sales are end-users  5 % to resellers.  75 % of the population subscribe to cell phone services Description of Industry

AT&T Mobility Verizon Wireless  53.1 million customers  Third largest wireless carrier in the United States  Lost market share due poor execution during merger  27 million customers  Fourth largest wireless carrier in the United States  101 million subscribers worldwide (Sixth largest in the world)  Has the highest customer rating  67.3 million customers  Largest digital voice and data network in the United States  40,000 union workers.  59.1 million customers  Second largest market share in the United States  Expected double digit growth in revenue from data and entertainment services Market Structure - Description of firms Sprint Nextel T- Mobile

Market Structure - Description of firms Alltel US Cellular  12 million wireless customers  35 state territory  Fifth largest provider of wireless services in the United States.  6.07 million customers  189 markets  26 state territory

Size of industry relative to economy  Highly capital intensive  Strongly supports economies of scale  Fixed costs over a larger revenue base, results in a lower cost per subscriber.  A decrease in the number of carriers leads to:  Reduced competition  Lower customer acquisition costs  Less churn  Return to scale in advertising and sales which are key factors to drive revenue growth and profitability. Source: TNS Telecom (1 st Qtr 2006)

Demand Factors  Voice  Higher data speed  Multi-use  Games  Video  Audio   Internet  Bundled packages

Production & Cost Issues  Two major technologies (GSM-CDMA)  GSM technology cost advantage sustainable?  Hard to have Proprietorship/Unique Services  New products copied very quickly by competitors.  Open standard  Quicker to market  All over the world  More consumer friendly (example multiple phones use the same sim card many phones one phone #)  Providers experiencing exponential growth  Proprietary of Qualcomm Technology  Slower due to Qualcomm approval control  Few countries  Flexible consumer experience

Non-Economic Factors  Health Issues  Interference with Sleep  Drag on the Commute  Government Regulations

Firm Analysis

Alltel Demand Factors Source: S&P index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2006  Latest services and features  Improved call quality  Better customer service  Larger network coverage  Competitive price  Greater reliability  Faster data transmission

Alltel Strategies  Low cost regional player  Fast follower- on the footsteps of Nextel  Rolled out- My Circle  Network agreements with Sprint & Verizon

Alltel Revenue versus Expenses UPDATE Required Source: S&P index data: S&P 500 Copyright © 2006

Forecasts Projections Recommendations Projections Recommendations

Reduce Costs of Production  Leverage existing infrastructure  Increase investing in 2 nd /3 rd tier markets  Outsource services in saturated markets (partners) S1S1 S2S2 D1D1 D2D2 P1P1 P2P2 Price Qty

Expansion / New Products  EVDO- rev.A network, evolution of the highest speed network  Increase investment in high speed network - will provide framework for convergence and bundling of services  Position for merger opportunities (must have national footprint, must show increasing margins)

Other Strategies Merger with Sprint or Verizon. Integrated Services Wholesale to retail

EconomicEnvironment

 The US has the largest and most technologically powerful economy in the world, with a per capita GDP of $45,700  U.S. consumers are paying less, using wireless more and have more choices than any others in the world.  The U.S. telecommunications market grew, with total revenues reaching $856.9 billion in 2005 – up 8.9 percent for the year – and is projected to reach over $1 trillion by [TIA Telecom Market Review and Forecast] Description of Current Environment

 Population: 301,139,947  Population Growth rate: 0.894%  Net Migration of Rate 3.05/1,000 population  Unemployment rate: 4.6%  Per Capita GDP: $45,700  Per Capita by Sector  Agriculture.09%  Industry 20.6%  Service 78.5%  Inflation rate: 2.7%  Interest rate:  Current %  Previous % (last change Jan ) USA Economic Facts (Jan 2007 est.)

Economic Environment – Current & Past Year Gross domestic product Net exports of goods and services Government consumption expenditures and gross investment Real GDP % change from preceding period 19967, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

 Workforce is increasingly becoming mobile ( as the processing power of mobile devices (blackberry, palm etc) continue to grow exponentially  Enterprise mobilization ( Expenditures by enterprise firms -1,000 or more employees on wireless data will grow an average of 18% per year through (Source: In-Stat)) Source: Ovum Source: Department of Taxation Forecast of future changes

Macro Impact

Macro Impact on Firm and Industry  Consolidation within industry  Growth in economy  Rising demand for latest technology

“Everyone wants the phone to do everything with the fastest service. Alltel's challenge is to find the appropriate packaging prices for their "sub- prime"/pre-paid customers.” Kevin L. Beebe Ex- President & CEO ALLTEL Corporation Macro Impact on Firm and Industry

Q & A