Understanding Your Capitalization Challenge League of American Orchestras| May 29, 2015 VISION TO MOMENTUM.

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Presentation transcript:

Understanding Your Capitalization Challenge League of American Orchestras| May 29, 2015 VISION TO MOMENTUM

The Next Step Talking about the under-capitalization of the arts sector for five years Organizational leaders and funders agree about the issue broadly – Unclear if donors and boards agree Understanding how to address the challenge at the organizational level is much harder LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Agenda How to diagnose your specific challenge based on the understanding of your: – Strategy – Business model – Risk profile – Where responsibility for the challenge lies LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

DEFINITIONS LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Definition Revisited Capitalization is having the cash to do what you need to do when you need to do it – It connects organizational mission, vision and strategy – It creates investment in the art – It allows for the ability to take risk LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Programmatic strategy maximizes artistic quality and impact, scaled to demand and available resources Organizational strategy includes adequate human and other resources to manage program and support activities (e.g. marketing, development, finances, facilities) Capitalization strategy articulates size and shape of capital needs to support programmatic and organizational strategies Integrated Strategy Mission and Vision Artistic/cultural production Theory of change for impact on audiences and other beneficiaries Market Customers Donors Competition Resources Talent Space Networks Time Horizon, Business Model Drivers, Life Cycle LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Capitalization Components: An Integrated Plan

Business Model Business model is how an organization makes and spends money in service of its mission Influenced by: – Artistic vision and strategy – Local market – Time horizon and lifecycle – Business drivers (audience, facility, collections, and other fixed costs) Comprises: – Revenue composition – Revenue predictability and reliability – Expense composition – Surplus size and reliability LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Operational RiskStrategic Risk Program Risk External Risk – Audiences – Funders – Shifts in the economy Human capital – Loss of leadership Programmatic – Pilots – New opportunity – Change in core offerings Organizational – Marketing/development – Facilities – Change in scale or size RISK MANAGEMENTRISK TAKING LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Creating a Risk Profile

TYPES OF CAPITAL LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Endowment Facilities Reserve Risk Capital Operating and Working Capital Operating Reserve Elements of Capitalization Requires Liquidity Balance Sheet Cash/Investments Receivables Fixed Assets Total Assets Payables Deferred Revenue Debt Net Assets Total Liabilities and Net Assets P&L Revenue Expenses Net Income LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 How Well Capitalized Are You Now?

Transitional Capital Funds LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Recovery Capital Pays off past debt Provides interim working capital Moves URNA out of the red “Can’t function until you clean it up” capital Funded by people who love you Change Capital Required to test a new business model Required to execute new business model Funded by people who love you

Debt As Capital Lines of credit that can be used sporadically Short/mid-term financing that is supported by a high ratio of pledges Low-cost short/mid-term financing that can be paid for by the annual operating budget after appropriate reserves have been funded LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

DIAGNOSING YOUR CHALLENGE LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Where You Start Matters Is your organization…? – At risk: no cash and high debt – Vulnerable: no cash – Sustaining: some cash – Stable: sufficient cash LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Is It A Capitalization or A Business Model Issue? Broken Business Model Negative URNAStructural DeficitsNegative Cash Stable Operating ModelHealthy Balance SheetRegular SurplusesWell Capitalized Working Operating Model Thin Balance SheetBreakeven or BetterUndercapitalized Improving Operating Model Negative URNABreakeven or DeficitNo Cash LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Moving From At Risk to SustainingUndercapitalizedConsidering Growth Improving Operating Model Flat URNABreakeven or BetterVery little cash Moving From Vulnerable to Sustaining

Moving From At Risk to Sustaining Two different studies demonstrate that improving financial health was hard Organizations struggled to make consistent investments in program, marketing and fundraising Those that changed obtained forms of recovery capital Are You Ready To Do This? Does your model have the ability to do better than breakeven? Do you understand your risk profile? Do you have a good understanding of demand? LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Sources: Getting Beyond Breakeven, TDC (2009) and Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014) Research

Moving From At Risk to Sustaining What types of capital should you consider? – First focus on improving negative net assets through surpluses – Recovery capital – Change capital – Working capital Should you pay down debt? – No LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Endowment Facilities Reserve Risk Capital Change Capital Recovery Capital Working Capital Operating Reserve

Moving From Vulnerable to Sustaining Boards struggle to understand why this is important Organizations that changed made it a goal and made attendant investments and choices Are You Ready To Do This? Does your model have the ability to do better than breakeven? Do you understand your risk profile? Do you have a good understanding of demand? LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Sources: Getting Beyond Breakeven, TDC (2009) and Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014) Research

Moving From Vulnerable to Sustaining What types of capital should you consider? – Working capital – Operating reserves – Facilities reserve, where appropriate Should you pay down debt? – Maybe LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Endowment Facilities Reserve Risk Capital Change Capital Recovery Capital Working Capital Operating Reserve

Undercapitalized A minority of organizations actually sit in this category Boards and funders struggle to understand why this is important Organizations that have created appropriate capital funds (such as operating & artistic reserves) have benefited organizationally and artistically Are You Ready To Do This? Is your business model working? Do you generally have annual surpluses, with just occasional deficits? Do you have a clear and agreed-upon definition of operational and artistic risk? Do you have a clear and agreed-upon way to communicate how capital will increase impact? LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Sources: Getting Beyond Breakeven, TDC (2009) and Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014) Research

