W ILL G EOPOLITICS U NDO THE W ORLD E CONOMY ? Michael Lind September 2014
Three Trends 1)Slowing growth 2)The Salafist revolution and the decline of Sykes-Picot 3)Increasing great-power rivalries
Slowing Growth Worldwide Source: The Conference Board Global Economic Outlook 2014
Asia: A Middle Income Trap? Source: Asian Development Bank and the Financial Times
Political Responses to Slow Growth Exporting unemployment by: 1.Promoting current account surpluses 2.Protectionism 3.Immigration Restriction
Euro Area Current Account Source: Eurostat
Weak global growth has meant limited improvement in net exports
Modes of Protectionism Since 2008 Source: AIEN Network
The Salafist Revolution and the Decay of Sykes-Picot Implications for financial and internet integration Implications for trade, travel and immigration
Trade Follows the Flag Source: The Washington Times
TTIP and NATO Source: Curiousmatic & Economy In Crisis
BRICS members and SCO (Shanghai Cooperation Organization) Source: SCO & Wikimedia
RCEP (Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership) Source: Wikimedia
Russian Pipelines Source: Samuel Bailey
Sino-Pakistan Pipeline Source: South Asia Investor Review