ISU Agronomy Extension Fertilizer Price Effect on Optimum Corn N Rate Recommendations John Sawyer Department of Agronomy Iowa State University.

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Presentation transcript:

ISU Agronomy Extension Fertilizer Price Effect on Optimum Corn N Rate Recommendations John Sawyer Department of Agronomy Iowa State University

ISU Agronomy Extension Historic Nitrogen and Corn Grain Prices

ISU Agronomy Extension Historic Nitrogen:Corn Price Ratios

ISU Agronomy Extension Exploring a Regional Approach to N Rate Guidelines  Diverse N rate recommendation systems across states  Lack of optimum N rate relationship with corn yield  Concerns about N rates with corn yields at record levels  Historically high N fertilizer prices

ISU Agronomy Extension Corn Yields and N Rates

ISU Agronomy Extension Methods for Analyzing N Response Data 43 Corn Following Soybean Sites in Iowa ($0.22/lb N:$2.20/bu) 43 Sites35 Responsive Sites MethodN Rate Net Return N Rate Net Return lb N/acre$/acrelb N/acre$/acre Mean of EONRs EONR - Mean Yield Maximum RTN Discrete MP Site Optimum Measured Yield † Yield History † † 1.2 lb N/bu factor, 50 lb soybean rotation “credit”

ISU Agronomy Extension Maximum Return To N (MRTN) Database Driven Approach  Previously described by Nafziger, Sawyer, and Hoeft (2004)  Accumulate corn N response data from many recent trials  Determine economic response and most profitable N rates directly from trials in N response database Data → N Rate Guidelines

ISU Agronomy Extension N Response Trial Database  3 to 4 replications  5 to 7 N rates  Non-irrigated  High and very high yield potential soils  Experiment station or producer field  Corn following Soybean (SC) and Corn following Corn (CC)  Grain yield measured for each N rate  N Response curve fit to each trial

ISU Agronomy Extension 698 Trials > 95% since 1990 > 60% since 2000

ISU Agronomy Extension Six-State Database Corn–CornSoybean–Corn StateTotalResponsiveTotalResponsive IL IA MI MN OH WI All 271* *389 * 65 Non-responsive sites, 60% had manure history Total of 698 trials

ISU Agronomy Extension Calculation of MRTN  1 st - Compile database from corn yield N response trials for desired rotation

ISU Agronomy Extension Calculation of MRTN  2 nd – For each trial in database calculate Return To N (RTN) using the a, b, c and plateau values from each response curve  For every 1 lb N/acre from 0 through 240 lb N/acre calculate the yield increase over the yield obtained with zero lb N/acre  RTN = yield increase times price of corn minus the cost of N

ISU Agronomy Extension Calculation of MRTN

ISU Agronomy Extension Calculation of MRTN  3 rd - Find the N rate with the greatest average return to N, this is the MRTN and N rate at the MRTN

ISU Agronomy Extension Calculation of MRTN  4 th - Find the N rates with returns to N within $1.00/acre of MRTN  This provides a range of most profitable N rates LOWHIGH

ISU Agronomy Extension Can Examine Different Fertilizer N and Corn Prices  Corn held at $2.20/bu  Fertilizer N prices at $0.11, $0.22, $0.33, and $0.44/lb N  Gives N price:corn price ratios of 0.05, 0.10, 0.15, and 0.20

ISU Agronomy Extension Effect of Price Ratio on Net Return HIGH MRTN LOW $2.20/bu $0.11/lb N $0.22 $0.33 $0.44

ISU Agronomy Extension Effect of Price Ratio on Net Return

ISU Agronomy Extension Potential Iowa N Rate Guidelines Based On MRTN Approach Previous Crop Price Ratio SoybeanCorn LOW † MRTNHIGH † LOW † MRTNHIGH † $/lb:$/bu lb N/acre † LOW and HIGH rates approximate the most profitable range for $1.00/acre below and above the MRTN for each price ratio.

ISU Agronomy Extension Effect of Price Ratio on Expected Corn Yield

ISU Agronomy Extension MRTN Rates and N Risk Management  Although you may want to be 100% certain of N sufficiency, being that certain is not most profitable  The risk with lower N rates is decreased profitability due to lost yield  The risk with higher N rates is decreased profitability and environmental concerns due to unneeded N  Most profitable N rate range helps “protect” these risks

ISU Agronomy Extension Corn Nitrogen Rate Calculator Resources  Regional publication  Web based MRTN calculation tool Concepts and Rationale for Regional Nitrogen Rate Guidelines for Corn

ISU Agronomy Extension Regional Effort: Participating States and University Personnel: John Sawyer, Iowa State University Emerson Nafziger, University of Illinois Gyles Randall, University of Minnesota George Rehm, University of Minnesota Larry Bundy, University of Wisconsin Brad Joern, Purdue, University Robert Hoeft, University of Illinois Carrie Laboski, University of Wisconsin Robert Mullen, The Ohio State University Randy Killorn, Iowa State University Sylvie Brouder, Purdue University