Undercapitalized What types of capital should you consider? – Increased working capital – Reserves – Risk capital – Facilities reserve – Endowment, potentially Should you pay down long-term debt? – Maybe Should you use debt? – Lines of credit for working capital LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Endowment Facilities Reserve Risk Capital Change Capital Recovery Capital Working Capital Operating Reserve

Considering Growth Organizations that don’t start from strength do not get stronger. Many get weaker. In a recent study, it was found that few organizations grew from demand. Are You Ready To Do This? Do you have a solid donor base? Do you have a working balance sheet? – The ability to repay credit lines? – Growth may not fix a weak operating model. Rescaling or right-sizing might. Do you have a data-driven growth plan? – The ability to increase demand of both audiences and donors? LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Sources: Getting Beyond Breakeven, TDC (2009) and Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014) Research

Considering Growth What types of capital should you consider? – Resizing the balance sheet appropriately: work capital and reserves – Change and growth capital – Facilities reserve, where appropriate Consider sweat equity Should you use long-term debt? – Only to bridge pledges Should you use short-term debt? – Lines of credit for working capital LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Endowment Facilities Reserve Risk Capital Change Capital Recovery Capital Working Capital Operating Reserve

Broken Business Model Consistent losses over a multiyear period – Sometimes covered by one-off events Fully borrowed lines of credit and inability to pay debt out of annual operations Significantly changing budgets or productions during a budget year Inability to invest in staff; frozen/diminishing pay levels What Does It Mean? Retest your vision and mission Understand and scale to your market Create a new capitalization plan that includes transition capital LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Sources: Getting Beyond Breakeven, TDC (2009) and Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014) How Do You Know?

SCALING TO THE MARKET LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

What Does It Mean to Scale to Market? Scale is determined by market relevance Market relevance tells you if your business model works and effects your strategy – It is tested through the ability to increase net revenue Earned revenue through marketing Unearned revenue through fundraising LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

More Marketing = More People? Scale matters in marketing. – Doubling a small marketing budget won’t make a difference. Market size matters – Increased marketing can outstrip earned income potential. LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Budget Size Average Marketing Budget <$250K$10,838 $ K$31,964 $500K-1.5M$68,665 $1.5-5M$221,630 $5-20M$752,014 $20M+$2,928,429 Source: Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014)

More Marketing = More People? Even larger spends may not be enough. – Brand is not promoted; data implies that sales, rather than marketing, is the default investment. – Successfully reaching multiple audience targets requires a larger infrastructure than what currently exists. – New audience development requires consistent investment over time. LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Source: Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014)

Marketing Implications At the organizational level, marketing investment needs to be based on each organization’s mission, size, market potential, and strategy: – What is the organization chasing? Stability (retention, attraction, diversity); or Growth (all the above plus increased market share) – And to what end? Net revenue? Donor pipeline? Validation of the art? Of the organization? The smallest organizations need to size investment to defined goals. Mid-sized to large organizations may need significant investment to deal with audience shifts. LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Fundraising Staff = More Donors? Board gifts are leading indicators of individual giving. – Individual giving is what drives long term growth – Networks matter – Smaller organizations may not benefit from major gift officers LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015 Budget Size Average Board Gift Total Individual Contributions Total Other Contributions 2011 Average Fundraising Spend Average Fundraising Efficiency Efficiency with staff* <$250K$624$11,643$53,396$3, $ K$1,418$56,586$161,047$23, $500K-1.5M$2,334$123,377$354,926$81, $1.5-5M$5,348$460,463$1,216,807$242, n/a $5-20M$16,821$3,293,890$8,377,388$1,171, n/a >$20M$72,242$5,073,962$17,208,692$2,199, n/a *Assumes $100K for full cost of one dedicated development staffer Source: Capitalization, Scale and Investment, TDC (2014)

Fundraising Implications Organizations of a smaller scale need to assess their market and their ability to grow individual support by asking: – What are we chasing? Major donors that can provide net income? Broad-based retail giving as demonstration of community support? – Can our board support this? – Is this a Executive Director/Managing Director function? Do I need a Director of Fundraising? Larger organizations seeking to diversify an already established donor base require investment in creating new networks before they build staff capacity. LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Business Model and Scale An honest discussion of net revenue available allows you to understand if you can: – Adjust your current business model More focused choices of programs Reconfiguration of organizational model – Change the core model Identify new ways to offer your art Create a new organizational model LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

THE PLAYERS LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Who Needs To Be Involved? Capitalization is a board issue – It effects impact and outcomes – It is at the core of fiduciary responsibility – It grounds strategy Successful organizations have board alignment and commitment to the integrated view of program, operations and capital LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015

Summary Know where you stand Know the difference between a capital problem and a business model problem Diagnose the right capital challenge Understand your market Understand your risk profile Raise the right capital first Don’t confuse growth with success Do an honest appraisal of net revenue Don’t divorce capital from mission, vision and strategy. It IS a board issue. LEAGUE OF AMERICAN ORCHESTRAS | MAY 29, 2015